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Bundesliga Matchday 28 Odds & Picks: Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig, Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund & More

Sam Cox

by Sam Cox in Soccer

Apr 8, 2021 · 7:47 AM PDT

Bundesliga Matchday 28
Dortmund's Emre Can, right, and Dortmund's Manuel Akanji, left, react disappointed after losing the German Bundesliga soccer match between Borussia Dortmund and Eintracht Frankfurt in Dortmund, Germany, Saturday, April 3, 2021. (AP Photo/Martin Meissner, Pool)
  • Matchday 28 of the Bundesliga season takes place this weekend, starting on Friday
  • RB Leipzig have the opportunity to put the pressure on Bayern Munich
  • Get the latest odds, betting previews and picks below

Bundesliga Matchday 28 of the 2020/21 Bundesliga season is here. Ariminia Bielefeld and Freiburg get things underway on Friday before Werder Bremen and RB Leipzig matchup on Saturday. Champions and title favorites Bayern Munich play host to Union Berlin, while there’s a top-four clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Wolfsburg.

Koln and Mainz meet in a relegation showdown on Sunday. Bayer Leverkusen wrap up the matchday on Monday with a trip to out of form Hoffenheim.

Read below for previews of three of this weekend’s most interesting matches.

Bundesliga Matchday 28 Odds

Matchup Home Draw Away
Arminia Bielefeld vs Freiburg +215 +220 +135
Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin -235 +370 +600
Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig +600 +340 -215
Hertha Berlin vs Borussia Monchengladbach +215 +245 +125
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Wolfsburg +125 +250 +210
VfB Stuttgart vs Dortmund +300 +300 -124
Schalke vs Augsburg +220 +235 +125
Koln vs Mainz +200 +225 +145
Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen +185 +250 +140

All odds as of Apr 8 DraftKings

Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig Prediction

RB Leipzig’s title chances took a massive hit with the loss to Bayern last time out. With the league leaders coming off Champions League disappointment, though, this title race is not necessarily over. Leipzig could be just four points behind after this round of fixtures. Having been knocked out the Champions League by Liverpool, Leipzig are in a difficult run of form themselves, however.

After a run of eight wins in nine matches, Leipzig has won just one of four in all competitions. If they are to keep the title race alive down the stretch, they cannot afford for this poor run to continue. Luckily, they have a good recent record against Werder Bremen. Julian Nagelsmann has guided his side to three consecutive wins to nil against this weekend’s opponent.

Not yet safe from relegation, this is a big match for the hosts. Florian Kohfeldt’s side are in the midst of a difficult run of fixtures, and it’s left them on a three-match losing streak. They could be pulled back into the relegation battle with a defeat here on Bundesliga Matchday 28.

Leipzig have the best defense by expected goals against by a large margin. It’s three straight comfortable wins over Werder Bremen – that streak looks good to continue here, despite the visitors’ recent blip.

Pick: Leipzig to win to nil (+143)

Hertha Berlin vs Borussia Monchengladbach Prediction

Back-to-back wins over Schalke and Freiburg have given Borussia Monchengladbach a shot at the top six entering Bundesliga Matchday 28. Currently four points off Bayer Leverkusen, Gladbach could move up to seventh this weekend with Stuttgart and Union Berlin facing tough fixtures. There’s no question Gladbach have underachieved this term. The main responsibility for that disappointment is on the defense. Their 41 goals conceded is the highest tally outside of the bottom seven.

The visitors are unsurprisingly favored for their trip to the capital. Hertha Berlin have picked up seven of the last 12 available points, but they are still on just 25 for the season. They could fall back into the bottom three this weekend. Hertha have good recent history against this weekend’s opponents, which should boost their confidence further. They held Gladbach to a draw earlier in the season, making it one defeat in four previous meetings.

It’s hard to ignore the patchiness of Gladbach’s results this season. Hertha’s underlying numbers suggest their performances are better than the results – they are a good bet to continue their good record against Gladbach.

Pick: Hertha Berlin win or draw (-152)

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

It’s been a massively disappointing campaign for Borussia Dortmund. Three wins from their last eight matches has given them an uphill battle to finish in the top four. Bizarrely, though, they were excellent against Manchester City in midweek and unlucky not to win the match. They have been unable to translate performances into results in the Bundesliga, however, and are seven points off fourth after a loss to Eintracht Frankfurt last weekend.

Stuttgart are one of the league’s form teams. Only four clubs have accumulated more points since the turn of the year. Their 5-1 drubbing of Dortmund earlier in the campaign was one of the shocks of the season, and it demonstrated how they can take on even one of Europe’s most talented squads. No team outside the top five has scored more than Stuttgart this term.

Over 3.5 goals has hit in 40-percent of Stuttgart’s matches. That’s up at 45-percent for Dortmund. These are two teams who prioritize goal scoring, and are vulnerable to conceding. There’s been at least four goals in the three previous meetings between these two teams – it’s the obvious pick here.

Pick: Over 3.5 goals (+125)

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