LAFC vs Austin FC Odds & Prediction – MLS Cup Playoffs Western Conference Finals
- LAFC and Austin FC lock horns in the Western Conference Finals on Sunday
- The hosts are a heavy -190 favorite to come out victorious
- Read on for the odds, analysis, and LAFC vs Austin FC prediction
A spot in the MLS Cup Final is on the line Sunday as top-seeded LAFC welcomes Austin FC to the Banc of California Stadium in the West Finals. The winner will progress to the grand finale to face either the Philadelphia Union or NYCFC. Find the LAFC vs Austin FC prediction below.
LA had a tough affair in the semifinals with their city rivals the Galaxy, running out as 3-2 winners thanks to a last-gasp goal from Cristian Arango in the 93rd minute of injury time. As for Austin, they also beat a familiar foe in FC Dallas, 2-1 last Sunday.
LAFC vs Austin FC Odds
| Matchup | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| LAFC | -190 |
| Austin FC | +450 |
| Draw | +335 |
Odds as of October 28th at Barstool. Use this Barstool promo code to bet on Sunday’s MLS clash.
LAFC is a heavy -190 favorite for an implied win probability of 61%. Austin’s +450 odds give them a slim 17% chance of progressing here.
The visitors actually beat LA in both meetings this season, scoring six goals and conceding just twice.
Over/Under & Spread
The total is set at 3.5 goals instead of the usual 2.5. The over comes in at +107, while the under sits at -148. Their first clash of the campaign ended 4-1 and the second was a 2-1 result.
LAFC vs Austin FC Betting Analysis
LAFC won the Supporters’ Shield during the regular season, which is awarded to the best team in the entire MLS. Steve Cherundolo’s men have fully lived up to expectations in the playoffs as title contenders, too. The Black and Gold earned a bye into the West Semifinals where they battled it out with the Galaxy, with this fixture truly going down to the wire.
All the drama happened in the last 15 minutes, with the two clubs exchanging blows. Tied 1-1, Denis Bouanga bagged what he thought would be an 80th-minute winner before LAFC’s rivals equalized just five minutes later. Then in the third minute of injury time, Arango banged in a rebound off a corner to seal the deal. Heading into Sunday’s encounter, Gareth Bale is the only notable absence. He’s listed as questionable due to a knee injury.
LAFC vs Austin FC Regular Season Stats
| 12.2 | Shots | 10.4 |
| 2.0 | Goals Per Game | 1.9 |
| 5.9 | Shots on Target | 4.5 |
| DWWLW | Form in Last Five Games | DLDWW |
It’s truly remarkable that Austin FC is even at this point in just their second campaign as an MLS side. They finished as runners-up to LAFC with 56 points in 34 games, making their presence felt as one of the top clubs in the league. Like their counterparts on Sunday, Austin earned a bye to the last round, taking out Dallas.
Josh Wolff’s group jumped out to an early two-goal lead within the first 30 minutes, with frontman Moussa Djitte and Sebastian Driussi producing the goods. Driussi was easily Austin’s best attacker this term, netting 25 times and providing five assists in 36 outings. The Oaks possess an impressive track record against LAFC in 2022 and will be oozing with confidence here.
LAFC vs Austin FC Projected Lineups & Absences
LAFC Projected Lineup: Crepeau; Hollingshead, Murillo, Segura, Palacios; Blessing, Sanchez, Acosta; Vela, Arango, Bouanga
Injuries & absences: Bale (questionable)
Austin FC Projected Lineup: Stuver; Lima, Cascante, Gabrielsen, Gallagher; Ring, Valencia; Finlay, Driussi, Fagundez; Djitte
Injuries & absences: Kleemann
LAFC vs Austin FC Prediction
The playoffs are a whole different beast and LAFC clearly has a lot more experience than Austin. But, in my opinion, you can’t ignore their solid play against Cherundolo’s side during the campaign. I’m taking the underdog to get it done. Also, given the vulnerability at the back with both sides and the free-scoring ways of these respective attacks, the over is worth a bet as well.
Pick: Austin (+450), Over 3.5 Goals (+107)
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Quinn Allen is a sports journalist, with a background and education in broadcast journalism (BCIT '17). He is a full-time associate editor at ClutchPoints by day, where he writes about soccer, baseball, basketball, football, and more. At night, Quinn is a frequent contributor at SBD.
