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Danielle Collins vs Iga Swiatek Odds & Prediction – Australian Open Semifinals

Hayley Graham

by Hayley Graham in Tennis

Jan 26, 2022 · 1:06 PM PST

Danielle Collins reacting with a fist pump and a yell after winning a point during a tennis match at the Australian Open.
Danielle Collins of the U.S. reacts after breaking the serve of Alize Cornet of France during their quarterfinal match at the Australian Open tennis championships in Melbourne, Australia, Wednesday, Jan. 26, 2022. (AP Photo/Hamish Blair)
  • The Australian Open semifinals will take place on Thursday, January 27th
  • Danielle Collins and Iga Swiatek will go head-to-head for the second time
  • Continue below for odds, preview and best bet prediction

What was once 128 players is now down to four, as women’s singles play at the 2022 Australian Open is coming to an end. The semifinals will be played on Thursday, January 27th, with Danielle Collins and Iga Swiatek scheduled to take the court at 4:45am ET.

Swiatek will fight for a chance to reach her second career Grand Slam final, while Collins returns to the semifinal stage at the Aussie Open three years after her breakthrough run.

There was no expectation that Collins was going to be here as her Australian Open odds were listed at+4000 heading into the tournament. Swiatek, on the other hand, was the favorite to come out of her quarter.

Danielle Collins vs Iga Swiatek Australian Open Semifinals Odds

Player Spread Moneyline Total
[27] Danielle Collins +2.5 (-120) +120 Ov 21.5 (-110)
[7] Iga Swiatek -2.5 (-110) -150 Un 21.5 (-120)

Odds as of January 26th at Caesar Sportsbook.

The 20-year old Pole enters the match as the slight favorite at -150 odds. Take a look below for a breakdown of how each player made it to this point in the tournament, and our best bet prediction.

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Collins Reaches Second Major Semifinal

In just under an hour and a half, 27th seed, Collins defeated Alize Cornet of France 7-5, 6-1, to earn her spot in her second career Grand Slam semifinal.

In her quarterfinal win, Collins recorded 28 winners to her opponent’s 11, and actually had 12 more unforced errors. But she managed to only drop her serve once, and win 90 percent of points behind her first serve.

After a tight first set, the American was able to come out to a 4-0 start to lead the second. Cornet was able to win a game, at 5-1, but Collins proved to be to much for the Frenchwoman, and was able to close out the match.

Collins is one of two Americans left in the tournament, joining Madison Keys.

If Collins wins this match, and has a finals appearance here in Melbourne, there’s a slight chance she could make her Top 10 debut in the WTA rankings.

Swiatek Defeats Kaia Kanepi

It took three hours in the Melbourne heat, but 20-year old Swiatek defeated 36-year old Kaia Kanepi 4-6, 7-6(2), 6-3, to earn a spot in the semifinals.

Swiatek found herself down a set, where she still managed to save nine set points. But the Pole managed to rally back in a tight second set, and secure the win in the third.

Swiatek, who has been fairly consistent on her serves, recorded 12 double faults against Kanepi. But she still managed to land 63 percent of her first serves, and follow it up with a 68 win percentage behind that first serve. The double faults will have to be something Swiatek minimizes against Collins.

Out of the four players left, Swiatek is the only player who is in the Aussie Open semifinals for the first time. But the young superstar has more than her fair share of Grand Slam experience at just 20-years old.

Collins vs Swiatek Head-to-Head

This is just the second between between the American and Pole. The two played each other once before in the quarterfinals of the 2021 Adelaide 500. Swiatek ended up winning the match after Collins retired from the match at 6-2, 3-0.

Collins vs Swiatek Head-to-Head Stats

Danielle Collins
VS
Iga Swiatek
30 WTA Standing 9
28 Age 20
2 Career Titles 3
185/109 Career W/L 149/47
30:47 (10th) YTD Titles 30:17 (16th)
30:17 (16th) YTD W/L +8 (Tied 4th)
0 Head-to-Head Wins 1

Collins vs Swiatak Best Bet

Yes, the two have played each other before, but don’t take that match into consideration. Collins withdrew due to back pain in the January match, and underwent surgery for endometriosis in April. Since coming back from that surgery, Collins has been a different player.

Swiatek has been vocal about how tired she is after two long, three-set matches in the heat. The 20-year old has had a bit more competition from the start than other tournaments. And at this point of any tournament, fatigue is a legitimate factor to take into consideration.

Between fatigue and serving, Swiatek might have her work cut out for her against Collins. If this match shows that it’s going to go the distance, the edge is with Collins.

Best Bet: Collins +120

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