Canada vs South Africa Odds – Who’s Favored in Round of 32?

• Canada and South Africa will meet in the first round of 32 game in the 2026 World Cup
• Due to a disappointing runner-up finish in Group B, Canada will have to head south of the border
• See the opening Canada vs South Africa odds, including the moneyline and over/under

Disappointment reigned across the Great White North on Wednesday afternoon when Canada fell 2-1 to Switzerland and were relegated to second in the group.

There was something of a silver lining later in the evening, though, when South Africa upset South Korea (1-0) to claim second-place in Group A and set up a round of 32 tilt with the Canadians in Inglewood, CA, on Sunday, June 28.

Canada vs South Africa Odds

Despite the fact that they only won one group-stage game – against a Qatar team that was down to ten men early in the first half and nine early in the second – Canada has opened as a heavy favorite to win in regulation time.

The 3-way moneyline at bet365 lists Canada at -140 (58.33% implied win probability), South Africa at +460 (17.86%), and a 90-minute draw at +284 (26.04%).

The over/under has opened at 2.5 goals with -110 odds both ways.

Canada’s games averaged 3.67 GPG in the group stage (but that includes a 6-0 romp over Qatar). South Africa’s averaged just 1.67 and none of the three went over 2.5 goals.

The nascent Kalshi market for the game prices Canada as a 74-cent favorite to advance (-285) with the African side at 28 cents (+257).

Prediction Markets

CAN vs RSA Odds to Advance

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Kalshi

Canada Advances

74%

South Africa Advances

28%

Predict

The O/U market at Kalshi heavily favors under 2.5, which is trading at 59 cents (-144). Over 2.5 is priced at just 43 cents (+133) as of 10:07 am on June 25.

Is Either Team a Threat to Make a Deep Run?

The latest odds to win the World Cup are not auspicious for either side. Despite the fact that one is guaranteed to be in the round of 16, Canada is trading at just 0.3¢ (+33233) to lift the trophy and South Africa at 0.1¢ (+), the lowest-possible price at prediction site Kalshi.

The table below lists the current top-ten favorites.

Prediction Markets

World Cup Odds (R of 32)

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Kalshi

France

20%

Argentina

16%

Spain

13%

England

11%

Portugal

9%

Netherlands

7%

Brazil

6%

Germany

5%

USA

5%

Norway

3%

Predict

The winner of Canada vs South Africa will be a big underdog in the round of 16, where they will face the winner of Morocco vs the Group F first-place finisher.

Netherlands is leading Group F heading into the final matchday and has a relative layup against Tunisia (0-0-2, -8 GD). Morocco is the reigning World Cup bronze medalist (so to speak) and is ranked sixth in the world. Netherlands is two spots back in eighth.

Canada and South Africa are 31st and 54th, respectively.

H2H History: CAN vs RSA

Canada and South Africa have only met once in history, and that came all the way back in 2007.

For what it’s worth (nothing), South Africa won 2-0 in that international friendly.

This marks the first time that either has made the knockout stage of a World Cup.

Bookmark SBD’s World Cup game odds to see if and how the Canada vs South Africa lines shift before kickoff on Sunday, June 28.