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Brazil vs Ecuador & Venezuela vs Peru Odds & Picks: Copa America Group Stage Matchday 5

Daniel Coyle

by Daniel Coyle in Soccer News

Updated Jun 26, 2021 · 6:42 PM PDT

Neymar, Brazil, Copa America
Brazil's Neymar takes a shot in an attempt to score during a Copa America soccer match against Colombia at Nilton Santos stadium in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Wednesday, June 23, 2021. (AP Photo/Silvia Izquierdo)
  • The Copa America Group B schedule wraps up on Sunday as first-place Brazil takes on  Ecuador, and Peru battles Venezuela
  • Brazil has dominated in three group stage wins, but faces an Ecuador squad in need of goals to maintain their slim lead over last-place Venezuela
  • We’ve got you covered with all the odds and trends ahead of Sunday evening’s Group B matchups

Brazil will be aiming to close out the group stage with an unblemished 4-0-0 record when they face Ecuador on Sunday as lofty -275 favorites. The host nation for this year’s Copa America, Brazil has fulfilled the promise as heavy favorites entering the tournament, outgunning opponents by a wide 9-1 margin while marching to three straight group stage victories. Listed as distant +850 underdogs in Sunday evening’s clash at Estádio Olímpico Pedro Ludovico, Ecuador is winless so far in the tournament, but maintains a tenuous grasp on fourth place on the Group B table.

Ecuador will be looking for a little help from Peru, who take on Venezuela in Sunday’s other Group B finale as +138 chalk. Venezuela sits deadlocked with Ecuador with just one point through three contests, but have earned at least a point in five of six meetings with Los Inca.
Here’s a look at all the odds and trends ahead of Sunday’s important Group B matchups.

Brazil vs Ecuador Copa America Odds

Matchup Spread Moneyline at DraftKings Total
Brazil vs Ecuador BRA -1.5 (+116) | ECU +1.5 (-139) ( BRA -275 | Draw +350 | ECU +850 Ov 2.5 (-121) | Un 2 (-103)

*Odds as of June 24, 2021

Brazil Dominating as Expected

To the surprise of virtually no one, Brazil has dominated the early going of the 2021 Copa America. With their three victories so far in group stage action, Brazil now rides a 10-match win streak across all competitions, and surrendered just three total goals during that stretch. The Seleção have also benefited from distributed scoring with eight different players tallying the squad’s nine total goals in their first three group stage contests.

Neymar Jr. has maintained the red-hot pace that has marked his recent appearances on the international stage. The superstar striker is lone member of Brazil’s squad to score multiple goals at this tournament, and now has seven markers to his credit over his past six international outings. But while he leads the way as a short -121 bet to score at some point on Sunday, he will have to be on his best behavior and could be subbed out earlier than expected after drawing a yellow card in Wednesday’s narrow 2-1 win over Colombia.

Ecuador Desperate for Points

While Brazil has already locked up the top of the Group B table, and a berth in the knockout stage, Ecuador will be desperate to at least keep things close in Sunday’s clash. La Tricolor cling to fourth place on the table on the strength their edge in goal differential over last-place Venezuela.

However, shutting down Brazil is a challenge that Ecuador has not been up to over the past decade. La Tricolor are winless in 10 meetings with the Seleção across all competitions, and have failed to tally a goal while going 0-1-4 over their past five matchups. Ecuador is also winless in their past five overall, and has blown leads in each of their past two tournament matches, which both ended in draws.

The Picks: Brazil -1.5 (+116); OVER 2.5 (-121)

Venezuela vs Peru Copa America Odds

Matchup Spread Moneyline at DraftKings Total
Venezuela vs Peru VEN +0.5 (-167) | PER -0.5 (+138) ( VEN +250 | Draw +188 | PER +138 Ov 2.5 (+155) | Un 2.5 (-195)

Peru Enjoying Resurgence

In Sunday’s other matchup, Peru aims to lock up second place on the group stage as they battle Venezuela. Los Incas have emerged as one of the surprise of this year’s Copa America. Winless in nine straight overall contests entering the month of June, Peru has turned things around, with their 4-0 loss to Brazil in their tourney opener marking their lone defeat in their past four contests.

Peru has also demonstrated character at this tournament with a stunning 2-1 win over heavily favored Colombia followed by an impressive comeback in Wednesday’s 2-2 draw with Ecuador.

Can Venezuela Snap Current Slide?

Things have not gone so well for Venezuela, who have scored just five total goals during a dismal 1-3-5 run, and needed a goal in the 90th minute to eke out a draw with Ecuador last time out.

Venezuela is also winless in four non-friendly matchups with Peru since 2013. However, La Vinotinto have a long track record of rising to the occasion at the Copa America, advancing at least as far as the quarter-finals in four of their past five tournament appearances, including an impressive march to the semi-finals back in 2011.

The Picks: Peru -0.5 (+138); UNDER 2.5 (-195)

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