Indiana Fever vs Washington Mystics Odds, Picks, Predictions & Props (Sep 18)

• The Indiana Fever visit the Washington Mystics on Thursday night in the regular-season finale for both teams
• Washington needs a win plus a Sky victory and a Dream loss to make the postseason
• See the Indiana Fever vs Washington Mystics odds, predictions, and props to target on Sep. 19

The WNBA playoff race has come down to the final day of the regular season. Tonight, the Washington Mystics (13-26, 4-15 home, 25-13-1 ATS) host Caitlin Clark’s Indiana Fever (20-19, 8-11 away, 20-18-1 ATS) at Capital One Arena in DC.

One game back of Atlanta for the eighth and final playoff berth, Washington can still make the postseason if and only if they finish in a three-way tie for eighth with Atlanta and Chicago, which is also a game back heading into Thursday’s action. In other words, Washington needs to beat Indiana and have Atlanta lose to New York and have Chicago beat Connecticut.

Indiana is currently the #6 seed but would fall to #7 with a loss and a Phoenix win. Finishing seventh would mean a first-round matchup with Minnesota, which swept all three games against the Fever. The #6 seed will face Connecticut, whom Indiana split their four games with.

With so much on the line tonight, the Fever vs Mystics odds give the home team a slight edge.

Indiana Fever vs Washington Mystics Odds

Washington is laying two points and priced at -130 on the moneyline (a 56.52% implied win probability). The Fever come back as +106 road underdogs (48.54%). The game total is sitting at 168 with -110 odds both ways.

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Odds as of Sep. 19 at ESPN Bet. Land an ESPN Bet promo to bet on Fever vs Mystics tonight. 

Indiana is currently a +2120 longshot in the WNBA championship odds, sixth-best in the league. Washington, which needs a minor miracle just to get into the field, is +50000.

The Fever don’t list any player on their injury report ahead of Thursday night’s contest. The Mystics, on the other hand, remain without center Shakira Austin (11.8 PPG, 6.8 RPG in just 12 games this season) and have now added rookie forward Aaliyah Edwards (7.6 PPG, 5.6 RPG, 0.8 BPG) to their IR due to an ankle injury. Edwards missed Sunday’s lopsided setback to New York (87-71 home) and is listed as out for tonight’s regular-season finale.

Fever vs Mystics Predictions

• Fever moneyline (+106) at FanDuel 
• Caitlin Clark over 19.5 points (-155) at ESPN Bet

While the Mystics need a win to have even the slightest chance of keeping their season alive, it’s going to have a do-or-die feel for the Fever, as well. While they’ll be in the playoffs no matter what, the last thing they want is to face a Minnesota team that’s hand their number all year. (Minnesota won all three games by at least seven points.) Indiana would much prefer a first-round matchup with Connecticut, a team they went 2-2 against, including an 84-80 victory in the most-recent matchup.

Washington has obviously been much better since starting the season 0-12, playing nearly .500 ball the rest of the way. But they have been downright miserable at home, with a league-worst 4-15 record on their home court. They are currently riding a four-game home losing streak, including a 76-73 OT setback to Atlanta last week which is likely to prove the difference between making and missing the playoffs.

In addition  to the Fever moneyline, I also like Caitlin Clark to go over 19.5 points at -155 odds. Clark has scored at least 24 points in five of her last seven games, and the only two times she was held under 20 in that span was against the two-time defending WNBA-champion Las Vegas Aces. In three games against Washington this season, she’s averaged 25.7 PPG, scoring 30, 29, and 18. She dropped 30 in her only previous game at Capital One Arena.