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Formula 1 2019 Monaco Grand Prix Odds & Picks

Ferrari's Sebastian Vettel has endured a difficult Formula One campaign, and has failed to earn a win since last year's Belgian Grand Prix Photo by [Jake Archibald] ([Flickr]) [CC License].
  • Lewis Hamilton has emerged as the clear favorite to win the Monaco Grand Prix after picking up his third victory of the season at the Spanish Grand Prix
  • Hamilton’s Mercedes teammate Valtteri Bottas is enjoying a breakthrough campaign, and closely trails the Englishman on the F1 Drivers Standings
  • Ferrari has endured technical issues and bad luck this season, but Sebastian Vettel offers plenty of betting value 

Lewis Hamilton will be aiming to widen his lead atop the Formula One Drivers Standings with his fourth win of the F1 season, when he travels to Monte Carlo for next weekend’s Monaco Grand Prix as a strong +110 favorite at Bovada.

2019 Monaco Grand Prix Odds

Driver Odds at Bovada
Lewis Hamilton +110
Valtteri Bottas +225
Max Verstappen +375
Charles Leclerc +1000
Pierre Gasly +1000
Sebastian Vettel +1000
Alexander Albon +100000
Daniel Ricciardo +100000
Daniil Kyvat +100000
Kevin Magnussen +100000
Nico Hulkenberg +100000
Romain Grosjean +100000

*Odds taken 05/19/19

Win in Spain Lifts Hamilton to the Top of F1 Drivers Standings

Hamilton extended Mercedes’ domination in the first race of the European leg of the Formula One circuit, posting his fourth career win at the Spanish Grand Prix as a +130 favorite. With the victory, Hamilton moved past Mercedes teammate Valtteri Bottas to reclaim the top of the F1 Drivers Standings by a narrow seven-point margin.

With three wins through five races this season, and 11 victories in his past 16 overall outings, Hamilton looks poised to take a run at the record for most wins in an F1 season, jointly held by the legendary Michael Schumacher and Ferrari rival Sebastian Vettel, who both enjoyed 13-win campaigns.

He’s now perched as strong -250 chalk to claim a third straight F1 title.

Hamilton looks poised to take a run at the record for most wins in an F1 season, jointly held by the legendary Michael Schumacher and Ferrari rival Sebastian Vettel

However, Hamilton has turned in mixed results at Monaco in recent years. The 34-year-old Englishman has reached the podium in four of his past five appearances, including a third-place finish a year ago, but has taken the checkered flag just once during that stretch.

Bottas Keeping Pace with Teammate During Breakthrough Season

Hamilton’s toughest competition is once again expected to come from Bottas, who continued his breakthrough campaign at the Spanish Grand Prix finishing second, and is a strong +275 bet in Monaco. After failing to earn a win in 2018, his second season with Mercedes, Bottas has regularly challenged Hamilton this season, posting wins in Australia and Azerbaijan. His three second-place performances have contributed to Mercedes’ dominance on the F1 Constructors Standings.

But while Bottas has shown steady improvement racing on the Circuit de Monaco after failing to crack the top 10 in his first four appearances, he has yet to find the podium at the event, finishing fourth and fifth, respectively, in 2017 and 2018.

Rising star Max Verstappen rounds out the top of the odds, closely trailing Bottas at +375 after capturing his second spot on the podium this season with a third-place run in Barcelona. Ferrari teammates Vettel and Charles Leclerc join Red Bull’s Pierre Gasly at +1000.

Verstappen Emerging as Quiet Threat

Verstappen has made steady gains this season, and moved past Vettel into third place of the Formula One Drivers Standings following his impressive performance in Barcelona, where he turned in the third fastest lap in qualifying on his way to locking up the No. 4 position on the starting grid.

The 21-year-old has now reached the podium in nine of 14 events, and could be poised for a breakthrough in Monaco, where he finished ninth a year ago.

Ferrari Continues Search for Answers as High Hopes Continue to Fade

It is a far different story over at Ferrari. What was expected to be a tight two-team race in Formula One this season has turned into a disaster for the Italian squad. With a new car, the SF90, Ferrari was expected to challenge Mercedes after finishing a distant second to the German powerhouse in each of the past two years.

However, a rash of technical issues combined with untimely bad luck have combined to limit Leclerc and Vettel to just three total third-place finishes through the first five races of the season, dumping Ferrari to second place on the Constructors Standings, 96 points back of Mercedes.

Not surprisingly, Ferrari lags well back in second spot on the odds to win the 2019 Formula One Constructors Championship, pegged at +800, while Mercedes has rocketed to a short +2500 favorite.

Leclerc has made the best of a bad situation, stringing together three straight fifth-place finishes after earning his only trip to the podium with an ill-fated third-place run in Bahrain, but failed to finish last year after qualifying 14th in his Monaco Grand Prix debut.

Vettel’s Track Record at Monaco Makes Him the Value Pick

Conversely, Vettel has enjoyed steady success in a decade of competing in Monaco. The four-time F1 champion has two career wins to his credit in Monaco , most recently in 2017, and earned his fourth career second-place finish a year ago.

Vettel offers plenty of value as a +1000 wager to claim his first win since last year’s Belgian Grand Prix, but close attention must first be paid to Ferrari’s ability to quickly overcome issues with corner speed that plagued the team in Spain.

Pick: Sebastian Vettel (+1000)

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