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Spain vs England Odds & Prediction – Women’s World Cup Final

Ryan Metivier

by Ryan Metivier in Soccer News

Updated Mar 8, 2024 · 8:12 AM PST

A 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup logo is seen outside a fan festival. France vs Morocco
Jul 21, 2023; Auckland, NZL; A 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup logo is seen outside a fan festival. Mandatory Credit: Jenna Watson-USA TODAY Sports
  • Spain and England vie for their first Women’s World Cup title when the two meet at 6:00 am EST Sunday, August 20, 2023 in the Women’s World Cup Final
  • Each team has three players who have scored three goals this tournament and could be worth of bets in the Spain vs England props
  • Read on for our Women’s World Cup Final prediction and the Spain vs England odds

Early Sunday morning one nation will be lifting their first World Cup as Spain and England meet in the Women’s World Cup Final at 6:00 am EST at Stadium Australia. A first-time winner will be crowned with La Roja favored over the Lionesses in the Spain vs England odds.

Can Spain exact revenge for their 2-1 Euro 2022 loss to England in the quarterfinals?

Read on for our Women’s World Cup Final prediction and our best Spain vs England picks.

Spain vs England Odds

Matchup Moneyline To Lift Trophy
Spain +175 -125
England +180 -106
Draw +200 N/A

Oddsmakers suggest there is little between the teams as Spain comes in slightly favored at +175, while England is lined at +180 to win in regulation. Spain has been tipped at -125 to lift the trophy by any means, be it regulation, extra-time or penalties, while England has odds of -106. The total of 2.5 is heavily juiced to the Under at -200. A bet for three or more goals to be scored is priced at +150. Odds at Bet365 August 18.

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How to Watch Spain vs England

Bettors can watch the Spain vs England final at 6:00 am EST Sunday morning on FOX and the FOX Sports app in the United States. In Canada, the game will air on TSN.

Wild Finish In Spain vs Sweden Semifinal

The semifinals were tight despite Spain having 63% of the possession against Sweden.

Spain had the shots edge 13-6, but the shots on target were 3-2 to Sweden. The corners were equal at 3-3. For 80 minutes this game looked to be going to extra-time and Under bettors were sitting back counting their money with the score 0-0.

Salma Paralluelo had scored in the quarterfinal and she now got her second World Cup goal breaking the deadlock in the 81’ to give Spain the lead. With time running down, Sweden equalized through Rebecca Blomqvist in the 88’ which again set things up to head to extra-time, but not so.

Spain had other thoughts and Olga Carmona scored just seconds later in the 89′ to send Spain on their way to the final.

Spain’s really only made one misstep this tournament losing 4-0 to Japan in the group stage. Otherwise their games have been wins of  3-0 (Costa Rica) and 5-0 (Zambia) in the group stage, 5-1 over Switzerland in the round of 16 and 2-1 over Netherlands in the quarters.

England Perfect, But Underdogs In Final

England played in the second semifinal and went up against co-hosts Australia. They did so without the suspended Lauren James who was serving the second game of her two-game suspension. She had been leading the team with three goals and three assists prior to the suspension.

But others stepped up as Ella Toone took her spot and got England on the board first in the 36’ minute to open the scoring.

Sam Kerr who was making her first start for Australia this tournament got her first goal in the 63’ to level it at 1-1. But then Lauren Hemp and Alessia Russo who had each scored in the quarterfinal, both found the net again in the 71’ and 86’ minutes to ice the win for England at 3-1. Each now sit tied with James for the team lead with three goals.

England had 58% possession, the shots edge 15-12, shots on target edge 5-4, and Australia led in corners 6-5.

England are still undefeated this tournament having won 1-0 over Haiti and Denmark and 6-1 over China in the group stage. In the round of 16 they drew Nigeria 0-0 (PK win) and beat Colombia 2-1 in the quarterfinal prior to their semifinals win.

Spain vs England World Cup Stats

Spain
VS
England
5-0-1 Record (WDL) 5-1-0
17 / 18.3 Goals For / xG 13 / 10.0
7 / 3.5 Goals Against / xGA 3 / 5.3
143 / 45 Shots / On Target 87 / 36
70% Average Possession 65%
Bonmati / Hermoso /
Redondo (3)
Top Scorers James / Hemp / Russo (3)

All of the key players for each team should be available in the final. And if you’re looking for scoring props, both teams have three players tied for the team lead with three goals. For Spain, that’s Aintana Bonmati, Jennifer Hermoso and Alba Redondo. For England it’s James, Hemp and Russo.

It’s Spain’s Esther Gonzalez though (1 goal) who’s the most favored player to score in the Spain vs England props at +210 odds. She has 17 shots and five on target. England’s Russo leads the Lionesses in shots (22) and shots on target (12).

Spain vs England Lineups and Injuries

Here are you projected Spain vs England starting lineups for the Women’s World Cup Final.

Spain Projected Lineup: Coll; Carmona, Codina, Parades, Batlle; Putellas, Abelleira, Bonmati; Caldentey, Hermoso, Redondo

Injuries & absences: None

England Projected Lineup: Earps; Greenwood, Bright, Carter; Daly, Walsh, Stanway, Bronze; James; Hemp, Russo

Injuries & absences: None

Spain vs England Prediction

Spain have been the tournament’s highest scorers, have scored multiple goals in all but one game and their games have gone over the total at a 5-1 clip. A bet on both teams to score has hit in all of their knockout round games.

England’s offense has picked up throughout the tournament as they’ve now scored multiple goals in three of their past four games and they still haven’t lost a game. Their games have gone 3-3 to 2.5 totals bets and both teams have scored in three of their past four games.

With James returning to the Lionesses’ lineup and Hemp and Russo in fine form England should have every chance to get on the scoresheet. But Spain too, can get a goal from anywhere, as nine different players have scored this tournament.

Historically, finals have seen goals in the Women’s World Cup history. Only once, in 1999 has a final ended 0-0. Otherwise, the other seven have all seen at least two goals scored.

I’ll take both teams scoring and Spain to get their Euros revenge by winning this one, whether it be in regulation, extra-time or penalties.

  • Spain vs England Picks: Both Teams to Score (+100), Spain to Lift Trophy (-125)

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