Texas A&M vs Missouri Prediction, Prop Picks & Best Bets for SEC Showdown
By Nick Holz in College Football
Published:
- Texas A&M meets Missouri in a massive Week 11 SEC showdown
- Missouri is 15-1 SU in its last 16 home games
- Check out my Texas A&M vs Missouri prediction with prop picks & best bets, below
A massive SEC clash headlines Week 11 of the college football season as no. 3 Texas A&M takes on No. 19 Missouri in a Saturday, November 8th SEC showdown. The Aggies enter after an impressive 49-25 beatdown of LSU last week, while Missouri fell 17-10 to Vanderbilt in their last game. Catch all of the Texas A&M vs Missouri action on ABC as this one kicks off from Memorial Stadium at 3:30 pm ET.
Lock in my Texas A&M vs Missouri predictions, prop picks and best bets.
Texas A&M vs Missouri Prediction
Beau Pribula’s ankle injury looms large in this matchup. With Prigula in the lineup, the Tigers didn’t lose a game by more than three points from October of last year, until Missouri’s last outing against Vanderbilt. But taking down a stacked Texas A&M squad without their star signal-caller will be a tall task.
The Aggies smacked Mizzou 41-10 last year, and without Prigula in the lineup, this game should follow the same script. Freshman Matt Zollers takes over for the Tigers. Zollers is a former top-100 recruit whom head coach Eli Drinkiwitz sees as the future of the program, but he’ll step in much sooner than expected against a ferocious Texas A&M defense. In fact, the Aggies boast the top-ranked third-down defense in the country, allow just 4.8 yards per play, and lead the SEC in sacks.
Mike Elko’s squad has been dominant this season, with a 14.1 point average margin of victory. On top of that, the Aggies rank in the top-10 in EPA allowed per play, which will give them a clear edge against a backup quarterback. Even with superstar running back Ahmad Hardy behind him, Zollers will be under pressure all night. Look for the Aggies to win this one handily.
- Pick: Texas A&M -6.5 (-118)
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Texas A&M vs Missouri Prop Picks
Aggies dual-threat sophomore Reed has crushed his rushing yardage line in three straight games and six of eight starts this season. He’s averaged 49.4 rushing yards per game, with six touchdowns already this season and enters off a 108-yard demolition of LSU last week. Mizzou allows just 81 yards per game on the ground,
Missouri receiver Marquis Johnson has failed to exceed 3.5 receptions in 14 of his last 18 games, while averaging 2.4 receptions a contest. In fact, he’s averaged just 3.8 targets in those contests, with a measly 12% target share. With Pribula on the sidelines and Mizzou’s heavy emphasis on the rushing attack, Johnson’s unders are a straightforward play.
Finally, Matt Zollers gets his first start against A&M’s elite secondary. The Aggies rank in the top-10 in EPA per pass allowed, so expect a lot of checkdowns and a ton of pressure. He may be a former top recruit, but adjusting to the SEC’s best defense – that just held experienced LSU QB Garrett Nussmeier to 168 passing yards – is a daunting challenge.
Texas A&M vs Missouri Odds
Texas A&M are 6.5-point favorites in the closing Week 11 college football odds. The Texas A&M vs Missouri total is set at 48.5 with both the over and under at an even -110.
The public loves the Aggies in this one as 93% of against the spread bets and 62% of moneyline plays are on Texas A&M in the college football public betting splits.
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Odds as of November 8th at FanDuel. Look for the best college football betting apps for Texas A&M vs Missouri.
Sports Content Writer
A sports betting aficionado and graduate of Toronto Film School, Nick covers the NFL, NBA, Soccer, and MMA for SBD. He is also an avid NBA podcaster, and sports betting TikToker. Nick's work has been featured on Bleacher Report.