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NFL Passing Touchdown Props & Odds for 2026



Matt McEwan

By Matt McEwan

Updated:

NFL passing touchdown props are a great way to bet on how many TDs a quarterback will score at most NFL betting apps in the nation.

From breaking down what they are, down what sportsbooks are best to use for this kind of wager, we’ve got you covered with details below.

What Are NFL Passing Touchdown Props?

An NFL passing touchdown prop is a type of wager on the number of completed touchdown passes thrown by a quarterback over the course of a game. This type of bet is usually presented as a line with Over and Under options, meaning the quarterback you bet on will either need to get over or under a certain TD benchmark for you to win.

If Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes has a passing TD prop line of 2.5, you can bet he’ll record three or more TDs for the Over and two or fewer for the Under.

Most sportsbooks will present NFL passing touchdown props in a whole or half-number format, which eliminate the possibility of a push. Prediction markets also offer passing touchdown props as well.

How to Read a Passing Touchdown Prop Line

Reading NFL passing touchdown props is pretty simple. There is typically a TD benchmark and you’ll have to guess whether your selected quarterback will go over or under that passing TD benchmark, for example:

Patrick Mahomes: 2.5 Passing Touchdowns

  • Over 2.5: Mahomes needs to record at least three (3) touchdown passes in the game.
  • Under 2.5: Mahomes needs to record between zero and two (2) touchdown passes in the game.

Depending on a variety of factors, plus-money or minus-money may be assigned to the Over or Under. A quarterback with a history of passing TDs like Mahomes may have a bigger number as their passing TD prop line versus a lesser-known quarterback commodity or backup option.

What Actually Decides Passing Touchdown Props?

A quarterback must be credited with a forward pass to a player that then enters the endzone.

A backward pass, or lateral, is credited as running play and not a forward pass therefore it is excluded from this type of prop. Quarterback running plays are also excluded as they do not include any passing element to qualify as a passing touchdown prop.

Simply put, the only way you can win a passing touchdown prop is if your selected QB throws the ball to a player who takes it to the endzone legally and within NFL rules.

Passing TD Props vs. Anytime Touchdown Scorer

While both these prop bets have “touchdown” in their names, they are not the same. A passing touchdown prop is solely focused on the quarterback to throw a passing TD, while an anytime touchdown scorer prop can be one of many players on the team to score a TD at any time.

A quarterback who scores three TD passes does qualify as an anytime TD scorer, for example, because they did not take the ball into the endzone themselves.

Check out our NFL anytime scorer page for more details on this type of bet.

Passing TD Props vs. Passing Yards Props

Again, these two bets might have “passing” in them, but one is about the amount of touchdown passes a quarterback records (passing TD props) while the other is about the amount of passing yards a quarterback records (passing yards props).

A quarterback might throw 300+ passing yards without a single touchdown or under 100 passing yards with one touchdown, for example.

See our NFL passing yards props page for a more in-depth look into this kind of wager.

Best Sportsbooks for NFL Passing TD Props

The top sportsbooks for NFL passing TD props offer deep markets on quarterback play as well as other exciting player and team props. Here are some of our favorites:

FAQs About NFL Passing Touchdown Props

Do rushing touchdowns count toward passing touchdown props?

No. Rushing touchdowns do not count toward passing touchdown props. The only way to win a passing touchdown prop is for a quarterback to complete a touchdown pass.

What does Over 1.5 passing touchdowns mean?

Over 1.5 passing touchdowns means your selected QB needs to get two or more TDs for you to win your bet. If they get zero or one, you lose your bet.

When do passing touchdown props go live each week?

While exact timing varies from sportsbook to sportsbook, most passing touchdown props begin going live when opening lines are released for the upcoming NFL week.

Are passing touchdown props worth betting?

If you follow team and quarterback production closely, they certainly can be. Research is always paramount when it comes to making any kind of bet and that should always be considered.