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Spain vs Belgium Odds for World Cup Quarterfinals – 3-Way Moneyline, Total & Odds to Advance

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in Soccer News

Published:


Charles De Ketelaere celebrating a goal
July 6, 2026; Seattle, Washington, U.S.; Belgium's Charles De Ketelaere celebrates scoring their second goal. Mandatory Credit: Steven Bisig-Imagn Images
  • After ousting Team USA in hostile territory, Belgium will face Spain in the quarterfinals
  • Spain kept their fifth straight clean sheet of the tournament in a 1-0 Round of 16 win over Portugal
  • See the opening Spain vs Belgium odds for Friday, July 10, in Inglewood, CA

A massive heavyweight tilt is on tap in the World Cup quarterfinals this Friday when Spain clash with Belgium in Inglewood, CA.

Since a 0-0 draw with tournament darling Cape Verde on the first matchday, Spain have been unimpeachable, outscoring their next four opponents 9-0.

Belgium played by far their best game of the World Cup to date on Monday night, routing the USA 4-1 in Seattle on the strength of a brace and an assist from Charles De Ketelaere. As impressive as the Atlanta man was, Spain has opened as a big favorite to reach the semifinals.

Spain vs Belgium Odds

Bet TypeSpainDrawBelgium
Odds to Advance76¢ (-317)25¢ (+300)
3-Way Moneyline-160+300+440
Total GoalsOv 2.5 (-120)Un 2.5 (-102)
Odds as of 9:47 pm ET at Kalshi.

Prediction site Kalshi has de facto odds to advance posted already for Spain vs Belgium. In Kalshi’s “World Cup Semifinals Qualifiers” market, Spain is trading at 76¢ (equal to -317 odds) with Belgium at 25¢ (equal to +300 odds).

FanDuel was the first sportsbook to post a three-way moneyline and over/under; Spain is priced at -160 to win in regulation time, with Belgium a +440 longshot and a 90-minute draw at +300.

The total-goals line has been set at 2.5 with the over slightly favored at -120 and the under at -102.

Spain is currently the second-favorite in the odds to win the World Cup at 19.1¢ at Kalshi (+424). Only France (34.4¢ or +191) sit in front of Spain.

Belgium is trading at just 2.8¢ (+3471) to win their first title.

Spain Continues Shutout Streak

Spain hard one of the toughest draws of the Round of 16, facing Iberian rival Portugal. After shutting out their three group-stage opponents (Cape Verde, Saudi Arabia, Uruguay) and Austria in the Round of 32 (3-0), all La Roja did on Monday was hold Cristiano Ronaldo and company to no goals and 0.63 cGF over 90 minutes.

Spain didn’t break through until a 90+1 go-ahead goal from Mikel Merino but they were the better side throughout. La Roja outshot Portugal 15-10 (6-2 on target) and generated 1.62 xGF.

Belgium Shatters American Dreams

Just when American soccer fans started dreaming their men’s team could compete with the world’s elite, Belgium played the role of unrelenting older brother on Monday night.

Starting up front instead of Romelu Lukaku, Atalanta midfielder Charles de Ketelaere blossomed in the number nine position. He scored two first-half goal to stake his team to a thoroughly deserved 2-1 lead at the break before pressuring keeper Brian Freese into a horrendous mistake on Hans Vanaken’s insurance marker in the 57th minute.

Belgium generated just over 2.0 xGF in the first hour before cruising through the final 30 minutes.

Spain has largely dominated the head-to-head history with Belgium, winning 12, drawing five, and losing five. But the Belgians will be quick to remind them that the most-recent meeting is nearly a decade old: a 2-0 Spain victory in a 2016 friendly.

Belgium and Spain have met eight times at the World Cup; Spain is 5-2-1 and has won the last five in a row dating back to 1990.

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Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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