- Manchester United’s odds of finishing top four reduce after derby win
- The EPL’s four Champions League places look to be between six teams
- Wolves on offer for top four at a juicy +2500
Manchester United may be well off the pace to win the EPL title, with average odds of +61250, but are now 4-1 to finish in the top four after their win over Man City at the weekend.
The question we’re asking is if they offer good value to close the gap on Chelsea and gain a Champions League spot? We’ll take a look at the odds for United and others to finish top four.
EPL 2019-20 Top Four Finish Odds
Odds taken on Dec. 10 .
The first thing to say is there are no EPL odds here for Liverpool to finish top four, but for obvious reasons – their eight-point lead at the top of the EPL makes them shoo-ins for the top four. The second thing to say is City are currently six points adrift of second-placed Leicester in the league table yet head the ‘top four’ betting by some distance.
City’s current slump, however, is a genuine concern for those in and around the club and they will have been particularly bruised by the home defeat at the weekend by city rivals, Manchester United.
United on Upward Trajectory
Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s United have had an up-and-down season. Interspersed between some big disappointments have been some triumphs that have offered hope to the Old Trafford faithful; hope that the path Solskjaer has set them on will again in the future lead them to glory.
The problem is not a lack of quality – in attacking areas this United their team has arguably the best, most dynamic lineup in the EPL – but instead, it’s an alarming lack of consistency that has hindered progress and raised doubts over Solskjaer’s long-term future.
Man City’s current slump is a concern for those in and around the club and they will have been particularly bruised by the home defeat by United.
But, as things stand, United are fifth in the EPL table and just four points behind Chelsea, who currently occupy fourth place and the fourth Champions League place. United are also on a run of one defeat in eight and so everything points to the +500 on offer as being decent value. After the morale-boosting win at the Etihad, it is hard to see the Red Devils going backwards from here.
City Struggling to Make Top Two
It looks, at the moment at least, to be a battle for fourth spot between seven teams but with Man City struggling to maintain the high standards that took them to two consecutive Premier League titles, another couple of defeats could see them dragged into the mix too.
It’s impossible however to ignore the quality within City’s squad and the high standards Pep Guardiola sets his men. While their priority now is this season’s Champions League – their poor showing in the EPL could ultimately help their UCL chances – there’s is no way the City hierarchy would even contemplate in missing out on qualification for next season. They’ll make top four.
Foxes on the Run
Leicester, currently in second, are a whopping 14 points ahead of United so it looks nailed on that the Foxes will be playing in the Champions League again next season; a repeat of 2016/17 when they reached the quarterfinal stage.
Where it starts to get more interesting is when looking at Chelsea and beyond, with the Blues’ tentative hold on fourth spot still seeing them pitched at odds-on (-165). With manager Frank Lampard now able to spend in the January transfer window thanks to the club winning an appeal on its transfer ban, the Blues will be looking to strengthen next month. The Blues do concede goals though – 24 in 16 games – and this may count against them in the final stretch.
Spurs and Wolves in Positive Territory
The value, as it stands, looks to be with Tottenham, whose odds are still in positive territory (+185). Since the arrival of new boss Jose Mourinho, Spurs’ season has had a significant boost and the trauma of the final weeks of the Pochettino era now feels long gone.
It’s onwards and upwards now for Tottenham and, while they are currently six points behind Chelsea, they have that priceless commodity – momentum. Top four is still within their grasp.
The other contenders are Wolves who, while level on points with Utd at the moment, are on offer at a juicy +2500. The West Midlands club have recovered from a difficult start to the season and now look well placed for another top-seven finish. An extended run in the Europa League – they have already qualified for the knockout phase – may ultimately count against them and it looks a big ask for them to make top four.
Pick: Top four – Liverpool, Leicester City, Man City, Man Utd