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Monaco vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction, Odds, Lineups – Europa League Playoffs

Sam Cox

by Sam Cox in Soccer News

Feb 22, 2023 · 1:14 PM PST

Monaco celebrates
Wissam Ben Yedder (monaco) during the Coupe de France Semifinal match Rumilly v AS Monaco on May 13, 2021 in Avignon, France. (Photo by Frederic Chambert/Panoramic/Icon Sportswire) ****NO AGENTS---NORTH AND SOUTH AMERICA SALES ONLY****
  • Monaco host Bayer Leverkusen in the Europa League Playoffs on Thursday
  • Leverkusen lost 3-2 at home in the first leg, and are +210 underdogs for this match in the Monaco vs Bayer Leverkusen odds
  • Read below for our full preview, statistics and a Monaco vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction

Following a blockbuster of a first leg at the BayArena, Monaco holds a 3-2 advantage over Bayer Leverkusen for their tie at the Stade Louis-II on Thursday. The Ligue 1 outfit is considered massive favorites to progress in the latest Europa League odds with a -480 price at FanDuel to qualify. Leverkusen are out at +350 in the Monaco vs Bayer Leverkusen odds.

After leaving the first leg with an injury, the absence of top scorer Moussa Diaby is a massive blow to Leverkusen’s chances. The visitors are on a poor run of form with four losses in their last five matches in all competitions and have not fared particularly well in continental competition over the last couple of seasons. Monaco has struggled even more significantly, however, with a string of disappointments since their run to the Champions League last four in 2016-17.

See the Monaco vs Bayer Leverkusen odd and picks below.

Monaco vs Bayer Leverkusen Odds

Matchup Moneyline
Monaco +115
Bayer Leverkusen +210
Draw +260

Winners last week and with home advantage in the second leg, Monaco are +115 favorites to win inside 90 minutes on Thursday. An implied probability of 46.5% for the hosts is significantly higher than the 32.3% mark for the visitors, who are +210 on the moneyline. Odds as of February 22nd at FanDuel. Use this FanDuel Sportsbook promo to bet on all Champions League matches.

Moncao vs Bayer Leverkusen Over/Under and Spread

The over/under for total goals is set at 2.5, despite the high-scoring match in Germany last time out. More goals are expected here, however, with the over at a short price of -146 and a lengthy +120 on the under. Monaco are one-goal favorites on the three-way spread, with a +290 price in the Monaco vs Bayer Leverkusen odds.

Monaco vs Bayer Leverkusen Preview

A strong start under Xabi Alonso has come to an abrupt end for Leverkusen. Their defense has been leaky, conceding six over the last two matches, and hopes of a late-season push for a Bundesliga top-six spot have faded over the last few weeks. Conceding two goals in the final 20 minutes in the first leg has left them with an uphill battle on the road on Thursday night.

Leverkusen have won three of their last four on the road, giving them some confidence of a comeback in this one. They won only one other away match prior to that run this season, however.

Monaco have won five in a row and gone eight unbeaten in all competitions. Since a poor start to the season, they have been a formidable opponent on home soil, winning eight of their last 11. Only once this term have they lost by more than one goal at Stade Louis-II, which is what Leverkusen need to achieve to progress in the Monaco vs Leverkusen picks without extra time and penalties.

Les Rouge et Blanc also defeated PSG 3-1 in their last home match. They are not flat-track bullies by any stretch, which is reflected in their underlying statistics.

Monaco vs Bayer Leverkusen Lineups & Injuries

Monaco Projected Lineup: Nubel; Matsima, Disasi, Maripan, Henrique; Diatta, Fofana, Camara, Golovin; Minamino, Embolo.

Monaco Injuries: Vanderson, Aguilar.

Bayer Leverkusen Projected Lineup: Hradecky; Frimpong, Tapsoba, Tah, Hincapie; Palacios, Andrich; Amiri, Wirtz, Adli; Hlozek.

Bayer Leverkusen Injuries: Lunev, Aranguiz, Diaby.

Monaco vs Bayer Leverkusen Statistics

Bayer Leverkusen
EL Round of 16 2021-22 in Europe EL Round of 16
+0.41 Expected Goal Difference per 90 +0.20
Wissam Ben Yedder (17) Top Goalscorer Moussa Diaby (10)
70 Total Goals 44

Monaco vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction

Both of these teams have quality throughout their squads. Monaco, though, are the far more consistent of the two after recovering from a disappointing first few weeks of the campaign. Leverkusen have upside, and a young forward line will cause the hosts problems, but they have not been performing well of late, and will need their defense to take a massive step forward to force an upset in the Monaco vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction.

Diaby’s injury is a major factor for this match, too. He is Leverkusen’s only consistent goal-scoring threat.

With the visitors forced to chase the game from the first whistle, we are looking at an end-to-end affair with plenty of opportunities for both attacks. Over 3.5 goals has landed in six of Monaco’s last nine and all of Leverkusen’s previous three.

Monaco vs Bayer Leverkusen Picks: Over 3.5 goals (+182)


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