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Shelton vs Zverev Odds for US Open Final, Plus H2H History

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in Tennis

Published:


Ben Shelton appeals to the crowd for more applause
Tennis - U.S. Open - Flushing Meadows, New York, United States - September 11, 2026 Ben Shelton of the U.S. reacts during his semi final match against Frances Tiafoe of the U.S. IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters/Geoff Burke

Alexander Zverev and Ben Shelton will meet in the US Open final on Sunday, Sep. 13, at 3:00 pm ET. Shelton carries the hopes of the home crowd as he tries to end the drought for American men at the US Open. Andy Roddick was the last U.S. man to win the tournament, claiming the title in 2003, which was also the last time an American man won a major.

Zverev, who won his first career Grand Slam title earlier this year at Roland Garros, has opened as a slight favorite over Shelton, who will be playing in his first Grand Slam final.

Zverev vs Shelton Odds (US Open Final)

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Kalshi
Alexander Zverev
58%
Ben Shelton
43%

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Zverev is priced at 58 cents (equal to -137 American odds), while Shelton is listed at 43 cents (equal to +133 American odds).

Both men were among the top four in the US Open odds prior to the tournament, alongside outright favorite Carlos Alcaraz and living legend Novak Djokovic. Zverev was roughly +300 with Shelton at +1050.

Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton H2H

DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
Nov. 2025Nitto ATP FinalsIndoor HardRound RobinZverev6–3, 7–6(6)
Aug. 2025Cincinnati OpenHardQuarterfinalsZverev6–2, 6–2
Jun. 2025Stuttgart OpenGrassSemifinalsZverev7–6, 7–6
Apr. 2025BMW Open (Munich)ClayFinalZverev6–2, 6–4
Aug. 2024Cincinnati OpenHardQuarterfinalsZverev3–6, 7–6, 7–5

Zverev has dominated the matchup, winning all five of their head-to-head meetings and 10 of the 11 sets they have played so far. Shelton won the opening set of their first meeting at the 2024 Cincinnati Open, but Zverev has taken ten consecutive sets from him since then.

Sunday’s final will be the first Grand Slam meeting between the two players. Zverev’s record across hard, grass, and clay highlights his consistency in the matchup, while Shelton will look to draw on the one set he took from the German on similar courts in Cincinnati back in 2024.

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Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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