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France vs Scotland Six Nations Picks and Odds

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in Rugby

Feb 25, 2021 · 9:19 AM PST

French rugby players celebrating a win over Ireland at the 2021 Six Nations Championship
French players Arthur Vincent, left, and Charles Ollivon, right, celebrate at the end of the Six Nations rugby union match between Ireland and France Aviva Stadium, Dublin, Sunday, Feb. 14, 2021. France won the match 15-13. (Brian Lawless, Pool via AP)
  • France are -137 favorites over Scotland at home in their Six Nations rugby clash on Sunday
  • The French are 2-0 in the tournament, while the Scots are 1-1
  • A COVID-19 outbreak amidst the French squad has impacted 10 players

As unbeaten France prepares to play host to Scotland in Six Nations rugby action on Sunday, Feb. 28th (10:00 am ET at Stade France), could COVID-19 do to the French what no side has proven capable of doing, and put them down for the count?

Ten members of France’s squad, as well as head coach Fabien Galthie, have tested positive for the virus. Two other players are also out for the match after being in close contact with players who’ve tested positive for COVID-19.

Nonetheless, the 2-0 French, with wins over Ireland (15-13) and Italy (50-10), are still -137 favorites to defeat Scotland. The Scots are 1-1. After winning away at  England, Scotland lost at home to Wales.

Scotland vs France Six Nations Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Scotland +108 +1.5 (-113) OFF
France -137 -1.5 (-113) OFF
Draw +2200

Odds as of Feb. 24th at DraftKings.

A COVID Conundrum

Through two rounds of Six Nations play, there’s been a line drawn on the pitch. There was France and then there was everyone else.  No other side was displaying the level of performance that’s been coming from the French.

Could anything stop Les Tricolores from running rampant to a Six Nations crown? That’s when COVID-19 entered the game.

A total of 10 French players tested positive for the virus and are in isolation. The list of the ailing includes scrum-half Antoine Dupont, who’s been the most dynamic player in the tournament and captain Charles Ollivon. Also out are hookers Julien Marchand and Peato Mauvaka, props Cyril Baille and Mohammed Haouas, center Arthur Vincent, winger Gabin Villiere, lock Romain Taofifenua and fullback Brice Dulin.

Lock Swann Rebbadj and prop Jean-Baptiste Gros were dropped after coming in close contact with players who’d tested positive. As well, along with Galthie, assistant coach William Servat and lineout coach Karim Ghezal also will miss the match after testing positive for COVID-19. Lock/flanker Baptiste Pesenti, called up as a replacement for those who tested positive, also tested positive.

Can Scotland Capitalize?

The Scottish tradition of fumbling away good fortune again came to light during their 25-24 home defeat to Wales. It came on the heels of Scotland’s first victory at England since 1983.

Paris has also proven to be a journey to forget for the Scots. They haven’t won in France since 1999.

It was vital for Scotland that this match go ahead as scheduled. Under Six Nations rules, a postponement to the following week would mean the Scottish couldn’t suit up players under contract to clubs in foreign nations. That would’ve deprived Scotland of 10 regulars, including captain Stuart Hogg, scrum-half Finn Russell and lock Jonny Gray.

Scotland will be without center Cameron Redpath and back row forwards Gary Graham and Blade Thomson through injury. Prop Zander Fagerson is serving the first of a four-game ban for a red card against Wales.  The Scottish have called up fly-half Adam Hastings, backs Sam Johnson and Jamie Dobie and forwards Josh Bayliss, Jamie Bhatti, Cornell du Preez and Rob Harley.

Stick With France

Based on the number of key absences from the French side, it’ll be tempting to make a play on Scotland here. Don’t go there.

The last time the Scots won in France, this was still known as the Five Nations tournament.

The streak is 10 losses in a row. In nine of those setbacks, Scotland couldn’t even muster up 20 points.

Take France and lay the points.

Pick: France -1.5 (-113)

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