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CONCACAF Nations League Nov. 15 Odds & Picks: USA vs Canada & Panama vs Mexico

Daniel Coyle

by Daniel Coyle in Soccer News

Updated Mar 31, 2020 · 4:19 PM PDT

Michael Bradley
The United States will be without injured Toronto FC captain Michael Bradley when they host Canada in a CONCACAF Nationas League matchup on Friday night. Photo by [IIJ Events] ([Wikipedia]) [CC License].
  • With recent 2-0 win over United States, Canada remains undefeated in CONCACAF Nations league action
  • United States can clinch a CONCACAF Gold Cup berth with a draw
  • Mexico travels to Panama on an impressive 14-0-1 run across all competitions

CONCACAF Nations League action heats up on Friday, as Canada tries to close out an undefeated run through League A, and clinch top spot on the Group A table in a road date with the United States. Also on Friday, Panama will be desperate to shut down Mexico’s offense as they host the Tricolor in Group B action.

United States vs Canada – CONCACAF Nations League Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
United States -1.0 (-110) -190 O2.5 (-110)
Canada +1.0 (-120) +425 U2.5 (-120)
Draw N/A +280 N/A

Odds taken Nov. 14

Canada Looks to Remain Unbeaten

Canada will be aiming to close out their League A schedule with a perfect 4-0-0 win-draw-loss record when they visit the United States on Friday as lengthy +400 underdogs on the CONCACAF Nations League odds.

The Canadians have already clinched a berth in the 2021 CONCACAF Gold Cup during their undefeated run at this tournament, and have now posted wins in 10 of 12 matches across all competitions going into Friday night’s United States vs Canada matchup at Exploria Stadium in Orlando.

That run includes a decisive 2-0 win over the Americans in Nations League action last month, which marked Canada’s first victory over their southern neighbor in 19 overall meetings since 1985. It also marked the first time Canada had found the back of the net in a clash with the United States in five meetings, having been outscored by a 3-0 overall margin during a 0-2-2 run.

Canada has outgunned opponents by a 9-0 margin over their three Nations League contests, and by a wide 46-7 margin during their 10-0-2 run.

The Reds have regularly filled the net during their current 12-match surge, which dates back to March 2018. Canada has outgunned opponents by a 9-0 margin over their three Nations League contests, and by a wide 46-7 margin during their 10-0-2 run.

United States vs Canada Head-to-Head Stats

United States
16/36 Number of Wins / Games Played 10/36
10 Number of Losses 16
10 Number of Draws 10
50 Goals Scored 43
58 Points 40

Americans Hobbled by Injury

The United States can lock up a Gold Cup berth with a draw when they host the Canadians on Friday as heavy -180 favorites. Currently pegged at a lengthy No. 23 on the FIFA rankings, the Americans have struggled to produce steady results since falling to defeat in the final of last summer’s Gold Cup, posting just one win in five outings, a 7-0 rout of Cuba in Nations League action last month.

The Americans are also faced with injuries as they prepare for Friday’s contest. Toronto FC captain Michael Bradley suffered an ankle injury in his club’s loss to Seattle in last Sunday’s MLS Cup Final and will miss the United States’ final two Nations League contests. In addition, the squad will be without forward Christian Pulisic after the talented young playmaker suffered a hip injury in Chelsea FC’s 2-0 win over Crystal Palace in Premier League action last weekend.

Despite their recent loss to Canada and injury woes, the United States remains a force in tournament play on home turf, going 11-1-2 in meaningful contests since the end of the 2016 Copa America. The United States have also dominated when playing Canada on American soil, going 9-6-0 in 15 meetings across all competitions since dropping a 3-2 decision in World Cup qualifying back in 1957.

Picks: Draw (+280); Under 2.5 (-120)

Panama vs Mexico – CONCACAF Nations League Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Panama +1.0 (-170) +365 O2, 2.5 (-125)
Mexico -1.0 (+130) -145 U2, 2.5 (-105)
Draw N/A +255 N/A

Mexico Poised to Continue Dominating Run

Later on Friday night, League A action continues as Mexico takes on Panama as -145 road favorites. With wins in each of their two tournament outings, and a goal differential of +6, El Tri are already on the verge of claiming top spot in Group B, and can clinch a Gold Cup berth with a draw in Friday’s contest.

Mexico has continued the dominating play that powered the squad to an undefeated six-match march to last summer’s Gold Cup title, and now take a 14-0-1 run into Friday’s matchup at Estadio Rommel Fernández Gutiérrez in Panama City. The squad manhandled Panama last time out, a 3-1 victory last month in Mexico City, but have held the edge over Los Canaleros by just the narrowest of margins in recent meetings on the road.

The Mexicans settled for a scoreless draw when they last visited Panama during World Cup qualifying in 2016, after needing extra time to eke out a 2-1 win in Gold Cup 2015. They sport a 2-3-1 record in their past six road dates with Los Canaleros across all competitions.

Panama vs Mexico Head-to-Head Stats

2/21 Number of Wins / Games Played 14/21
14 Number of Losses 2
5 Number of Draws 5
14 Goals Scored 43
11 Points 47

Gold Cup Berth in Reach for Panama

Desperate to avoid a blowout loss that could threaten their bid for a Gold Cup berth, Panama welcome El Tri as lengthy +365 underdogs. Los Canaleros hold down second place on the Group B table, edging out Bermuda on the strength of a middling -1 goal differential. Accordingly, a heavy focus on defense will likely be part of their game plan on Friday night.

But consistent success has eluded the Panamanians, who enjoyed an impressive march to the quarterfinals at this year’s Gold Cup but own a disappointing 5-4-18 record across all competitions since clinching their first-ever World Cup berth back in 2017.

Picks: First Half Draw (+105); Over 2, 2.5 (-125)

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