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Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets Predictions, Player Props & Odds for Game 5 (April 29)

Sascha Paruk

by Sascha Paruk in NBA Basketball

Updated Apr 29, 2024 · 11:51 AM PDT

Denver Nuggets guard Jamal Murray drives to the basket against the Los Angeles Lakers
Apr 27, 2024; Los Angeles, California, USA; Denver Nuggets guard Jamal Murray (27) drives against Los Angeles Lakers guard Austin Reaves (15) during the fourth quarter in game four of the first round for the 2024 NBA playoffs at Crypto.com Arena. Mandatory Credit: Jason Parkhurst-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Denver Nuggets have a second chance to close out the Los Angeles Lakers on Monday night in Game 5
  • Still trailing 3-1, LeBron James and company staved off elimination with a 119-108 win on Saturday
  • Below, see the Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets predictions, odds and player props for Game 5 on April 29

The Los Angeles Lakers (49-38, 20-23 away, 40-47 ATS) mercifully ended an 11-game losing streak to the Denver Nuggets (60-26, 35-8 home, 39-46-1 ATS) on Saturday night with a 119-108 win at home in Game 4 of their best-of-seven series.

Still trailing 3-1 and facing elimination, Los Angeles heads to Denver as a 7.5-point road underdog in the Lakers vs Nuggets Game 4 odds. Game 5 is scheduled to tip-off at 8:10 pm CT/10:10 pm ET at Ball Arena.

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Los Angeles Lakers +7.5 (-105) +230 Over 216.5 (-110)
Denver Nuggets -7.5 (-115) -285 Under 216.5 (-110)

In addition to being 7.5-point favorites against the spread, the Nuggets are also -285 moneyline favorites to end the series on Monday night. The Lakers are priced at +230 to push the series back to Los Angeles for a Game 6.

The game total is currently 216.5, the lowest of the series so far. Games 1,2, and 3 all stayed under the total before Game 4 went over its total of 219.5.

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Odds as of April 29 at BetMGM. Claim the BetMGM sign up promo to wager on Lakers vs Nuggets Game 5 on Monday night.

The winner of the Nuggets vs Lakers series will face the #3 Minnesota Timberwolves in the second round of the NBA playoff bracket. The T-Wolves finished off a four-game sweep of the Phoenix Suns on Sunday night.

Los Angeles Pushes Back in Game 4

The Lakers played another excellent first half in their Game 4 victory, and have now led at the break in four games of the series. But unlike in the first three games, Los Angeles was able to hold on in the final 24 minutes on Saturday night. LeBron took on a bigger scoring role in the must-win game, dropping a team-high 30 points on 14-of-23 shooting from the floor, his highest number of field-goal attempts since Feb. 29 (a span of 22 games).

Anthony Davis added 25 points on 11-of-17 from the field plus a monstrous 23 rebounds and six assists. AD accounted for exactly half of LA’s 46 rebounds by himself.

YouTube video

As a team, the Lakers shot 52.2% from the field while holding the Nuggets to just 44.8%. The Game 4 win came in spite of a sublime triple-double from Nikola Jokic on the Denver side. The presumptive 2024 NBA MVP had a game-high 33 points, plus 14 rebounds, and 14 assists in a losing effort.

Jokic and company will feel plenty confident heading into Game 5 back at home. Not only did Denver run the table at home while winning the Western Conference last year (8-0), the Lakers haven’t won in Denver since April 10, 2022, losing seven straight since at Ball Arena.

LAL vs DEN Game 5 Player Props

Player Points Rebounds Assists Three-Pointers Made
Aaron Gordon (DEN) 15.5 (Ov +102 | Un -122) 7.5 (Ov +102 | Un -122) 3.5 (Ov -155 | Un +130) 0.5 (Ov +110 | Un -130)
Anthony Davis (LAL) 25.5 (Ov -122 | Un +102) 13.5 (Ov -120 | Un -100) 2.5 (Ov -162 | Un +136) 0.5 (Ov +285 | Un -360)
Austin Reaves (LAL) 14.5 (Ov -102 | Un -118) 3.5 (Ov -125 | Un +105) 3.5 (Ov -142 | Un +120) 1.5 (Ov -135 | Un +114)
D’Angelo Russell (LAL) 15.5 (Ov -108 | Un -112) 2.5 (Ov -162 | Un +136) 4.5 (Ov +105 | Un -125) 2.5 (Ov -112 | Un -108)
Jamal Murray (DEN) 23.5 (Ov -120 | Un -100) 4.5 (Ov -122 | Un +102) 7.5 (Ov +114 | Un -135) 2.5 (Ov +110 | Un -130)
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (DEN) 10.5 (Ov +110 | Un -130) 2.5 (Ov +124 | Un -148) OFF 1.5 (Ov -148 | Un +124)
LeBron James (LAL) 26.5 (Ov -115 | Un -105) 7.5 (Ov +114 | Un -135) 8.5 (Ov -102 | Un -118) 1.5 (Ov -122 | Un +102)
Michael Porter Jr (DEN) 19.5 (Ov -102 | Un -118) 8.5 (Ov +102 | Un -122) OFF 3.5 (Ov +142 | Un -170)
Nikola Jokic (DEN) 27.5 (Ov -115 | Un -105) 13.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110) 9.5 (Ov -122 | Un +102) 1.5 (Ov +180 | Un -218)
Rui Hachimura (LAL) 8.5 (Ov -120 | Un -100) 3.5 (Ov +105 | Un -125) OFF 0.5 (Ov -175 | Un +145)
Taurean Prince (LAL) 6.5 (Ov -100 | Un -120) 2.5 (Ov -135 | Un +114) OFF 1.5 (Ov +150 | Un -180)

NBA player prop odds as of Apr. 29 at DraftKings Sportsbook.

LeBron’s point total for Game 5 is once again 26.5, same as it was for Saturday’s potential elimination game. Jokic’s total has increased one point from 26.5 to 27.5 after his 33-point outburst on Saturday night.

Lakers vs Nuggets Game 5 Prediction

The Lakers have shown a remarkable ability to start fast in this series. James and Davis are both playing exceptionally and Darvin Ham’s team will be in desperation mode from the opening tip. I can’t back a Lakers win given their lack of depth and the ongoing losing streak at Ball Arena, but I do like the value on LA winning the first half again at +180.

LAL vs DEN Game 5 pick:  Lakers first-half moneyline (+180)

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