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Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 Odds, Preview, and How to Find Value Betting on NASCAR

Chris Wassel

by Chris Wassel in Racing

Jul 15, 2021 · 6:31 AM PDT

NASCAR Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 - Denny Hamlin
Denny Hamlin is introduced before a NASCAR Cup Series auto race, Sunday, July, 11, 2021, in Hampton, Ga. (AP Photo/John Amis)
  • Denny Hamlin is a slight favorite this week at the Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 on July 18th, 2021
  • Both Busch drivers could finish well this week but Kyle Busch is on quite a run lately
  • We’ve got you covered with all the odds and trends ahead of Sunday afternoon’s race at New Hampshire Motor Speedway

NASCAR heads up to New Hampshire with a Sunday afternoon road race after last week’s race in Atlanta, where Kurt Busch got one over his younger brother, Kyle, to win. Denny Hamlin is the +475 favorite in the Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 odds at the 1.058-mile course at Loudon.

Kyle Busch (+650) could again challenge with another top result. He nearly bested his brother until Ross Chastain blocked him last week at Atlanta. Do not overlook drivers like Denny Hamlin or Martin Truex Jr. Both Joe Gibbs Racing drivers looked pretty good at times last week.

Let’s take a look at the odds for the Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 and figure out which drivers are the best bets. Make sure to check out the latest sportsbook promos to ensure you are getting the best value when picking your Foxwoods Resort 301 winner.

Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 Odds

Driver Odds to Win at DraftKings Odds to Finish Top Three Odds to Finish Top 10
Denny Hamlin +475 +110 -550
Martin Truex Jr. +500 +140 -500
Kyle Larson +550 +150 -450
Brad Keselowski +650 +180 -400
Kyle Busch +650 +180 -400
Chase Elliott +800 +220 -330
Joey Logano +1000 +275 -250
William Byron +1500 +500 -165
Kevin Harvick +1500 +500 -165
Alex Bowman +1600 +525 -145
Ryan Blaney +1800 +600 -125
Christopher Bell +2000 +650 -110
Kurt Busch +2800 +900 +110
Matt DiBenedetto +4000 +1300 +115
Austin Dillon +6000 +2000 +150
Tyler Reddick +6000 +2000 +150
Aric Almirola +8000 +2500 +220
Ross Chastain +8000 +2500 +230
Daniel Suarez +10000 +3500 +400

Odds as of July 15th

Denny Hamlin Favored to Win at New Hampshire

NASCAR drivers run on the 1.058-mile-long speedway when the flag drops for the Sunday afternoon race beginning around 3:00 PM EST. Hamlin still has not won in 2021, and yet the Joe Gibbs Racing driver leads the points race. Despite this, the No. 11 shows proficiency on mile tracks and has two wins since 2018 on courses of this distance.

Bet on Denny Hamlin to Win at +475 Odds Here!

At New Hampshire, Hamlin has two top-ten finishes in his last three races. That translates to an average finish of 5.67, which includes 22.7% of laps lead. That laps lead is best among all active drivers.

He has the ability to do well and possibly win on Sunday. Hamlin’s top-three numbers are right near even at +110.

The Joe Gibbs Racing driver along with Martin Truex Jr. and Kyle Busch have formed a triumvirate that has finally shown dominance again much like earlier in the season. Hamlin has a shot this week and a better one than Kevin Harvick.

Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 Recent Winners

Year Race Winner Pole Position Most Laps Led
2020 Brad Keselowski — Team Penske Aric Almirola — Stewart-Haas Racing Brad Keselowski — Team Penske
2019 Kevin Harvick — Stewart-Haas Racing Brad Keselowski — Team Penske Kyle Busch — Joe Gibbs Racing
2018 Kevin Harvick — Stewart-Haas Racing Kurt Busch — Stewart-Haas Racing Kurt Busch — Stewart-Haas Racing
2017 Denny Hamlin — Joe Gibbs Racing Martin Truex Jr. — Furniture Row Racing Martin Truex Jr. — Furniture Row Racing
2016 Matt Kenseth — Joe Gibbs Racing Jimmie Johnson — Hendrick Motorsports Kyle Busch — Joe Gibbs Racing

Again, the good news is that this is a little bit different for the drivers. The last time they were on a 1-mile track was two months ago at Dover for the Drydene 400. Though Alex Bowman surprised many at the height of Hendrick Motorsports Racing dominance in 2021, Denny Hamlin won at Dover in 2020, and Martin Truex Jr. won in 2019.

Is Martin Truex Jr. Back at Last?

Sports bettors have some history to draw on as the summer race is 300 laps. Truex Jr. could take another turn in the NASCAR Cup Series odds, and the No. 19 has shown improvement in the last three races. That includes a top three and a top ten. In May, Truex learned a valuable lesson when he had several issues at Dover after dominating the week before in a huge win at Darlington.

Give Martin Truex Jr. credit, he could have hung his head further but has battled the past few weeks and is close to having a winning car again. It is part of the reason along with his ability at mile-long tracks that make him a co-favorite or near-favorite on Sunday. Starting second could be a real springboard if the No. 19 car does not make mistakes like at Dover. Truex Jr. typically learns his lessons pretty quickly.

Is Kyle Busch the Next Kyle Larson?

The driver of the No. 18 has been rather good at being in a position to win on mile-long tracks and lately has put together a nice streak. The younger Busch rose from tenth to third in the points race. He has four consecutive top-three results and six top-five finishes in his previous seven races.

Oh, it does not hurt that Kyle Busch has two wins on intermediate tracks since 2018 and has the pole on Sunday. At the very least, he should lead a decent amount of laps. He racked up 91 last Sunday in Atlanta.

While some will debate that there are better candidates out there to do well, there is a reason why drivers like Martin Truex Jr. and Christopher Bell could do well here. Bell has consecutive top-ten finishes and likely could net number three this week. The setup this week favors Joe Gibbs Racing a little. However, one has to consider Kevin Harvick for another top ten.

The Picks: Denny Hamlin to finish Top 3 (+110);  Kyle Busch to win (+650); Christopher Bell to finish Top Ten (-110)

Top Pick: Kevin Harvick to finish Top Ten (-165)

Longshot: Aric Almirola to finish Top Three (+2500)

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