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Bayern Munich vs PSG Odds & Prediction – Champions League Quarterfinals Leg 1

Quinn Allen

by Quinn Allen in Soccer News

Updated Apr 6, 2021 · 7:09 AM PDT

Bayern Munich vs PSG
Bayern's Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting celebrates with his teammates scoring his side's second goal during the Champions League, round of 16, second leg soccer match between FC Bayern Munich and Lazio at the soccer Arena stadium in Munich, Germany, Wednesday, March 17, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthias Schrader)
  • We’ll have a rematch of last year’s Champions League final when Bayern Munich hosts PSG in the first leg of the quarterfinals on Wednesday, April 7th
  • Both sides advanced to the last eight in convincing fashion after victories over Lazio and Barcelona, respectively
  • Get our odds, preview, and pick for this massive clash below

We’ve been blessed with some intriguing matchups in the Champions League quarterfinals. But arguably one of the most exciting that is sure to be a dogfight is Bayern Munich vs PSG. The Bavarians welcome the Ligue 1 giants to the Allianz Arena on Wednesday, April 7th, kick-off at 3:00 PM EST.

The last time these two outfits met, Bayern lifted their sixth European trophy after former PSG player Kingsley Coman headed home the winner in the 59th minute last August. The Parisians will be looking for revenge, but it will be a tall task at hand.

Bayern Munich vs PSG Champions League Odds

Matchup Spread Moneyline Total at DraftKings
Bayern Munich vs PSG BAY -0.5 (-109) | PAR +0.5 (-110) BAY -108 | PAR +270 | DRAW +285 Ov 2.5 (-182) | Un 2.5 (+143)

All odds taken April 5 at DraftKings

Can Bayern Get it Done Without Lewandowski?

One of the biggest storylines heading into Wednesday’s first leg will be the absence of star striker Robert Lewandowski, who suffered a knee sprain on international duty with Poland.

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He’s been ruled out for both ties, which is a massive blow to Bayern’s attack. However, they were able to pull out three points over the weekend against RB Leipzig in a 1-0 victory to move them seven points clear at the top of the Bundesliga table.

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Lewandowski already has 40 goals to his name between the league and European play and it’s going to be hard for Hansi Flick’s side to make up for his absence. Eric Choupo-Moting did start in his place in the Leipzig clash though and fared well, but the rest of the frontline must step up.

Bayern ripped the hearts out of Lazio in the round of 16, burying the Serie A squad 6-2 on aggregate. They’ve also tasted defeat just once in their last 14 competitive fixtures when Frankfurt handed them a 2-1 loss in late March.

Although Paris has beaten the current title-holders five times in Champions League history, Bayern has won three straight games on home soil against the French side.

With another UCL victory on Wednesday, the Bundesliga giants will also become just the second team ever to go unbeaten in 20 European matches after Manchester United did so in the late 2000s.

PSG Looking to Take Advantage

Mauricio Pochettino’s men will surely be happy to see Lewandowski out and will definitely feel like they have the upper hand in the final third. Kylian Mbappe is in tremendous form while Neymar is also back and healthy, giving the Parisians their one-two punch.

Mbappe dismantled Barcelona in the last round, bagging a hat-trick in the first leg then also scoring another in the reverse fixture. The Frenchman has netted eight times in his last seven appearances.

PSG will be looking to bounce back on Wednesday from a crucial defeat to title contenders Lille over the weekend after Canadian Jonathan David broke the deadlock early in the first half. Paris now sits three points behind LOSC in second spot, but their sights will be focused on Champions League glory after finishing as runners-up last term.

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Pochettino has been dealt a blow though after Italian pairing Marco Verratti and Alessandro Florenzi both tested positive for COVID-19, which is going to force the PSG boss to make some vital changes within his squad.

They’ve also had no problem at all scoring in this competition, netting in 42 of their last 43 UCL matches. The only time they didn’t bag a goal? Last year’s Champions League final.

Bayern Munich vs PSG Key Stats

Bayern Munich
VS
PSG
7-1-0 Record in 2020/21 UCL Campaign 5-1-2
24 Goals Scored 18
7 Goals Conceded 8
5.6 Shots on Target Per Match 5.1

Bayern Continues Torrid Home Form

Even without Lewandowski, it’s tough to go against Bayern. They haven’t lost all term long on home turf and I don’t see that changing on Wednesday.

With two rock-solid backlines, this should be a low-scoring affair, but the hosts will come out on top and head into the reverse tie with the upper hand on their quest for yet another Champions League title.

Pick: Bayern Munich -108, Under 2.5 goals (+143)


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