Cowboys vs Raiders Player Props: Expert Picks for Dak Prescott & Brock Bowers

What the Week 11 Monday Night Football clash between the Dallas Cowboys (3-5-1, 1-4 away) and Las Vegas Raiders (2-7, 1-3 home) lacks in playoff implications it makes up for in compelling player-prop opportunities. The Cowboys and Raiders meet at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas at 5:15 pm PT/8:15 pm ET.

The Cowboys bring offensive firepower led by quarterback Dak Prescott, who’s averaging 257.7 passing yards per game, while the Raiders counter with veteran signal-caller Geno Smith and breakout tight end Brock Bowers, who hauled in his first three career TD receptions in Week 9.

In the first section below, I have set out the passing, rushing, and receiving props for tonight’s game, followed by my two favorite Cowboys vs Raiders player-prop bets.

Cowboys vs Raiders Player Props

Odds as of 11:25 am ET. See the top Missouri sports betting apps ahead of today’s pre-registration period.

The quarterback prop market tells a fascinating story of offensive expectations. Dak Prescott’s passing-touchdown line has seen the most dramatic movement, with the over 1.5 odds steaming from an opening -177 to the current -192. This shift reflects strong market confidence in the Cowboys’ red zone efficiency (61.8% touchdown conversion rate). His yardage line sits at 257.5, very close to his season average of 257.7.

Geno Smith’s props have remained relatively stable. His passing yards line of 235.5 accounts for the Raiders’ struggles to sustain drives, averaging just 15.2 points per game.

Javonte Williams enters with his rushing line set slightly below his season average (75.5 vs 79.6), creating potential value on the over.

The over on Brock Bowers’ receiving yards (73.5 yards) has shifted from -115 to -121, indicating sharp money backing another productive outing.

Lamb commands the highest receiving total at 88.5 yards with a lofty 6.5 reception line, reflecting his role as Prescott’s primary target. Meanwhile, Jeanty’s rushing over has ticked down from -114 to -111, suggesting modest market confidence despite facing a Cowboys defense missing defensive tackle Solomon Thomas.

Best Cowboys vs Raiders Player-Prop Picks

Best Bet #1: Brock Bowers Over 71.5 Receiving Yards (-141) at Sleeper

The Raiders’ tight end has recorded four-plus receptions in seven of his last nine games (77.8%), and exceeded 71.5 receiving yards in six of his last eight (75%). Bowers leads all Raiders receivers with a 24.3% target share, and that increases to 28% in the red zone, making him Smith’s most trusted scoring option.

The Cowboys defense allows 58.4 receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends and ranks 31st in the NFL in coverage at PFF.

The Raiders’ offensive limitations actually enhance Bowers’ prop value. With Smith needing a reliable chain-mover against a Cowboys defense that struggles covering tight ends, Bowers becomes the focal point of Las Vegas’s passing attack. His 6.5 reception line correlates directly with this yardage total – reaching that catch threshold typically requires surpassing 71.5 yards.

Best Bet #2: Dak Prescott Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-170) at Fanatics

Despite the steep price, Prescott over 1.5 passing TDs represents the safest anchor for the slate.

Offensive Efficiency Metrics:

• Cowboys convert 61.8% of red zone opportunities into touchdowns (4th in NFL)
• Dallas averages 28.8 points per game with 2.3 offensive touchdowns per contest
• Prescott has thrown multiple touchdowns in 75% of road games this season
• Raider defense allows 24.1 points per game, creating ample scoring opportunities

Prescott possesses multiple receiving weapons capable of finding the end zone. Lamb (88.5 receiving yards line) commands double coverage, opening opportunities for Pickens, Ferguson, and Williams in the passing game. The Cowboys’ offensive coordinator Klayton Adams utilizes diverse personnel packages in the red zone, giving Prescott multiple viable targets for touchdown passes.

This line is as high as -191 at other books, but Fanatics is still offering the original -170 price.