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Rockets vs Grizzlies Predictions, Player Props & Odds for Jan 30

Chris Amberley

By Chris Amberley in NBA Basketball

Published:


Jaren Jackson Jr. passes the ball with Dillon Brooks watching him.
Jan 13, 2025; Houston, Texas, USA; Memphis Grizzlies forward Jaren Jackson Jr. (13) passes the ball around Houston Rockets forward Dillon Brooks (9) during the second half at Toyota Center. Mandatory Credit: Troy Taormina-Imagn Images
  • The Memphis Grizzlies are 5-point home favorites over the Houston Rockets tonight
  • Houston’s top-two centers Alperen Sengun (calf) and Steve Adams (ankle) are questionable
  • See the Rockets vs Grizzlies predictions, player props and odds, below

Two of the Western Conference’s premier teams collide tonight as the Houston Rockets (32-14, 17-6 away) visit the Memphis Grizzlies (31-16, 19-5 home). The Rockets have taken all three meetings against the Grizzlies so far, but online sportsbooks expect a different outcome in the series finale per tonight’s NBA odds. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:40 ET at the FedExForum, in Memphis, TN, with TNT providing the broadcast coverage.

Houston Rockets vs Memphis Grizzlies Odds

TeamSpreadMoneylineTotal
Houston Rockets+5 (-110)+170Over 238 (-110)
Memphis Grizzlies-5 (-110)-205Under 238 (-110)

Memphis is currently favored by 5-points, in a contest with a total of 238. The spread has moved 1.5 points in the Grizzlies favor per the NBA public betting trends, and 1.5 points to the over since opening lines were released. Memphis is listed at -205 on the moneyline, with Houston coming back as +170 underdogs.

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Houston Rockets vs Memphis Grizzlies Predictions

  • Memphis Grizzlies -5 (-110) at Caesars
  • Over 238 (-110) at Caesars

We’re going to be following both line moves for our Rockets vs Grizzlies picks. Memphis has a much cleaner injury report, while both of these teams play up tempo.

The big injury situation to monitor is that of Houston big man Alperen Sengun. The 6-11 center is dealing with a calf injury, and is listed as questionable. Sengun’s potential absence would be a major blow, especially in this matchup. Memphis is one of the best rebounding teams in the NBA, while Sengun is the Rockets leading man on the glass.

To make matters worse, backup center Steven Adams (ankle) is also questionable, while power forward Jabari Smith Jr. is out. That puts Houston potentially down three of its five best rebounders.

Sengun is also a premier defender. He ranks third in the NBA in defensive win shares, and seventh in defensive rating. At the other end, he’s averaging 19 points per game, and is third among centers in assists.

Houston will still find ways to create offense, as they’re one of the highest scoring teams in the league. The offense has been trending down lately however, even with Sengun, scoring 114 points or less in four of their past five outings.

The Grizzlies meanwhile, are red-hot. Memphis has won six of seven, scoring 125+ points in three of four. Jaren Jackson Jr. is making a strong push to be an All-Star reserve, and the team gets balanced production from both its first and second unit. Jackson Jr. leads the team with 22.8 points per game, while seven other regulars average over 9 points per night.

That’s turned the Grizzlies into a covering machine. Memphis, a top-eight NBA Championship odds contender, is 9-3 against the spread in its last 12 outings, and 17-7 ATS at home this season.

Both these teams love to push the pace, which should result in a high-scoring game. The Grizzlies play at the fastest rate in the NBA, while the Rockets will be forced to go more up tempo if Sengun sits. Memphis is 7-2 to the over in its last nine games, while Houston has seen six of its past nine outings go over.

HOU vs MEM Player Props

PlayerPointsReboundsAssistsThree-Pointers Made
Jalen Green (HOU)22.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)4.5 (Ov+100 | Un -130)2.5 (Ov -160 | Un +124)2.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100)
Ja Morant (MEM)22.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)4.5 (Ov +120 | Un -154)6.5 (Ov -140 | Un +110)1.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Jaren Jackson Jr. (MEM)22.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)6.5 (Ov +110 | Un -140)2.5 (Ov +120 | Un -154)1.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Alperen Sengun (HOU)18.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)10.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135)4.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)OFF
Amen Thompson (HOU)17.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)10.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135)3.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100)0.5 (Ov +165 | Un -215)
Desmond Bane (MEM)17.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)4.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)5.5 (Ov +120 | Un -154)2.5 (Ov +120 | Un -150)
Fred VanVleet (HOU)15.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100)3.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)5.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100)3.5 (Ov +130 | Un -166)
Dillon Brooks (HOU)13.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)3.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100)OFF2.5 (Ov +120 | Un -154)
Jaylen Wells (MEM)9.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)3.5 (Ov +130 | Un -166)OFF1.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Santi Aldama (MEM)8.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)5.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135)OFF1.5 (Ov +160 | Un -210)

NBA player props from DraftKings Sportsbook on January 30.

Pick: Amen Thompson Over 17.5 Points (-115)

Sengun’s absence or possible limitations opens up more offensive opportunity for rookie Amen Thompson. The former fourth overall pick has seen a spike in playing time and usage recently, playing 36+ minutes in all but one game this month. As a result, he’s flourished.

Thomson has scored 17+ points in seven of his past 10 outings, putting up 12 or more shots in five of his past six games. He’s shooting 57% from the field in January, while also averaging 6 free throws per night.

Chris Amberley
Chris Amberley

Sports Writer

As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.

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