US President Donald Trump Impeachment Odds Tracker
By Sascha Paruk
Updated:
- Already impeached twice by the House in his first term (and acquitted by the Senate), Donald Trump is at risk of being impeached a third time
- The current impeachment odds are almost 50/50
- See the latest Donald Trump impeachment odds as his involvement in the Epstein scandal continues to dominate headlines
During his first term in office, Donald Trump became the first US President to be impeached by the House of Representatives twice. He was acquitted by the Republican-controlled Senate on both occasions. Less than a year into his second term, Trump is at risk of being impeached an unprecedented third time for a variety of potential offences to the office of the president. The graphs and tables below display the current impeachment odds and show the line movement over recent weeks.
Donald Trump Impeachment Odds (2025)
Last update: July 29 2025.
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Timeline of Events
- July 29, 2025: Based purely on the odds, Trump’s impeachment chances had been over 50% for much of the past week. But the implied probability has come under 50% as of July 29.
US Presidents Who Have Been Impeached
Andrew Johnson and Bill Clinton were both impeached by the US House of Representatives, but were allowed to stay in office after being acquitted by the Senate.
Richard Nixon would almost certainly have been impeached in 1974 for his involvement in the Watergate affair, but chose to resign instead. He remains, to this day, the only US President to ever resign.
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Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.
