Kansas vs Notre Dame Picks, Predictions & Closing Odds (Nov 24)

• Notre Dame’s Carson Towt’s is fourth in the nation in rebounding (12.6 RPG)
• The offensive firepower on both sides projects to push the total over 142.5 points
• See the Kansas vs Notre Dame picks, predictions, odds, and betting splits

Two storied college basketball programs collide in Las Vegas as the Kansas Jayhawks (3-2, 2-3 ATS, 1-4 O/U) and Notre Dame Fighting Irish (4-1, 3-2 ATS, 3-2 O/U) meet at the MGM Grand Garden Arena on Monday afternoon (3:30 pm ET on TNT). Still without star freshman Darryn Peterson (21.5 PPG, 3.5 RPG, 3.0 APG), Kansas enters as the betting favorite, laying 4.5 or 5.5 points, depending on the sportsbook.

This matchup revives a dormant rivalry – the programs haven’t faced each other since 1988 – and carries significant resume implications for both squads. Kansas sits at #120 in the RPI rankings while Notre Dame checks in at #134, making this neutral-site clash a valuable opportunity for March résumé building.

Below, I have set out my Kansas vs Notre Dame picks and best bets, plus the latest odds and public-betting splits.

Kansas vs Notre Dame Best Bets and Predictions

The betting market has shown significant movement favoring the underdog, with Kansas opening as 6.5-point favorites before sharp action drove the line down as far as 4.5. Despite the smaller spread, the value still lies with the underdog to cover.

ATS Pick: Notre Dame +5.5 (-115) at DraftKings

Notre Dame’s superior rebounding and balanced attack make them an attractive underdog play. The Fighting Irish have outperformed expectations through five games, led by the interior dominance of Carson Towt, whose 12.6 rebounds per game ranks 4th nationally. Towt’s ability to control both ends of the glass – 8.0 defensive rebounds and 4.6 offensive boards per contest – gives Notre Dame crucial second-chance opportunities while limiting Kansas possessions.

The Jayhawks counter with Flory Bidunga’s exceptional efficiency (16.4 ppg on 75.0% shooting), but they have lost both games they’ve played against teams in KenPom’s top-200 (Duke, North Carolina), suggesting vulnerability against quality competition. Notre Dame isn’t on the same level as the Blue Devils or Tar Heels, but they

Notre Dame’s offensive balance, featuring Markus Burton’s 19.4 points per game and Braeden Shrewsberry’s elite 57.7% three-point shooting (10th nationally), creates multiple scoring threats Kansas must account for. The Fighting Irish are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as underdogs, while Kansas has struggled to cover as favorites this season, going 1-2 ATS.

Over/Under Pick: Over 142.5 (-110) at Caesars

Both offenses possess the firepower to exceed the 142.5-point total. Kansas generates efficient interior looks through Bidunga’s dominance. Notre Dame’s attack flows through Burton’s aggressive scoring and Shrewsberry’s perimeter threat, creating a dynamic offensive combination.

The Fighting Irish average 83.6 points per game on impressive 50.7% field goal shooting, while Kansas has shown the ability to score in bunches despite averaging 77.4 points. Overs are 7-3 in games involving teams shooting above 50% from the field this season, and both squads qualify. The pace should favor scoring, with Notre Dame’s transition game complementing Kansas’s half-court execution.

Best Player Prop: Carson Towt Over 11.5 Rebounds (+100) at BetMGM

Towt represents exceptional value at this number. His 12.6 rebounds per game average ranks among the nation’s elite, and he’s exceeded 11.5 boards in four of five games this season. Against Kansas’s physical frontcourt, Towt’s motor and positioning become even more critical. He leads the country in total rebounds (63) and ranks 18th in offensive rebounds (23), providing Notre Dame with crucial extra possessions. The heavy minutes (26.4 per game) and high-stakes environment should only increase his activity on the glass.

Kansas vs Notre Dame Closing Odds

Two hours before tip-off, the Kansas vs Notre Dame point spread still ranges from KU -4.5 to -5.5. Kansas bettors should take -4.5 (-115) at BetMGM, while Notre Dame bettors should take +5.5 (-115) at DraftKings.

On the moneyline, the best price on the Irish to win straight-up is +195 at ESPN Bet. Kansas is -210 at Fanatics, which is the best price available currently.

The game total also shows a one-point range. Over bettors can get 142.5 (-110) at Caesars. Under bettors can get 143.5 (-114) at Underdog.

Odds commentary as of 1:28 pm ET. The lines in the table will update automatically with the best-available price for each market if the college basketball odds move before tip-off.

Jayhawks vs Fighting Irish Public-Betting Splits

The college basketball public betting splits reveal a classic sharp versus square situation developing around this matchup. While recreational bettors are gravitating toward the higher-profile Kansas program, the money distribution tells a different story about where professional action is landing.

Kansas is attracting 88.8% of moneyline tickets, demonstrating overwhelming public support for the Jayhawks to win outright. However, Notre Dame has captured 30.71% of the actual money wagered despite receiving only 11.2% of the bets. This significant discrepancy indicates that larger, potentially sharper wagers are backing the Fighting Irish at plus-money odds.

The spread action shows a more balanced distribution, with Notre Dame securing 52.39% of bets to cover while Kansas holds 51.86% of the money. This near-even split aligns with our recommendation on Notre Dame +4.5, as both public sentiment and smart money appear to find value in the underdog.

The total presents unanimous agreement between volume and money. A massive 86.33% of bets are backing the Over, supported by 84.69% of the total handle. This overwhelming consensus reinforces our Over 142.5 prediction, as both casual and professional bettors expect a high-scoring affair.