Marseille vs Sporting Lisbon Odds & Picks – Champions League Group Stage

• It’s Marseille vs Sporting Lisbon in Week 3 of the 2022-23 UEFA Champions League on Tuesday, October 4
• Sporting Lisbon top Group D with a 100 percent record while Marseille are pointless
• We preview the game, look at the Marseille vs Sporting Lisbon odds, and offer some picks below

On Tuesday, October 4 it’s Marseille vs Sporting Lisbon in Week 3 of the UEFA Champions League season. It all kicks off in Marseille’s Stade Vélodrome at 2:45pm ET.

Marseille are currently bottom and pointless of UCL Group D, while their Portuguese visitors have had a perfect start to their campaign with two wins from two.

We preview Marseille vs Sporting Lisbon, take a look at the Champions League odds, and offer some analysis, team news, and picks for this  UCL Group D clash.

Marseille vs Sporting Lisbon Odds

Odds as of October 3 at Caesars Sportsbook. Use this Caesars Sportsbook promo code to bet on this or other games.

Marseille, despite being bottom of the group, are listed as plus money favorites at +122 with a 45% implied win probability.

Top-of-the-table Sporting are pitched at +225 for the win – an implied probability of 31% – while the draw is listed at +240, with implied probability of 29%.

Over/Under and Spread

Caesars are not sure what to expect in terms of total goals scored and have listed both the over and under 2.5 goals at -115.

If you’re new to betting on soccer and want to know about Soccer Futures and Outright Betting, then our page offers help on how to do this on this and other Champion League games.

Marseille vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction

Marseille’s start to the new Ligue 1 season could hardly have been better and they remain unbeaten. Seven wins and two draws in Ligue 1 have taken them to second, just two points behind PSG, but in the UCL they are point-less and goal-less.

🕺 Issa making moves 👀 pic.twitter.com/YCdZMzqhax

— Olympique de Marseille 🇬🇧 🇺🇸 (@OM_English) October 2, 2022

After experiencing a difficult last few seasons both on and off the pitch, the team from the South of France has started to emerge as contenders once again, but their lack of experience in top-level European soccer over that time has made the step up from Ligue 1 to the UCL a big one.

Olympique in Need of First Win

Another cause for concern for Marseille ahead of this game is their poor record against Portuguese opposition, against whom they have lost six of their last eight. The last time they beat a team from the Primeira Liga was back in the 1989-90 season when they beat Benfica in what was then known as the European Cup.

🤷 @mbemba22 🤷 pic.twitter.com/EoZM9bQw7T

— Olympique de Marseille 🇬🇧 🇺🇸 (@OM_English) October 2, 2022

The last time Olympique made it into the knockout stages of the UCL was 2011-12 and if they are to repeat that feat they need to get a win on the board as soon as possible. They will be relying on a noisy and boisterous Vélodrome to help them get that win on Tuesday and they warmed up nicely with a 3-0 win over Anger last Friday.

Marseille vs Sporting Lisbon Head-to-Head Stats

Slow Primeira Liga Start for Sporting

Sporting’s domestic season has yet to ignite. Despite finishing second in last season’s Primeira Liga, which earned them their place in this season’s Champions League, their Primeira Liga campaign has been a slow burner. They are currently down in seventh with a 4-1-3 record, but they did win on Friday night – a 3-1 victory over Gil Vicente –  and their UCL record is perfect with two wins from two.

After making it out of the group stages in 2021-22, Ruben Amorim’s men will be looking to do the same again this season. They appear to have learned lessons from last season when they lost their first two and had to rely on some heroics in games three to six to make it through.

🔜 @ChampionsLeague ✨ #UCL #SportingCP pic.twitter.com/xaMx2TtKjM

— Sporting CP English (@SportingCP_en) October 3, 2022

Sporting in Control of Group D

This time around, Sporting’s two wins – Eintracht Frankfurt (3-0) and Tottenham (2-0) – have put them in control of the group and in control of their own destiny. Their away form has been excellent so far this season too and they will be unfazed by the intimidating atmosphere in Marseille.

They have not faced French opposition since their Europa League campaign of 2010-11 when they beat Lille in both games – 2-1 in France and 1-0 in Portugal.

⏹️ FULL-TIME:

⚽ @mrt_510, Pedro Gonçalves e Rochinha#SportingCP #SCPGVFC pic.twitter.com/aytMYFAEZd

— Sporting CP English (@SportingCP_en) September 30, 2022

Marseille vs Sporting Lisbon Team Lineups and Injuries

Marseille Projected Lineup: Lopez, Balerdi, Bailly, Gigot, Clauss, Guendouzi, Rongier, Gerson, Payet, Sanchez, Suarez.

Injuries & absences: Kolasinac.

Sporting Lisbon Projected Lineup: Adan, Inacio, Coates, Reis, Porro, Ugarte, Alexandropoulos, Santos, Paulinho, Gomes, Goncalves.

Injuries & absences: Cabral, Neto, Braganca.

Marseille vs Sporting Lisbon Pick

Despite having a 0-0-2 record, Marseille kick off here as favorites – partly due to home advantage and the red hot atmosphere that will be created by the home fans – but Sporting are 2-0-0 for a reason.

For me, given Sporting’s outstanding start to the campaign, the value here is definitely with the away win.

Pick: Sporting Lisbon to win (+225)