Everton vs Southampton Odds & Prediction – Premier League Round 26
- Everton are coming off a first win at Anfield in 22 years but have lost four of their last five home games in EPL
- Down in 14th position, Southampton have gone eight league games without a win, losing seven of those
- Read on for a full preview, odds, and the best bet for Monday’s game
Two of the nine teams to have led the league at some point this season meet on Monday afternoon at Goodison Park as Round 26 of the English Premier League wraps up. Though visions of parading the trophy have long since departed both dressing rooms, Everton are trying to make a push for the top four, while Southampton are desperately trying to stop the rot and prevent themselves from sliding further towards the relegation spots.
Despite losing four of their last five home games, Everton will be feeling confident following last weekend’s breakthrough at neighbours Liverpool – their first win at Anfield since 1999. But Southampton also experienced the elation of a win against the defending champions, back in January. They haven’t won a game in the eight games since.
Everton vs Southampton Odds
| Matchup | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton vs Southampton | EVE +0.5 (-315) | SOU -0.5 (+250) | EVE +110 | SOU +250 DRAW +250 |
Ov 1.5 (-335) | Un 1.5 (+250) |
All odds taken Feb. 28 at DraftKings
Can Toffees Take Step Forward?
Last weekend’s big 2-0 victory at Anfield was just Everton’s third EPL win of 2021, and ended a three-game winless run for Carlo Ancelotti’s men.
But while the Italian manager is never likely to complain about winning away from home, no matter the opposition, the club’s form at Goodison will be of greater concern to him. Since beating Arsenal on Dec. 19, the team has fallen to West Ham, Newcastle, Fulham and Manchester City, with only a draw against Leicester City breaking up that run of misery.
FT: #LFC 0 Everton 2: Liverpool lose at home to their neighbours for the first time this century. Richarlison and Sigurdsson with the goals. No excuses. Klopp's men only have themselves to blame. Awful in the final third. Four straight home defeats for first time since 1923.
— James Pearce (@JamesPearceLFC) February 20, 2021
Just as bad is their offensive prowess over that period. The team has just two goals in those five games – with nine goals against – but there are some reasons for Everton fans to feel more optimistic.
Calvert-Lewin On Comeback Trail
After missing two of those five games at Goodison with a hamstring injury, Everton’s leading scorer Dominic Calvert-Lewin made it back onto the pitch for the last 28 minutes of the Merseyside derby.
🗣"They (DCL & Allan) are available to play for sure from the beginning"
Everton boss Carlo Ancelotti gives an injury update on Dominic Calvert Lewin, Allan, Yerry Mina & Jean-Philippe Gbamin pic.twitter.com/mhKNTu6UJd
— Toffee TV 🇧🇷🇨🇴🇫🇷🏴🇸🇪🇳🇴 (@ToffeeTVEFC) February 25, 2021
With 13 goals, he has been a big part of Everton’s resurgence this season, and is in line to return to the starting lineup on Monday night. And though he hasn’t provided the same kind of offensive firepower as his teammate, defensive midfielder Allan is also set to return on Monday, having been out for two months with a hamstring problem.
Southampton Slipping Away
Just seven points currently separates Southampton from Fulham in the relegation places, and Ralph Hasenhuttl’s team can ill afford to drop many more points after picking up just one of the last 24 available to it.
Southampton’s last 8 league games:
7 losses
1 point from 24 available
24 goals conceded#saintsfc pic.twitter.com/6HHCratTJq— SaintsExtra (@SaintsExtra) February 23, 2021
Not surprisingly, the Saints have been poor defensively, unable to keep a clean sheet in any of those eight games. And their last three trips away from home have been particularly shocking, with the squad conceding at least three goals in each of those games, starting off with that historic 9-0 loss at Old Trafford against Manchester United.
Everton vs Southampton Key Stats
| 7th | Premier League Position | 14th |
| 12-4-8 | Record (W-D-L) | 8-6-11 |
| 37 | Goals For | 31 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 43 |
| 28.9 | xGoals | 24.1 |
| 32.4 | xGoals Against | 34.6 |
| -0.15 | xGoal Difference Per 90 Minutes | -0.34 |
Can Saints Recapture Form?
Having already beaten Everton 2-0 at home this season, Southampton knows it has the ability to beat the Toffees, but the team is suffering from a laundry list of injuries right now.
🤕 | Ralph Hasenhuttl has confirmed that Oriol Romeu has been ruled out the rest of the season. Wishing him a speedy recovery!
Takumi Minamino will also miss the trip to #EFC. #SaintsFC pic.twitter.com/0NS7nuSNNy
— The Saints View (@TheSaintsView) February 26, 2021
Talisman Oriol Romeu will miss the rest of the season after fracturing his ankle, while forward Theo Walcott, defender Kyle Walker-Peters and midfielder Ibrahima Diallo all continue their recoveries from leg problems.
The Saints are currently on a two-game unbeaten run against Everton, and haven’t lost at Goodison since August 18, 2018.
Pick: Everton (+110) and Under 1.5 (+250)
For the last 20 years, Paul Attfield has worked in sports media. Starting out in his native Britain with the likes of The Independent, he eventually switched continents, with his work appearing in the likes of the Los Angeles Times, Washington Post and Yahoo Sports since.
