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Juventus vs Inter Milan Prediction, Odds, Lineups – Coppa Italia Semifinals Leg 1

Sam Cox

by Sam Cox in Soccer News

Updated Apr 3, 2023 · 1:15 PM PDT

Juventus defender Danilo Da Silva (6) and goalkeeper Mattia Perin (36)
Jul 30, 2022; Pasadena California, USA; Juventus defender Danilo Da Silva (6) and goalkeeper Mattia Perin (36) react in the second half against Real Madrid during an international friendly at the Rose Bowl. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
  • Juventus and Inter meet for the third time this season on Tuesday in the Coppa Italia
  • Juve are +120 betting favorites to win the first leg of this tie in the Juventus vs Inter Milan odds
  • Read below for our full preview, statistics and a Juventus vs Inter Milan prediction

Just two-and-a-half weeks after Juventus beat Inter at the San Siro with both teams receiving red cards, they are facing off again in the Coppa Italia semifinals on Tuesday. Turin is the host city on this occasion, with Juve running out 2-0 victors when the teams met at the Allianz Stadium in November. Are they the best bet again this week in our Juventus vs Inter Milan prediction?

The Derby d’Italia is frequently fiery. Neither team has any shot at the Scudetto this term, meaning the Coppa Italia carries additional significance. A win for either team would be a massive step towards the final. With Cremonese and Fiorentina battling it out in the other semi, the winner of this tie will be the heavy favorite to lift the trophy.

Inter defeated Juventus in a thrilling extra-time encounter in the 2022 Coppa Italia final to win the competition for an eighth time. Juventus are the most successful club in Coppa Italia history, winning 14 finals.

Juventus vs Inter Milan Odds

Matchup Moneyline
Juventus +120
Inter +220
Draw +200

Juventus are clear favorites to win the first leg according to the latest Coppa Italia odds. Inter are out at +220, carrying just a 31.3% implied probability of taking an advantage back to Milan for the second leg of this tie at the end of the month. Bookies are suggesting a 45.5% chance of Juventus winning the match.

Juventus vs Inter Milan odds as of April 3rd at FanDuel. Use this FanDuel Sportsbook promo to bet on all Coppa Italia matches.

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Juventus vs Inter Milan Over/Under and Spread

The over/under line for this tie is 2.5, albeit with bookies leaning heavily towards the under with a price of -172. Over 2.5 goals is up at +122, which isn’t surprising with just three goals scored over 180 minutes between these teams this season. Both teams to score is at -102.

Juventus are one-goal favorites on the three-way spread, with odds of +370.

Juventus vs Inter Milan Preview

Inter enter this match in abysmal form, with four defeats from their last five Serie A matches, including the 1-0 loss to Juventus last month. The Nerazzurri have failed to score in their last three matches across all competitions, and have found the net only four times in their last seven matches overall. Under pressure manager Simone Inzaghi has been searching for a solution in the final third. He will likely revert to a front two of Edin Dzeko and Lautaro Martinez after Romelu Lukaku and Joaquin Correa were alarmingly ineffective in the loss to Fiorentina last time out.

Juventus’ form is markedly better. It is eight wins from nine across all competitions for the Old Lady. Six of those victories have been paired with a clean sheet. In typical Max Allegri fashion, they relinquished possession away to Inter before the international break, but generally managed to frustrate their bitter rivals. They will be slightly more assertive at home, though there will still be spells of possession for Inter.

Inter have had some good results against Juventus in recent seasons, with the Coppa Italia final last season being the most notable. Their form coming into this one is awful, however, and this isn’t the sort of match where their attack is likely to regain its best form.

Juventus vs Inter Milan Lineups & Injuries

Juventus Projected Lineup: Szczesny; Danilo, Bremer, Gatti; De Sciglio, Miretti, Locatelli, Rabiot, Kostic; Di Maria, Vlahovic.

Juventus Injuries: Bonucci, Pogba, Chiesa.

Inter Milan Projected Lineup: Onana; Darmian, Acerbi, Bastoni; Dumfries, Barella, Brozovic, Mkhitaryan, Gosens; Martinez, Dzeko.

Inter Milan Injuries: Skriniar, Dimarco.

Juventus vs Inter Milan Statistics

Juventus
VS
Inter
65 Goals 64
14 Shots taken per 90 15.6
455.6 Passes per 90 489.3
73 yellows, 6 reds Cards 74 yellows, 2 reds
7.7 Shots inside the area per 90 9

Juventus vs Inter Milan Prediction

Juventus have lost just once at home in domestic action this season, which came when the club was in turmoil after the points deduction. Inter have failed to win in their last four away matches, scoring just one goal in the process.

Under 2.5 has cashed in six of Juve’s previous eight at home, and nine of Inter’s last 11 matches home and away. The first leg of ties like this can often be cagey — these teams have already played out two low-scoring matches this term.

The form book suggests an away win is very unlikely. We don’t expect many goals either. This price is great value for our Juventus vs Inter Milan prediction.

Juventus vs Inter Milan Picks: Juventus to win or draw and under 2.5 total goals (-102)

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