- Books rate the DC Defenders as 4.5-point favorites over the Dallas Renegades in Week 6 XFL play
- The Defenders are 3-0 at home both straight up and against the spread this season. Houston is 2-0 on the road. Which perfect mark will fall?
- See all of the XFL Week 6 picks, odds and opening betting lines below
As the XFL moves past midseason into Week 6, some betting trends are becoming apparent.
For instance, the DC Defenders are truly a tale of two cities. Well, to be completely accurate, one city and a whole bunch of other cities.
If you asked the Defenders who wrote the Iliad and the Odyssey, they’d know the answer. That’s because DC are the biggest homers in the league. The Defenders are a perfect 3-0 at home both straight up and against the spread. On the road, they’re 0-2 SU and ATS.
The Houston Roughnecks remain perfect all over the place. The 5-0 Roughnecks travel to New York this week to face the Guardians. New York is a perfect 2-0 at home this season.
Let’s look at the opening odds from all the Week 6 XFL games, and assess which direction those odds might be moving throughout the week.
XFL Week 6 Odds
|Houston Roughnecks||-6.5 (-110)||-280||Over 47.0 (-110)|
|New York Guardians||+6.5 (-110)||+220||Under 47.0 (-110)|
|St. Louis BattleHawks||-2.5 (-110)||-150||Over 42.5 (-110)|
|Tampa Bay Vipers||+2.5 (-110)||+120||Under 42.5 (-110)|
|Dallas Renegades||+4.5 (-110)||+160||Over 35.5 (-110)|
|DC Defenders||-4.5 (-110)||-200||Under 35.5 (-110)|
|Los Angeles Wildcats||-2.0 (-110)||-135||Over 44.5 (-110)|
|Seattle Dragons||+2.0 (-110)||+105||Under 44.5 (-110)|
Odds taken March 9th.
Game Of The Week
DC didn’t just right the ship last week. The Defenders put a beating on the St. Louis BattleHawks and reclaimed first place in the East Division.
The Defenders might just have a quarterback controversy on their hands as they ready for Sunday’s 4 pm visit by the Dallas Renegades. For the third straight game, Cardale Jones was benched.
— DC Defenders (@XFLDefenders) March 8, 2020
Tyree Jackson took over and immediately led DC to a touchdown in the 15-6 victory. Does head coach Pep Hamilton go back to his starter. Or does he opt to ride the hot hand?
DC at home compared to DC away is like night and day. In the three victories at Audi Field, the Defenders have outscored the opposition 73-25. In their two road setbacks, DC has been outscored 64-9.
Dallas (2-3), on the other hand, can’t seem to get it going anywhere. QB Landry Jones (knee injury) missed his second game of the season. Dallas is 0-2 and has scored just 18 points in the two games with Philip Nelson under center.
The Renegades are 2-0 away but are hurting everywhere. Offensive coordinator Hal Mumme is out for the season following a sideline collision in the loss to New York. Jeff Jagodzinski will assume Mumme’s duties.
If Jones is out again this week, look for the line to move in DC’s favor. And the under on the total of 35.5 will prove to be an attractive play.
Roughnecks Have A Guardian Angel
Someone is looking out for the Roughnecks. Houston overcame a 14-0 Seattle lead to beat the Dragons 32-23 with the help of XFL officials. Roughnecks QB PJ Walker was down with two seconds to play on a fourth-down play.
The ball should’ve been turned over to the Dragons for one last play but officials declared the game over. The XFL acknowledged the officiating error postgame.
THAT'S how you finish a run.
PJ Walker is NOT your average QB.
— XFL (@XFL2022) March 1, 2020
Walker also overcame two interceptions and a fumble. He passed for 351 yards and three TDs. But can Houston continue overcoming these mistakes? The Roughnecks keep winning but they aren’t blowing any team out, and are giving up plenty of points.
The Guardians, meanwhile, have located their game. New York has won two in a row. The Guardians appear to have found their QB in Luis Perez. They scored three second-half TDs against Dallas. And New York is a perfect 2-0 at home.
This game gives off the scent of an upset. Watch for action on the Guardians to shorten this spread.
Wildcats Living Up To Name
In the last two home games, Los Angeles has scored 80 points. Josh Johnson passed for four TDs in last week’s win over Tampa Bay. In two road games, though, the Wildcats averaged 15.5 points per game.
— Jason DiRienzo (@allpurposescout) March 9, 2020
Seattle is 1-4 but the Dragons are 3-2 ATS. That’s tied for the best mark in the league.
Look for action on Seattle to move this line toward the Dragons.
BattleHawks Will Bounce Back
St. Louis endured its first off game of the season last week in DC. The BattleHawks outgained the Defenders 319-256 but couldn’t finish. They were just 4-for-16 on third down, 0-for-2 on fourth down and 0-for-3 in the red zone.
"The good news is, it's not doomsday."
— St. Louis BattleHawks (@XFLBattleHawks) March 9, 2020
That won’t be a problem against the Vipers. They’ve surrendered an XFL-worst 15 TDs.
The money will be on St. Louis in this game. The line will grow in favor of the BattleHawks.