- The Euro 2020 group stage is done which means the Golden Boot race has taken its initial shape with a maximum possible of four games remaining for the two finalists
- Cristiano Ronaldo currently has the early lead in the Golden Boot race, as the 36-year-old netted five times for Portugal across three Group F matches
- Get the odds, our analysis and betting prediction below
The Euro 2020 tournament is finally entering the knockout rounds after two weeks of thrilling group stage fixtures across Europe. Sixteen teams remain in the knockout format, which means each side has the possibility of playing four more matches in the tournament. In turn, fans around the world are beginning to wonder who has the best chances to win one of the competition’s most prestigious awards, the Golden Boot. Currently, Cristiano Ronaldo is on pace to win the award as he sits on five goals. Surprisingly, this would be the first time the Portuguese forward wins the award in his career.
It is very safe to say that one side of the knockout tournament is substantially more difficult than the other. The left side features the likes of Belgium, Portugal, Italy, France, Croatia and Spain. Meanwhile, the notable sides on the right consist of England, Germany and the Netherlands. This is imperative to keep in mind when analyzing who might be a valuable and realistic pick to win the Euro 2020 Golden Boot.
Euro 2020 Golden Boot Odds
|Player||Odds||Current Goal Tally|
|Cristiano Ronaldo (Portugal)||-134||5|
|Romelu Lukaku (Belgium)||+500||3|
|Karim Benzema (France)||+1700||2|
|Ciro Immobile (Italy)||+2000||2|
|Memphis Depay (Netherlands)||+2300||2|
|Kai Havertz (Germany)||+2500||2|
|Gini Wijnaldum (Netherlands)||+2800||3|
|Kylian Mbappe (France)||+3500||0|
|Patrik Schick (Czech Republic)||+3500||3|
|Raheem Sterling (England)||+3500||2|
|Emil Forsberg (Sweden)||+3500||3|
|Antoine Griezmann (France)||+4000||1|
|Harry Kane (England)||+4500||0|
|Alvaro Morata (Spain)||+4500||1|
|Kevin De Bruyne (Belgium)||+8000||1|
|Serge Gnabry (Germany)||+8000||0|
|Diogo Jota (Portugal)||+8000||1|
|Wout Weghorst (Netherlands)||+8000||1|
|Xherdan Shaqiri (Switzerland)||+8000||2|
|Yussuf Poulsen (Denmark)||+10000||2|
Odds as of June 24 at DraftKings
While Ronaldo is the favorite right now, Portugal has the extremely tough task of playing Belgium in the round of 16. If Belgium manages to beat Fernando Santos’ side, then Romelu Lukaku could see himself lifting a piece of individual silverware. The Inter Milan striker was scintillating in the group stages, and is only two goals behind Ronaldo.
History Says Golden Boot Winner Usually Stays Under Five
While Ronaldo, Lukaku, Patrick Schick and Emil Forsberg are all off to hot starts at the Euro 2020 tournament, do not expect them all to keep scoring at that pace. In fact, it is truly rare to see players hold onto their scoring form at a tournament like the Euros, one that can be mentally and physically draining. Furthermore, since 1960, only two players have scored more than five goals in a tournament. Michel Platini scored an astounding nine goals in 1984, while fellow Frenchman Antoine Griezmann scored six goals in 2016.
3️⃣ Lukaku, Lewandowski, Wijnaldum, Schick, Forsberg
— B/R Football (@brfootball) June 24, 2021
With that being said, even if Ronaldo gets knocked out by Belgium, there is a very solid chance he still can win the Golden Boot. Lukaku also obviously has tremendous value as Belgium are the number one ranked team in the world and have a good chance of advancing deep in the competition.
Dark Horses for Euro 2020 Golden Boot
Personally, there are two valuable dark horses to win the Golden Boot this summer at the Euros. The first one is Gini Wijnaldum of the Netherlands. While the Dutch midfielder played a conservative role for Liverpool, he absolutely loves a goal for the Oranje. Wijnaldum has 25 goals in 78 caps for the Netherlands and is also sitting on three goals this summer, just two away from Ronaldo. The Netherlands are also on the opposite side of the bracket which gives them a better chance of advancing.
A very special moment yesterday to score my 25th goal for the Dutch team 🙏🏾🧡 pic.twitter.com/kFdM9VY5EU
— Gini Wijnaldum (@GWijnaldum) June 22, 2021
Lastly, the final legitimate dark horse is Ciro Immobile. Italy were absolutely flying under Roberto Mancini in the group stage, and they are one of my favorites to win it all. If they do make it far, I expect Immobile to play a huge part in the scoring.
Euro 2020 Golden Boot Best Bet
Overall, the best bet for the Euro 2020 Golden Boot in still Ronaldo with odds of -134. Portugal won the Euros in 2016, so it is unfair to play the card of them having a difficult path. He already has a substantial lead in the race and is going to play at least one more game against Belgium. This is one award that has evaded Ronaldo throughout his career, and I just cannot see him missing it this time around.
Pick: Cristiano Ronaldo (-134)