Blackhawks vs Golden Knights Prediction, Odds & Starting Goalies (Dec. 2)

• The Golden Knights are -285 moneyline favorites over the Blackhawks in Tuesday’s 10 PM ET matchup at T-Mobile Arena
• Carter Hart makes his controversial NHL return after 22 months away from the league
• See my Blackhawks vs Golden Knights predictions below, plus odds and starting goalies from Vegas

The Golden Knights host the Blackhawks on Tuesday night in a game that carries major storylines beyond the two points at stake. Vegas (11-6-8) welcomes Carter Hart back to NHL action for the first time since January 2024, while Chicago (11-9-5) tries to build on Sunday’s five-goal comeback win against Anaheim.

Puck drop is set for 10:00 PM ET at T-Mobile Arena. Hart’s return creates uncertainty in the Vegas crease, and when you combine that with Chicago’s current offensive surge, this game has all the ingredients for a shootout.

Blackhawks vs Golden Knights Prediction

• Score Prediction: Golden Knights 4, Blackhawks 3

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My Blackhawks vs Golden Knights prediction focuses on over 6 goals, as multiple factors point directly to a high-scoring game. Let’s start with Hart’s situation. He hasn’t played an NHL game in 22 months, and his three AHL appearances with Henderson produced a 3.07 GAA and .839 save percentage.

You’re asking a rusty goalie to face an NHL lineup in what will be an emotional, high-pressure return. That’s a recipe for goals against, especially when Chicago’s offense is clicking.

The Blackhawks scored five goals Sunday against Anaheim after trailing 3-0. Connor Bedard recorded four points, including the game-winner, pushing his total to 37 points in 25 games. When a team’s top player is clicking like that, they find ways to score.

Team Comparison

The over is backed by recent NHL betting trends. These teams have gone over in five of their last six meetings, and Chicago has hit the over in four of its last five games. The Hawks are also 4-1 to the over as underdogs in their last five.

Vegas’s defensive numbers point toward more goals, too. Their .881 team save percentage ranks 23rd in the league, and the over’s hit in five of their last eight home games. When you face Chicago’s 12.7% shooting percentage (third in the NHL) and your goaltending’s already shaky, you’re likely giving up goals.

The 5-on-5 numbers show Vegas dominates possession at 52.96% Corsi and 56.13% of shots over their last 10 games. They’re generating 56.57% of high-danger chances, which means Vegas should create plenty of scoring opportunities against Chicago’s defense that allows 30.28 shots per game.

Chicago’s staying competitive through hot shooting at 10.64% at even strength compared to Vegas’s 8.30%. For tonight, that means Chicago’s converting their chances efficiently. Combine that with Vegas’s goaltending uncertainty and Hart’s rust, and both teams should score.

The power-play numbers are nearly identical (Vegas 24.1%, Chicago 24.3%), but Chicago holds a penalty-kill advantage at 84.1% compared to 79.7%. If this game gets chippy, both units should capitalize.

Hawks vs Knights Best Bet

Over 6.0 goals at -120 on Bet365 is the play. Hart’s rust after 22 months away, Vegas’s weak team save percentage, Chicago’s offensive momentum behind Bedard, and the head-to-head history all point toward goals. The juice keeps increasing on the Over, showing the books are taking some respected wagers on this bet.

For player props, Mark Stone over 0.5 assists at -131 is a solid play. He’s recorded an assist in four straight against teams with losing records, averaging 1.5 helpers. Ilya Mikheyev over 1.5 shots at +100 offers value too, hitting in five of his last six against Vegas.

Blackhawks vs Golden Knights Odds

Vegas opened at -310 but has moved to around -285 in the Tuesday NHL odds as money comes in on Chicago. The total has moved to -130 on the over at Caesars, showing where the sharp action landed. The public is hammering the over with 92.91% of the handle backing goals.

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Blackhawks vs Golden Knights Starting Goalies

Spencer Knight starts for Chicago with his 8-5-4 record, 2.51 GAA and .918 save percentage. He’s been excellent despite facing 30.28 shots per game.

Carter Hart’s expected to make his return for Vegas after 22 months away. His last NHL start came January 20, 2024 in a 7-4 loss to Colorado, where he allowed five goals on 15 shots in two periods.

How to Watch Blackhawks vs Golden Knights

Tuesday’s game starts at 10:00 PM ET from T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. ESPN+ carries the national broadcast with streaming available on the ESPN App. The late start works perfectly for West Coast viewers and gives East Coast bettors a nightcap to close their Tuesday cards.