Australian Open Round of 16 Day 8 Men’s Singles Odds & Picks – January 23

• Daniil Medvedev remains the strong favorite to win the Australian Open, and plays No. 70 Maxime Cressy
• Cilic vs Auger-Aliassime has the tightest odds – but might not be the tightest match
• Read on for our analysis of the bottom half of the men’s single draw, as the second week begins

Daniil Medvedev has quietly made his way to the second week of the Australian Open, rather under the radar – with the exception of his second-round match against Nick Kyrgios – even though he’s the top-ranked player remaining after the withdrawal of Novak Djokovic. He’s also the overwhelming favorite to take the title.

A round of 16 clash against a serve-volleyer who only recently jumped into the top 100 is a dream draw for him.

Australian Open Round of 16 Odds – January 23

Odds as of Jan. 23 at William Hill

Meanwhile, one of Taylor Fritz, Stefanos Tsitsipas, Alex de Minaur or Jannik Sinner will be an Australian Open semifinalist.

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De Minaur vs Sinner Prediction

The Aussie and the Italian have each dropped just one set in three matches. But to put that in perspective, they have had very good draws to get to the second week and rightly took advantage of them.

De Minaur will have the home crowd on his side. And perhaps that’s why the odds are as close as they are.

But Sinner, who is a little more than two years younger and still just 20, is not the kind of player any crowd can truly make a villain out of.

Note to self…. Keep shoes on while playing a tennis match 🤦‍♂️😂 pic.twitter.com/anKsPgQESD

— alex de minaur (@alexdeminaur) January 18, 2022

He’s young, and likeable And he’s a model citizen on the court. Just a quiet, rising talent who goes about his business.

Sinner is 2-0 against de Minaur. And the young Italian has so much pure, easy power that even a roadrunner like de Minaur will have a hard time avoiding situations where he is yanked from side to side like a yo-yo.

The ultimate defender on paper, de Minaur doesn’t have enough defense against someone who hits the ball so hard, but make so relatively few errors.

He might get on a roll for a period and win a set. But it will be a challenge for to sustain it over the long haul.

His only true chance is that the late-afternoon time slot – when the heat is at its worst – might take a physical toll on the still-spindly Sinner.

Pick: Sinner in Four Sets (+295)

Fritz vs Tsitsipas Prediction

Most people had Taylor Fritz written off when he was down and almost out to Roberto Bautista Agut in the third round.

But he came back and won in five sets. And the best part was that it took just three hours, 14 minutes to play them.

He’ll be fresh enough to take on Tsitsipas, who is still not 100% after offseason elbow surgery and has had his ups and downs in this tournament.

The two have played just once before (we don’t count Laver Cup matches, even if the ATP does).

The Greek star won it. But Fritz is an exponentially better player, a more experienced campaigner and a grittier fighter than he was back in 2019 when they met.

This one has marathon written all over it.

Pick: Five Sets (+245)

Cressy vs Medvedev Prediction

The odds against Cressy are so overwhelming, you have to dig into the props to find opportunities.

And it’s tough. Because the Franco-American is playing well enough that you can’t assume Medvedev will just roll over him something like 6-2, 6-2, 6-2.

He squeezed into the Australian Open main draw. Barely. But he reached the final in the warmup event at Melbourne Park, and gave Rafael Nadal a good battle in the final.

Cressy’s throwback serve-and-volley style will definitely require a period of adjustment for Medvedev.

It’s so rare for the determined baseliners to face someone who will make them hit passing shot after passing shot. So he might need a little time to reset his tennis hard drive a little bit.

That might make for a tight first set. But it’s still hard to see Medvedev, who’s already had his drama against Kyrgios, not making fairly quick work of this.

Pick: First set to a tiebreak (+310)