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Jannik Sinner vs Holger Rune Odds & Prediction – Monte Carlo Masters Semifinals

Hayley Graham

by Hayley Graham in Tennis

Updated Apr 14, 2023 · 12:21 PM PDT

Holger Rune hitting a serve during a tennis match.
Mar 28, 2023; Miami, Florida, US; Holger Rune (DEN) serves against Taylor Fritz (USA) (not pictured) on day nine of the Miami Open at Hard Rock Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
  • Both semifinal matches of the Monte-Carlo Masters will be played tomorrow
  • Jannik Sinner and Holger Rune will play in the second match of the day
  • Continue below for odds, preview and best bet

The semifinals of the Monte-Carlo Masters are set and will be played on Saturday. Jannik Sinner and Holger Rune have filled out the final four, and will played each other at 9:30 am ET tomorrow.

All four players left in the tournament are seeded, and in both matchups, the two competing have played each other before, making for two exciting matches on the day.

Take a look below as we break down the Sinner vs Rune odds and make our Monte-Carlo Masters picks here.

Jannik Sinner vs Holger Rune Odds

Player Spread Moneyline Total
[7] Jannik Sinner -2.5 (-115) -180 Ov 22.5 (-105)
[6] Holger Rune +2.5 (-120) +145 Un 22.5 (-130)

Sinner is the slight favorite here despite Rune having a strong couple matches. But where’s the best bet?

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Third Straight ATP Masters 1000 Semifinal

Seventh seed Sinner went up against fellow countryman Lorenzo Musetti in the quarterfinals of the Monte-Carlo Masters. He improved to 2-0 against the fellow Italian, after defeating him 6-2, 6-2 to earn a spot in the semifinals.

Sinner managed to win the match by coming out to a strong 4-0 lead in the opening set. He quickly took that, and in the second, Musetti looked like he might be able to force a decider, but Sinner shut it down quickly.

Sinner didn’t play one of his best matches ever, but it was enough to secure the win.

The 21-year old is now the only man to reach the semifinals at all three of the ATP Masters 1000s this season

Rune Upsets Daniil Medvedev

19-year old Rune upset the World No. 5 Medvedev in straight sets on Friday to earn a spot in the semifinals at the Monte-Carlo Masters. With his 6-3, 6-4 win over Medvedev, Rune improved to 10-8 against Top 10 players, and a 16-7 overall record on the year.

Rune has had strong showings on clay before, and will look to continue playing well during the European clay season, leading up to the French Open.

On his way to his quarterfinal victory, Rune managed to convert three of his five break points, while converting 81 percent of his points at the net. He struggled a bit at times against the former No.1’s serve, but that was expected.

First Meeting of 2023

The one and only match that has been played between Sinner and Rune happened last year where Rune won after Sinner retired in the third set.

The match was played on an indoor hard court, while this match will be played on an outdoor clay court.

Jannik Sinner vs Holger Rune head-to-head stats

Sinner
VS
Rune
8 ATP Standing 9
21 Age 19
7 Career Titles 3
147/64 Career W/L 64/45
1 YTD Titles 0
21/5 YTD W/L 14/7
0 Head-to-Head Stats 1

Sinner vs Rune Prediction

This is only the second time we’ve seen Sinner and Rune face off, but it’s nowhere near the last. These two are part of that next generation that will give us some of the best matchups in tennis.

Both of these players have the skillset and opportunity to win this match, and it could really go either way. Despite Sinner being the favorite, don’t write off Rune. For that reason, look for the match to go the distance, regardless of the winner, for the Sinner vs Rune pick.

Best Bet: Over 2.5 sets (+115)

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