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Czech Republic vs USA World Juniors Odds & Pick: Americans Have Won Two Straight to Top Group

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NHL Hockey

Updated Apr 13, 2020 · 7:34 AM PDT

USA Hockey pregame
The USA is as big favorite versus the Czech Republic in their Group B game on Monday, December 30 at the IIHF World Junior Championship. Photo by Presidential Press and Information Office (Wikimedia).
  • Sportsbooks list the USA as prohibitive -575 favorites to defeat the Czech Repbulic in Monday’s Group B action at the IIHF World Junior Championship
  • The 2-1 Americans are in top spot in Group B after posting successive victories
  • Both the Czech Republic and USA have beaten Russia

In what’s looking like it will be a very wide-open IIHF World Junior Championship, both the USA and Czech Republic are very much in the hunt as they clash in Group B action on Monday.

A 3-1 win over Russia on Sunday improved the United States to 2-1 on the tournament and moved them to the top of the table in Group B. Canada, Germany and the Czech Republic are all 1-1, followed by the Russians at 1-2.

Oddsmakers are heavily in the Americans’ corner in terms of the odds on this game. They’ve established Team USA as prohibitive -575 odds-on favorites to win the contest.

Czech Republic vs USA Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Czech Republic +375 +2.5 (-125) Over 7.0 (-115)
USA -575 -2.5 (-110) Under 7.0 (-115)

Odds taken Dec. 29.

The USA has won five straight from the Czechs, outscoring them 31-5 in the process.

USA Finding Its Footing

Since blowing a 2-0 first-period lead and losing 6-4 to Canada in their opener, the Americans have won two in a row.

The United States displayed offensive balance in a 6-3 victory over Germany. Six different players handled the scoring in that win. During Sunday’s 3-1 verdict over the Russians, goals six seconds apart by Arthur Kaliyev and Nick Robertson tied the tournament record for the fastest two goals in a game.

YouTube video

The Americans display plenty of firepower. Forward Trevor Zegras (0-7-7) shares the tournament scoring lead. Forward Shane Pinto (3-3-6) is one point behind him.

Kaliyev has scored three goals and Robertson has netted a pair.

Vital For Czech Republic To Get Result

The joy of an opening-day 4-3 victory over Russia was quickly deflated when the Czech Republic lost 4-3 to Germany. The host country desperately needs at least one more point to avoid the relegation round, since they would now lose the fourth-place tiebreaker to the Germans.

With Russia’s loss, if Canada wins out the Canadians will top the group. The Americans are well-positioned to finish second. Germany still must play Canada and Russia. The Czechs get the Canadians in their final group stage game.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_bi1Y8LuqCE

Special teams could prove decisive. The USA has allowed a tournament-high five power-play goals and is killing penalties at a dismal 64.29 pecent rate. The Czechs are operating at 26.67 percent with the man advantage (4-for-15).

Team USA is clicking at 35.71 percent on the power play (5-for-14). The Czechs have allowed three power-play goals in two games.

Spread Is The Best Bet

The Czechs are unlikely to win this game, and betting the USA at -575 is pointless. But based on the results of games involving these two nations, a spread play on the Czech Republic is enticing.

The Americans won a three-goal game and a two-goal game. They suffered a two-goal setback. The Czechs have played to a pair of one-goal verdicts.

Pick: Czech Repbulic +2.5 (-125)

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