Opening Leafs vs Panthers Game 7 Odds – Which Team is Favored?

• The Maple Leafs and Panthers will play Game 7 of their second-round series on Sunday, May 18th
• The opening Game 7 odds favor the Panthers to win despite Toronto’s home ice advantage
• Read below for Maple Leafs vs Panthers Game 7 odds and series details

The Toronto Maple Leafs have forced a decisive Game 7 after defeating the Florida Panthers 2-0 in Game 6 on Friday night. Opening Maple Leafs vs Panthers Game 7 odds were released immediately following Friday’s game.

Oddsmakers are favoring the Panthers to win Game 7 despite Toronto having home ice advantage. The Maple Leafs are priced as home underdogs as they look to complete a remarkable comeback after tying the series 3-3.

Here are the opening Maple Leafs vs Panthers Game 7 odds.

Maple Leafs vs Panthers Game 7 Odds

In the Maple Leafs vs Panthers Game 7 odds, Florida opens as the -135 favorite, giving the Panthers a 57.4% implied win probability.

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Odds as of May 16, 2025, at DraftKings Sportsbook. Check out the best betting promos for Sunday’s Game 7.

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Panthers Favored in Game 7 Odds

The opening Maple Leafs vs Panthers Game 7 odds favor Florida despite Toronto having home ice advantage. This is largely due to the Panthers’ status as defending Stanley Cup champions and their dominant underlying statistics throughout the series.

The advanced metrics heavily favor Florida, who have maintained a commanding 61.05% Corsi share, indicating they’re controlling puck possession by a wide margin. The Panthers have also generated 174 scoring chances compared to Toronto’s 103, showing a significant advantage in offensive zone pressure.

Expected goals metrics (62.56% vs 37.44%) also heavily favor Florida, suggesting they’re creating higher quality chances despite the series being tied. The defending champions have also generated more high-danger chances (66 vs 54) throughout the series.

Coach Paul Maurice’s experience in elimination games is another factor, as he holds a perfect 5-0 record in Game 7s, including the final game of last season’s Stanley Cup Final.

Maple Leafs Look to Complete Comeback

The Maple Leafs will look to overcome both history and statistics in Game 7. Toronto started strong with wins in Games one and two before Florida stormed back with three consecutive victories, including a dominant 6-1 win in Game 5 in Toronto.

In Game 6, Toronto managed to shut down Florida’s potent offense with Joseph Woll delivering a perfect 22-save shutout performance. Auston Matthews broke through with his first goal of the series at 6:20 of the third period, and Max Pacioretty added an insurance marker to secure the 2-0 victory.

The Maple Leafs have been more efficient in the series despite being outplayed in most categories. Toronto holds advantages in shooting percentage (11.57% vs 10.27%) and save percentage (89.73% vs 88.43%), which explains how they’ve kept the series even despite Florida’s territorial dominance.

Maple Leafs’ Game 7 History

The Maple Leafs have a troubling history in Game 7 situations, particularly in recent years. Overall, Toronto has a 12-14 record in Game 7s throughout franchise history, but they’ve lost their last six consecutive Game 7s dating back to 2013.

Here’s a look at Toronto’s Game 7 record since 2013:

This troubling Game 7 record will undoubtedly be on the minds of Toronto’s players and fans as they prepare for Sunday’s decisive contest.

Game 7 Start Time and Details

Game 7 between the Toronto Maple Leafs and Florida Panthers will take place on Sunday, May 18th at 7:30 p.m. ET at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto. The game will be televised on TNT, truTV, and Max in the United States, while Canadian viewers can watch on Sportsnet, CBC, and TVA Sports.

The winner of this series will advance to face the Carolina Hurricanes in the Eastern Conference Finals. Carolina has been resting since eliminating the Washington Capitals in five games in their second-round series.