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RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, Odds, Lineups – DFB-Pokal Quarterfinals

Quinn Allen

by Quinn Allen in Soccer News

Updated Apr 10, 2023 · 9:31 PM PDT

Dortmund's Marco Reus, center, celebrates
Dortmund's Marco Reus, center, celebrates after he scored his side's decisive second goal during the German Bundesliga soccer match between Borussia Dortmund and VfB Stuttgart in Dortmund, Germany, Saturday, Nov. 20, 2021. (AP Photo/Martin Meissner)
  • RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund lock horns in the DFB-Pokal Quarterfinals on Wednesday
  • Leipzig is a slim favorite at +125 in the Leipzig vs Dortmund odds
  • Keep reading for the RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund prediction and preview

The DFB-Pokal Quarterfinals will take place this week, with a very intriguing clash on Wednesday between two of Germany’s biggest clubs as RB Leipzig plays host to Borussia Dortmund. The kick-off is scheduled for 2:45 PM ET at Red Bull Arena and we have our RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund prediction for the match here.

Leipzig is in awful form at the moment, losing three games in a row, including a 3-0 defeat to Mainz over the weekend. Dortmund also dropped points Saturday as Bayern beat them 4-2 to move into first place in the Bundesliga table.

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Odds

Matchup Moneyline
RB Leipzig +125
Borussia Dortmund +185
Draw +270

Leipzig comes in at +125 moneyline odds for this German Cup fixture with an implied win probability of 44.44%. Dortmund sits at +185 and has a 35.09% chance of coming out victorious. A draw is priced at +270. In two meetings this term, both sides have won one match apiece.

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund odds as of April 4 at DraftKings.

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RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Preview

Leipzig might be playing poorly as of late, but they’re the reigning champions of this competition. Die Roten Bullen beat Freiburg in penalties last season to take home the grand prize, despite being a man down for the last 33 minutes.

The club was actually runners up in 2019-20 and 2020-21 as well, therefore success in the DFB-Pokal is a common occurrence over the last few years. However, Marco Rose’s men have just one win in their last five games and that came way back on March 11th against Monchengladbach. There is no shortage of motivation for Rose though, who will be hoping to take down his former club and get Leipzig back on track in the process.

The visitors saw their brief spell in top spot disappear over the weekend in Der Klassiker as Bayern continued their dominance of Dortmund. Three goals in the first 23 minutes quickly put The Black and Yellows in an early hole and they were never able to recover.

As for the German Cup, Dortmund is the fourth-most successful side in the history of the tournament, winning five times and earning five second-place finishes as well. Rose’s squad took down VfL Bochum in the Round of 16, their first Bundesliga opposition through the first three rounds.

Leipzig vs Dortmund Projected Lineups & Injuries

Leipzig Projected Lineup: Blaswich; Simakan, Orban, Gvardiol, Raum; Laimer, Haidara; Szoboszlai, Olmo; Silva, Werner

Injuries & absences: Gulasci, Nkunku (questionable), Schlager, Poulsen

Dortmund  Projected Lineup: Meyer; Morey, Sule, Hummels, Guerreiro; Ozcan, Can, Bellingham; Brandt, Moukoko, Malen

Injuries & absences: Meunier, Morey, Duranville, Kamara, Schlotterbeck

Christopher Nkunku is just about recovered from a hamstring injury, but Leipzig could give him more time to heal here.

For Dortmund, Jude Bellingham is dealing with a persistent knee issue. While he’s still playing, it’s something to keep an eye on.

Leipzig vs Dortmund DFB-Pokal Stats

Leipzig
VS
Dortmund
15.7 Shots 15.7
10.7 Shots on Target 8.0
5.0 Goals 2.3
1 DFB-Pokal Titles 5

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

It’s always entertaining when these two rivals lock horns and I expect that to be the case once again in our Leipzig vs Dortmund prediction. Although Leipzig is fresh off a crushing loss on home soil, it wouldn’t surprise me to see them bounce back here. After all, the hosts are 9-2-2 at Red Bull Arena in league play and have scored seven times in both DFB-Pokal home matches this season.

Leipzig vs Dortmund Picks: Leipzig +125

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