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New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx Game 4 Predictions, Player Props & Best Odds (Oct 18)

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in WNBA

Published:


New York Liberty guard Sabrina Ionescu tries to drive around Minnesota Lynx forward Alanna Smith
Oct 16, 2024; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; New York Liberty guard Sabrina Ionescu (20) works around Minnesota Lynx forward Alanna Smith (8) during the second half of game three of the 2024 WNBA Finals at Target Center. Mandatory Credit: Matt Krohn-Imagn Images
  • The New York Liberty can claim their first WNBA Championship in Game 4 against the Minnesota Lynx on Friday, Oct. 18
  • The Liberty are 3.0-point road favorites at the Target Center in Minneapolis
  • Below, see Liberty vs Lynx predictions, player props, and the best available odds for Game 4

On Wednesday, the New York Liberty (32-8, 16-4 away) moved within one win of the first WNBA Championship in the team’s 28-year history. Now up 2-1 in the best-of-five series, the Liberty visit the Minnesota Lynx (30-10, 16-4 home) in Game 4 at the Target Center on Friday night at 7:00 pm CT/8:00 pm ET.

Liberty vs Lynx Game 4 Predictions

  • Lynx first-half moneyline (+120) at BetMGM
  • Collier under 9.5 rebounds (-140)  Odds as of Oct. 18. Check out SBD’s BetMGM review.  

The Lynx let a golden opportunity to take back the lead in the series slip away on Wednesday. Minnesota led by ten points after the first quarter and still had an eight-point edge at halftime. But a monstrous night from two-time MVP Breanna Stewart (30 points, 11 rebounds) plus a game-winner at the buzzer from Sabrina Ionescu ultimately proved the difference in Wednesday’s 80-77 New York victory.

YouTube video

While Minnesota will be bitterly disappointed by the Game 3 setback, the first 120 minutes of this series have proved beyond any shadow of a doubt – if the entire regular season hadn’t already done so – that Minnesota is just about on par with New York.

The Lynx don’t have the same name-brand stars, and their leap into the top tier wasn’t predicted by many, but they haven’t lost back-to-back home games all year, and I expect another strong start at the Target Center.

Liberty vs Lynx Player Props for Game 4

Player Points Rebounds Assists
Betnijah Laney-Hamilton (NYL) 8.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 3.5 (Ov +110 | Un -145) OFF
Breanna Stewart (NYL) 21.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 9.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 3.5 (Ov +115 | Un -155)
Bridget Carleton (MIN) 9.5 (Ov +105 | Un -140) 3.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) OFF
Courtney Williams (MIN) 13.5 (Ov +105 | Un -140) 4.5 (Ov -155 | Un +115) 5.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
Jonquel Jones (NYL) 13.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 9.5 (Ov +105 | Un -140) OFF
Kayla McBride (MIN) 13.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) OFF 3.5 (Ov +135 | Un -185)
Leonie Fiebich (NYL) 9.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 4.5 (Ov +115 | Un -155) OFF
Napheesa Collier (MIN) 20.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 9.5 (Ov +105 | Un -140) 3.5 (Ov +130 | Un -175)
Sabrina Ionescu (NYL) 17.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 4.5 (Ov -140 | Un +105) 5.5 (Ov +110 | Un -140)

Player props as of Oct. 18 at Caesars Sportsbook. See the top sportsbook promo codes to use on the WNBA Finals.

Stewart, who went off for 30 points in Wednesday’s win, is once again listed with the highest point total on the board at 21.5. She was held to 18 and 21 in Games 1 and 2, respectively.

Lynx leading scorer Napheesa Collier is just behind her at 20.5. Collier led Minnesota with 22 in a losing effort in Game 3 and is now averaging 19.7 PPG in her three playoff games against the Liberty.

For the second straight game, the trio of Stewart, Collier, and Jonquel Jones all have a rebound total of 9.5. Only Stewart hit the over in Game 3. Collier finished with nine and Jones with just five. Indeed, Collier hasn’t gone over 9.5 in any game of the series, finishing with eight in Game 1 and seven in Game 2.

New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx Game 4 Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
New York Liberty -142 at DraftKings -2.5 (-115) at  BetMGM O 158.5 (-112) at FanDuel
Minnesota Lynx +130 at bet365 +3.5 (-110) at ESPN Bet U 159.5 (-110) at Caesars

The odds for Game 4 still show a decent range on the morning of gameday. The Liberty moneyline is as long as -142 at DraftKings while the Lynx moneyline can be found at +130 at bet365.

The spread ranges from Liberty -2.5 to -3.5. Bettors looking to back the Liberty ATS should head to BetMGM, where New York -2.5 is priced at -115. Those wanting to bet the hometown Lynx against the spread should grab Minnesota +3.5 at ESPN Bet.

There is also a one-point range in the game total. FanDuel has the best option for over bettors, listing the over at 158.5 (-112). Caesars has the best number and price for under bettors, listing the under at 159.5 (-110).

The Liberty’s WNBA championship odds improved to -800 after their win on Wednesday. If the Lynx managed to win Friday’s Game 4, the decisive Game 5 would go in New York on Sunday, Oct. 20.

Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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