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Minnesota Lynx vs Connecticut Sun Odds & Prediction – WNBA Aug 1

Mitchell Hansen

by Mitchell Hansen in WNBA

Updated Aug 1, 2023 · 6:43 AM PDT

Minnesota Lynx forward Jessica Shepard (10) dribbles the ball
May 28, 2023; Las Vegas, Nevada, USA; Minnesota Lynx forward Jessica Shepard (10) dribbles the ball against the Las Vegas Aces during the first quarter at Michelob Ultra Arena. Mandatory Credit: Lucas Peltier-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Minnesota Lynx and Connecticut Sun face off at 7:00pm ET on Tuesday, August 1st
  • Minnesota enters at 13-13 overall while Connecticut comes in at 18-7 on the year
  • See below for the latest Lynx vs Sun picks, odds and analysis

To begin a new week in the WNBA, the league will feature four games on the night, including a rematch between the Minnesota Lynx and Connecticut Sun from Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Connecticut. The game will tip off at 7:00 pm ET and will be aired nationally on ESPN. Ahead of the game, here are our Lynx vs Sun odds and best bets.

The Lynx come into the game riding a three-game winning streak while taking down two of the top teams in the WNBA on the road over their last two outings. Minnesota, which is back at the .500 mark at 13-13 overall for the first time this season, has won six of its last 10 games top sit as the sixth seed in the league standings.

The Sun have been a top-three team all season long and are starting to slide down the 2023 WNBA Championship odds, but are still in a position to have a good seeding in the playoffs to try and once again make a run at a WNBA title. Connecticut has hit a bit of a road bump lately after staying clear of that most of the year, but still have managed to win six of its last 10 games to carry an overall record of 18-7 going into Tuesday.

Lynx vs Sun Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Minnesota Lynx +11.5 (-114) +520 Over 162.5 (-113)
Connecticut Sun -11.5 (-105) -800 Under 162.5 (-113)

Oddsmakers believe the Sun will bounce back to win the game with ease with a spread set at 11.5 points. Along with Connecticut being favorites, the over/under on the game is listed at 162.5 points.

Lynx vs Sun odds as of August 1 from FanDuel. Claim an amazing FanDuel promo code to make your Lynx vs Suns picks here.


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Second Straight Showdown

Tuesday’s game will mark the second night of a back-to-back showdown between the Lynx and Sun over the last three games, with Minnesota taking the game two days ago by a score of 87-83 at Mohegan Sun Arena in Connecticut. In that game, the Lynx came out on top without Napheesa Collier (ankle) while shutting down the Sun offense to come away with Minnesota’s second straight road victory and first win over Connecticut this season.

YouTube video

With Sunday’s win, the Lynx brought the season series with Connecticut to 2-1 in favor of the Sun. Tuesday’s game will be the fourth and final game of the regular season between both squads.

Lynx vs Sun Head-to-Head

1 Wins 2
79.7 Points Per Game 87.0
43.7% Field Goal Percentage 44.8%
30.0% Three-Point Percentage 33.8%
33.3 Rebounds 34.3
19.7 Assists 21.0
15.0 Turnovers 12.0
-7.3 +/- +7.3

In the first game of the season on June 1 in Minnesota, Connecticut edged past Minnesota 89-84 to steal a game on the road. The post-heavy Sun owned the battle in the paint, holding 52-26 points in the paint advantage against a Lynx squad that couldn’t match the inside presence.

In the second meeting on June 22 in Minneapolis, the Sun won that game with more ease, blowing out the Lynx 89-68 to hold a 2-0 season series advantage. Connecticut exploded for 12 threes in that game while holding Minnesota to just 31.6% shooting from the field en route to a blowout.

Keys to the Rematch

The biggest key in Tuesday’s rematch between these two teams is which team is able to make an adjustment after seeing what took place Sunday afternoon in the third meeting of the season. Playing a team in two straight games allows for teams to make adjustments quickly, much like in a playoff series. Both teams will make adjustments based on what went wrong Sunday as well as attempting to build onto the strengths that occurred in Connecticut a few days prior.

On thing that will interesting to watch Tuesday is which team is able to own the battle in the paint. Minnesota surprisingly held that advantage over a post-heavy Connecticut team, outscoring the Sun 52-42 in the paint. Another thing worth watching is how the Sun bounce back from shooting just 38.9% from the field along with two threes, which was a credit to the Lynx defense. On the other end, Minnesota took advantage of that poor shooting night by Connecticut while shooting 57.4% from the field with six threes.

For individual players to watch on Tuesday, the Sun duo of DeWanna Bonner and Alyssa Thomas should continue their strong play as of late. Kayla McBride has picked up her play in Collier’s absence for the Lynx, and they are going to need the veteran to step up once again to come out on top over Connecticut once again.

Lynx vs Sun Picks

In any league, but especially the WNBA, it’s hard to beat the same team twice in two straight games. That’s especially true against a team as talented as Connecticut, regardless of how Minnesota has been playing as of late, which has been impressive. With that said, the Sun should be able to bounce back and take care of business while defending home court, likely trying to pressure the Lynx without Collier in the lineup. Connecticut, a talented offensive team, will likely be able to shoot better than it did on Sunday, ending up coming out on top against Minnesota.

As for the best bet of the night, go with the Lynx covering the spread, which is set of 11.5 points, for a second night in a row. The Sun may ultimate win the game, but Minnesota should make it a single digit game at least

  • Lynx vs Sun Picks: Lynx +11.5 (-114)

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