NFL Public Betting & Money Percentages for Giants vs Vikings Wild Card Weekend
By Chris Amberley in NFL News
Updated: January 21, 2023 at 9:31 am ESTPublished:
- 53% of the ATS money is on New York in the Giants vs Vikings public betting splits ahead of their NFC Wild Card Game
- Under 48 is drawing 52% of all money that’s been wagered on the total
- A complete breakdown of the Giants vs Vikings public betting splits and key trends can be found below
Like all games on Super Wild Card Weekend, the Giants vs Vikings contest is a rematch from the regular season. Their first meeting also took place in Minnesota, with the Vikings emerging victorious 27-24, despite getting outgained by nearly 100 yards.
Getting outplayed, but finding a way to win, was a common theme in Minnesota games this season. This is a team that finished 13-4, despite having a negative point differential.
That fact isn’t lost on big money bettors ahead of this NFC playoff tilt, as the majority are backing the underdogs per the NFL public betting trends.
Giants vs Vikings ATS Betting Splits
The Giants opened as 3-point underdogs, and the spread hasn’t budged all week. At that number, 46% of the spread wagers are on New York, as is 53% of the ATS money.
New York covered versus Minnesota in their Week 16 meeting, and were a league-best 13-4 against the spread this season. Per the Vikings vs Giants picks, New York was 7-1 ATS on the road this season. They’ve covered in four straight contests overall, and each of their past four outings away from home.
The Giants have historically been spread crushers when it comes to playoff time as well. They’re 9-2 ATS in the postseason since 2006, covering in eight of nine gams where they were catching points.
"Beware of the rarely seen but always risky overrated underdog."
— @getnickwright on if the Giants have a chance to upset the Vikings: pic.twitter.com/PkOmeqLCkN
— First Things First (@FTFonFS1) January 13, 2023
New York is 16-5 against the spread in the playoffs as underdogs in the Super Bowl era, which is the best cover rate of any franchise in an underdog role.
Minnesota meanwhile, had one of the nine worst cover rates during the regular season. They were 7-9-1 ATS, failing to cover in four of their final five outings.
New York vs Minnesota Total Betting Splits
Total-wise, the line is currently sitting at 48, the highest of any Super Wild Card Weekend contest. That number is up a point from the opener, but the majority of bettors seem to be shying away from a high scoring affair.
Under 48 is currently drawing 57% of the over/under bets, and 52% of all money wagered on the total. Neither team is dealing with any significant skill position injuries per the Giants vs Vikings injury report, however Minnesota will be down one of its best offensive linemen Brian O’Neill.
The stage is set. Buckle up for a WILD weekend of football
Keep your eye on the Giants-Vikings matchup on Sunday pic.twitter.com/dnZhHmXGXx
— Mark Sanchez (@Mark_Sanchez) January 13, 2023
The Vikings were the most profitable over team to back this season, as 11 of their 17 games cleared the total. Seven of their nine home games went over, including their first meeting with New York.
Minnesota’s propensity to play high scoring games is the direct result of a disappointing defense. Only the Titans allowed more passing yards than the Vikings this season, while Minnesota ranked tied for 30th in points allowed.
Daniel Jones shredded them for 334 yards in Week 16, and is an excellent bet to clear over 241.5 passing yards in the Giants vs Vikings player props.
New York was just 7-9-1 to the over this season, but both of the games they played indoors did eclipse the total.
Giants vs Vikings Moneyline Splits
As far as the moneyline market goes, the ticket count favors Minnesota, but more money is on New York. The Giants are drawing 55% of the moneyline handle as +135 ‘dogs, as most bettors clearly view this Vikings team as vulnerable.
New York has won 13 of its 21 playoff games outright as underdogs, while Kirk Cousins led teams are just 1-3 all-time in the postseason. Cousins has averaged only 193.5 yards during those four games and less than one touchdown pass per start.
His woeful 12-18 primetime record is well documented, and while this contest may not take place under the lights, it is an island game that will draw the eyes of the entire football world.
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Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.