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Eintracht Frankfurt vs Napoli Prediction, Odds, Lineups – Champions League Round of 16

Gary Gowers

by Gary Gowers in Soccer News

Updated Feb 20, 2023 · 1:00 PM PST

Atalanta vs Napoli odds
September 14, 2022, Glasgow Stadium, Glasgow, Scotland: Tanguy Ndombeledo Napoli celebrates after scoring a goal (3-0) during a match between Rangers and Napoli at Ibrox Stadium in Glasgow, Scotland, valid for UEFA Champions League (Group A). (Photo by Sport Press Photo/Zuma Press/Icon Sportswire)
  • It’s Eintracht Frankfurt vs Napoli in the Champions League round-of-16 on Tuesday, February 21
  • The Neapolitans topped their qualifying group with ease and also lead Serie A
  • Find our Eintracht Frankfurt vs Napoli prediction below, where we look at the odds and offer some picks

It’s Eintracht Frankfurt vs Napoli on Tuesday, February 21 in the Champions League round-of-16 first leg. Kickoff at Deutsche Bank Park is scheduled for 3:00pm ET. The Neapolitans are slightly favored in the Eintracht Frankfurt vs Napoli odds.

Napoli’s route to the last 16 was a relatively comfortable one, but for Frankfurt it took some final-day heroics to sneak into the second qualifying spot of Group D.

We preview our Eintracht Frankfurt vs Napoli picks, look at the odds, and offer some analysis, team news, and predictions below.

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Napoli Odds

Matchup Moneyline
Eintracht Frankfurt +220
Napoli +120
Draw +270

Odds as of Feb 20 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Use this DraftKings Sportsbook promo code to bet on this or other games.

The bookmakers make the Italians narrow plus money favorites at +120 for the win, with a probability of 45%, while the Germans of Frankfurt are listed at +220 for the home with a win probability of 31%.  The draw, at +270 offers the best odds and is implied at 27%.

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Eintracht Frankfurt vs Napoli Over/Under and Spread

The bookies are expecting goals in this one, with under 2.5  goals on offer in plus money at +105, while the over is on offer at a less-attractive -130.

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Napoli Preview

As winners of last season’s Europa League, this Eintracht team has tasted recent success in Europe and did brilliantly to negotiate a tough UCL group. Their chances of qualification looked slim going into Matchday 5 but 2-1 wins in each of their last two games – against Marseille and Sporting Lisbon – saw them steal second place in Group D.

All of the above adds up to an outstanding recent record in European competition for Frankfurt, who have lost just two of their last 19 continental match-ups – winning ten of those.

Eintracht in a Good Place

Despite a tricky start to the Bundesliga season, Frankfurt have now worked their way up to sixth in the table; their most recent success being a fine 2-0 win over Werder Bremen on Saturday. A key figure in their recent good run has been French international striker Randal Kolo Muani who has scored seven goals in Eintracht’s last six games.

They are also through to the quarter-finals of Germany’s main cup competition – the DFB-Pokal – so it is all systems go in Frankfurt as they look to overturn the odds and take what would be a crucial lead back to Naples for the second leg on March 15.

Napoli’s Perfect Season

So far, it has been an almost perfect season for Napoli. Some simply outstanding form in Serie A has seen them open up a 15-point lead at the top of the table with 15 left to play, and in their UCL qualifying group they won five of their six games to top the group.

Not since 1990 have they won the Scudetto, so that particular trophy is almost in the bag, but such has been their dominance in Europe too, they will fancy their chances of landing European soccer’s biggest prize for the first time ever.

Seven Straight Serie A Wins

Napoli made sure they had momentum coming into this tie with a comfortable away win at Sassuolo last Friday. Their 2-0 win came courtesy of first-half goals from Kvaratskhelia and Osimhen and was their seventh straight victory in Serie A. They have only lost twice in 2023 and one of those was on penalties in the Coppa Italia.

Tuesday’s game is the third time Eintracht Frankfurt and Napoli have played each other in European competition, although those two previous games took place almost three decades ago. For the record, both ties were won, on aggregate, by the Germans.

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Napoli Team Lineups and Injuries

Eintracht Frankfurt Projected Lineup: Trapp, Smolcic, N’Dicka, Tuta, Buta, Kamada, Sow, Max, Lindstrom, Gotze, Kolo Muani.

Injuries & absences: Ebimbe.

Napoli Projected Lineup: Meret, Di Lorenzo, Kim, Rrahmani, Rui, Lobotka, Anguissa, Zielinski, Lozano, Osimhen, Kvaratskhelia.

Injuries & absences: Raspadori.

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Napoli Head-to-Head Stats

EINTRACHT FRANKFURT
VS
NAPOLI
3-1-2 UCL record 5-0-1
7 / 8 Goals for / against 20 / 6
10.5 Shots per game 17.6
80.0 Passing accuracy (%) 85.8
45 Possession (%) 50.7
DDWWLW Form guide (all comps) LWWWWW

Stats from UEFA Official site.

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Napoli Prediction

Napoli are riding the quest of a wave right now and it’s hard to put together a solid case for the Frankfurt win, especially as they have leaked goals so far in this competition. The Germans’ home form is decent though, and its conceivable they could head to Naples with it all square. At +270, that’s where the value lies.

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Napoli Pick: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Napoli to draw (+270) 

 

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