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2026 Ballon d’Or Odds Tracker
By Ian Jones
Updated:
- Who are this year’s favorites to win the Ballon d’Or?
- Harry Kane, Lamine Yamal & Rodri are the latest favorites to win the Ballon d’Or in 2026
- Track the odds movement for every contender throughout the year
We’re tracking the 2026 Ballon d’Or Award odds movement for every player contending to take home the award, for the players who have dominated their domestic leagues and continental championships, to those who lifted this year’s World Cup.
The graphs and tables on this page are generated by collecting odds from our most trusted sportsbooks and we’ll continue to update them through to the day the Ballon d’Or is awarded on October 26th.
2026 Ballon d’Or Top Contenders
2026 Ballon d’Or Top Contender Odds
Odds as of September 11th at DraftKings Sportsbook.
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2026 Ballon d’Or Odds Movement Timeline
- September 11 – The release of the Ballon d’Or shortlist earlier this week has firther solidified Harry Kane’s place atop the odds table. The England/Bayern Munich striker is now getting -170 to win the award. Lamine Yamal’s odds have also shortened to +350, though his Spanish teammate (and World Cup Golden Ball winner) Rodri has slid to +700.
August 21 – Is the prospect of another Bundesliga title further tilting the odds in Harry Kane’s favor? It’s entirely possible; without yet making another kick of the ball, Kane has shortened to -145. That places him well ahead of Lamine Yamal (+400) and Rodri (+600). Meanwhile, PSG’s Khvicha Kvaratskhelia ha shortened significantly, going from +3000 to +1400 in the last two weeks. - August 6 – Kane has now moved into odds-on favorite territory, averaging -112 to pick up the Ballon d’Or.
- July 28 – We’re just over two weeks removed since Spain lifted the World Cup and unsurprisingly two Spaniards have climbed to the top of the Ballon d’Or odds table. Lamine Yamal (+225) and Rodri (+350) are just behind the favorite Kane, who’s now a very short +125.
- May 7 – Harry Kane has opened as the 2026 Ballon d’Or favorite in a big way. The Bayern Munich & England striker is currently getting +250 to win the best footballer award for the first time. He’s currently sitting ahead of three Champions League finalists: Declan Rice (+400), Ousmane Dembele (+400), and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (+700).
Recent Ballon d’Or Winners
From 2008 to 2017, the Ballon d’Or award was dominated by two names: Cristiano Ronaldo and Lionel Messi. Messi continued to pick up wins in ’19, ’21, and ’23, but lately we’ve seen new names continue to appear on the final ballot. In fact, since 2022 there have been no repeat names among the first, second, and third-place finishers for the Ballon d’Or.
Most Ballon d’Or Awards
With Messi winning two of the past three Ballon d’Ors, he now has a two-win lead over Ronaldo at 7-5 when it comes to the most-ever Ballon d’Or wins.
Archived Trackers:
Ian Jones
MLB, NFL & MLS Writer
With a background in content marketing, literature, and design, Ian has been bringing a little bit of everything to SBD since 2021. In addition to having penned articles for Eighty-Six Forever, Ian can and will talk your ear off over almost any sport you can think of.
NFL
MLB
Soccer
NCAAB
