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New York Liberty vs Las Vegas Aces Odds & Picks – WNBA June 29

Mitchell Hansen

by Mitchell Hansen in WNBA

Updated Jun 29, 2023 · 6:42 AM UTC

Las Vegas Aces forward Aja Wilson (22) celebrates with guard Kelsey Plum (10) after scoring against the Minnesota Lynx
May 28, 2023; Las Vegas, Nevada, USA; Las Vegas Aces forward Aja Wilson (22) celebrates with guard Kelsey Plum (10) after scoring against the Minnesota Lynx during the first quarter at Michelob Ultra Arena. Mandatory Credit: Lucas Peltier-USA TODAY Sports
  • The New York Liberty and the Las Vegas Aces battle at 10:00pm ET on Thursday, June 29
  • New York enters at 10-3 overall, while Las Vegas comes in at 13-1 on the year
  • See below for the latest Liberty vs Aces odds, analysis and best bet

Two of the top teams in the WNBA headline a trio of games in the league on Thursday, June 29 when the New York Liberty visit the Las Vegas Aces at Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas. The game will tip off at 10:00pm ET and will be aired on Amazon Prime video with Las Vegas favored in the Liberty vs Aces odds.

The Liberty enter Thursday near the top of the WNBA standings, sitting at 10-3 overall and as the second seed and right on the heels of the Aces atop the league. New York is coming off an 89-81 win over the Connecticut Sun on Tuesday in Connecticut.

The Aces come into the game as the top team in the WNBA with a league-best record of 13-1 to sit a half-game ahead of New York. Las Vegas enters Thursday following an 88-80 win over the Indiana Fever on Tuesday in Las Vegas.

Liberty vs Aces Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
New York Liberty +6.5 (-110) +230 Over 173.5 (-110)
Las Vegas Aces -6.5 (-100) -275 Under 173.5 (-110)

Oddsmakers are buying the Aces hype as they place a 6.5-point spread on Thursday game in favor of Las Vegas. Along with the Aces being heavy favorites, the over/under on the game is placed at 173.5 points.

Liberty vs Aces odds as of June 29 from DraftKings Sportsbook. Be sure to claim the top DraftKings Sportsbook promo code to get the best WNBA promos this season.

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First Matchup of Season

Thursday’s contest is the first of four meetings between the Liberty and Aces, though many believe they will again meet later in the postseason while competing for a title. The final three matchups will occur on August 6, Auguat 17 and August 28.

New York and Las Vegas did meet in the preseason opener on May 13 in Las Vegas, with the Aces pulling out a seven-point victory at home by a score of 84-77. That game is hard to use as a comparison of what we could expect during the regular season due to many of the key players on both teams playing less minutes than they would normally.

A season ago โ€” though the rosters look different for both teams, notably for New York โ€” the Liberty and Aces played each other three times, with Las Vegas taking two of those three games en route to eventually winning the WNBA title.

Liberty vs Aces 2022 Head-to-Head

Liberty
VS
Aces
1 Wins 2
97.0 Points Per Game 107.3
46.2% Field Goal Percentage 51.5%
46.6% Three-Point Percentage 44.4%
30.7 Rebounds 35.7
25.7 Assists 25.0
11.0 Turnovers 10.7
-10.3 +/- +10.3

Potential WNBA Title Preview

Both New York and Las Vegas entered the 2023 season at the top of the WNBA Championship odds and they remain at the top as we near the midway point in the regular season.

Las Vegas has the top odds at -135 while New York follows in second at +185. Those two are clear favorites at the moment, with the Washington Mystics and Connecticut Sun the next two teams on the odds list at +1500.

YouTube video

The Aces have looked unstoppable this season, and actually have been with the exception of a road loss to Connecticut on June 8. The top offense in the league has been headlined by Jackie Young and reigning MVP A’ja Wilson, with Young leading the team with 19.9 points per game and Wilson posting 19.6 points, 9.4 rebounds, 2.2 blocks, 2.1 assists and 1.4 steals per game this year. A player to watch for Las Vegas on Thursday is Kelsey Plum, who has averaged 21.5 points at point guard over the last two games.

The Liberty have been trying to muscle through building chemistry on the fly with a new-look roster, but have been dominant as of late. New York has been spearheaded by MVP candidate Breanna Stewart with 22.6 points, 10.3 rebounds, 4.0 assists, 1.7 blocks and 1.6 steals per game, and she oftentimes steps up for big games like Thursday’s matchup when here team needs her most. Sabrina Ionescu is another player to keep an eye on, averaging 18.5 points, 5.5 assists and 3.0 assists over her last two games.

Keys to the Game

The biggest key to Thursday’s game might be which team will be able to take a stand defensively or which team will ultimately be able to outlast the other offensively to pull out the win.

Both New York and Las Vegas have the top offenses in the WNBA, with the Aces ranking first in points per game (92.8) and field goal percentage (49.7%) and the Liberty coming in second in points per game (88.0) and field goal percentage (45.6%).

New York does hold an advantage in distributing the ball and being able to hurt teams from three, leading the league in assists (24.0) and three-point percentage (38.0%), while Las Vegas is second in both categories with 21.9 assists per contest and a 37.3 percent three-point mark.

When it comes to defense, the Aces hold the edge with a defensive rating of 93.8 (second in WNBA) compared to the Liberty’s mark of 98.1 (fifth in WNBA). Thursday’s game will come down to defense and who is able to make the final stand to pull out a victory.

Liberty vs Aces Picks

This game is one of the most anticipated matchups of the season and it should end up being a back-and-forth battle in Las Vegas. The interesting thing about this game is the Aces are a perfect 7-0 at home this year and the Liberty are an impressive 5-1 on the road, so both teams are going to come into the game confident.

In the end, Las Vegas will flex its depth and talent while being too much for New York and edging by for a win to extend the winning streak. For the best bet of the night in the Liberty vs Aces odds, go with the Liberty covering the 6.5-point spread. This game will likely be decided by less than that mark.

  • Liberty vs Aces Prediction: Liberty +6.5 (-110)

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