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FC Salzburg vs Chelsea Odds & Prediction – Champions League (Oct 25)

Gary Gowers

by Gary Gowers in Soccer News

Updated Oct 24, 2022 · 10:54 PM PDT

Kai Havertz
Jul 23, 2022; Orlando, FL, USA; Chelsea midfielder Kai Havertz (29) controls the ball against Arsenal defender Gabriel (6) during the second half at Camping World Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports
  • In the UEFA Champions League Group E it’s FC Salzburg vs Chelsea on Tuesday, October 25
  • It’s first versus second as the battle for places in the knockout phase nears its conclusion
  • We preview the game, look at the FC Salzburg vs Chelsea odds, and offer some picks below

It’s FC Salzburg vs Chelsea in the Red Bull Arena on Tuesday, October 25, with kick-off at 2:45pm ET.

Chelsea lead Salzburg by a single point at the top of Group E and with just two games to go, and a win here would be enough to send the Blues through to the knockout phase. With AC Milan just two points behind Salzburg neither team can really afford to lose this.

We preview FC Salzburg vs Chelsea, look at the UEFA Champions League odds, and offer some analysis, team news, and picks below.

FC Salzburg vs Chelsea Odds

Matchup Moneyline
FC Salzburg +390
Chelsea -132
Draw +270

Odds as of Oct 24 at BarstoolSportsbook. Use this BarstoolSportsbook promo code to bet on this or other games.

Chelsea are listed as odds-on favorites at -132 with an implied win probability of 57%. Salzburg, despite being at home and only a point behind the Blues are generously priced at +390 with a win probability of just 20%. The draw is listed at +270 – an implied probability of 27%.

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Over/Under and Spread

Barstool are not anticipating goals in this game with under 2.5 listed at -106, although over is also very short at -118.

If you’re new to betting on soccer and want to know about Soccer Futures and Outright Betting, then our page offers help on how to do this in the Champions League and other top competitions.

FC Salzburg vs Chelsea Prediction

Salzburg are currently unbeaten in the group but an inability to turn draws into wins has left them with plenty of work to do before they can plan for the knockout phase. Their only win so far came in their home tie with Dinamo Zagreb but they have been solid and their draw in west London on Matchday 2 was outstanding.

Importantly, their chances of making it into the next phase are still in their control, and a win over Chelsea, even with a game remaining, would be enough to take them through if Milan and Zagreb were to draw the other game.

Fortress Salzburg

The Austrians are currently on a fabulous run, both domestically and in Europe, and are 16 games unbeaten. They have, however, drawn several of those games, including one at the weekend when they drew 0-0 with rivals Sturm Graz, and worth noting is that they have won just two of their last nine Champions League games.

But, equally worthy of note, is the fact they haven’t lost a Champions League on home soil since December 2020, and along the way have avoided defeat against AC Milan, Sevilla, Bayern Munich, and Lille.

FC Salzburg vs Chelsea Head-to-Head Stats

FC Salzburg
VS
Chelsea
1-3-0 UCL record 2-1-1
4 / 3 Goals for / Goals against 6 / 2
53 / 15 Shots / Shots on target 55 / 17
73 Passing accuracy (%) 88.5
40.3 Possession (%) 60
2nd Current group position 1st
W-L-D-D-W-D Form guide W-W-W-W-D-D

Chelsea a Win Away From the Knockout Phase

It’s been a mixed campaign so far for Graham’s Potter’s Blues. Two thrilling wins over AC Milan have been partly offset by an opening-day defeat in Zagreb and a disappointing home draw with Salzburg, but the two wins have been enough to give them control of the group and a win in the Red Bull Arena will guarantee them a top-two finish.

The Blues can’t however claim the top spot just yet – even with a win – as in a very tight group, only three points separate the Blues and bottom-of-the-table Dinamo Zagreb.

Unbeaten under Potter

Chelsea come into this off the back of consecutive draws in the EPL, with the latest coming on Sunday when they drew at home with Manchester United. It was a game they could have won after taking the lead through an 87th-minute Jorginho penalty but four minutes into injury Casemiro leveled for the Red Devils.

The Blues have been very tight defensively of late – another against United would have made it six in a row – and since the arrival of Potter in early September they are unbeaten.

FC Salzburg vs Chelsea Team Lineups and Injuries

Salzburg Projected Lineup: Kohn, Dedic, Solet, Pavlovic, Ulmer, Kjaergaard, Gourna-Douath, Seiwald, Sucic; Okafor, Sesko.

Injuries & absences: Omoregie, Fernando, Diakite, Capaldo, Koita, Kameri.

Chelsea Projected Lineup: Kepa, Azpilicueta, Chalobah, Silva, Chilwell, Gallagher, Jorginho, Loftus-Cheek, Mount, Havertz, Sterling.

Injuries & absences: Fofana, James, Kante.

FC Salzburg vs Chelsea Picks

With both teams specializing in draws, it’s clear which bet is the most attractive. While Chelsea have a clear edge in terms of quality, the outstanding home form of the Austrians in this competition and the fact both teams will be keen to avoid defeat brings the draw ever closer to the surface.

Picks: FC Salzburg and Chelsea to draw (+270)  

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