Ole Miss vs Miami Odds – See Early Spread & Line for Fiesta Bowl Semifinal

• No. 6 Ole Miss upset No. 3 Georgia in the Sugar Bowl to advance to the Fiesta Bowl
• The Rebels will face Miami in the CFP semifinal on January 8
• See below for Ole Miss vs Miami odds, spread, line movement and our early Fiesta Bowl pick

The Ole Miss vs Miami spread hit the board moments after the Rebels completed their stunning 39-34 upset of Georgia in Thursday’s Sugar Bowl, and sharp money immediately started pouring in.

Miami opened as a 1.5-point favorite for the Fiesta Bowl semifinal on January 8, but the line quickly moved to -3.5 as bettors backed the Hurricanes. Miami knocked off defending champion Ohio State 24-14 on New Year’s Eve while Ole Miss pulled off the comeback of the playoffs, erasing a 21-12 halftime deficit to shock the Bulldogs.

The Ole Miss vs Miami odds set up the most explosive offensive matchup of the semifinals. The college football odds show a total around 52.5, reflecting Ole Miss’s high-powered attack against Miami’s stingy defense.

Ole Miss vs Miami Odds

Odds as of January 2 at FanDuel. Line moved from opening -1.5 to -3.5. New customers can claim the FanDuel promo code and get a bonus to bet on college football.

Miami’s -162 moneyline translates to a 61.8% implied win probability. Both teams pulled off major upsets in the quarterfinals as significant underdogs.

The Ole Miss vs Miami spread already moved from -1.5 to -3.5 as sharp money poured in on the Hurricanes. Miami’s now -162 on the moneyline, up from -137 at opening. The market is speaking loud and clear.

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Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm ET on Wednesday, January 8 at State Farm Stadium in Glendale. ESPN has the broadcast as these teams battle for a spot in the national championship game.

Ole Miss Stuns Georgia in Sugar Bowl

The Rebels pulled off one of the wildest finishes in CFP history, beating Georgia 39-34 in the Sugar Bowl. Lucas Carneiro drilled a 37-yard field goal with six seconds left to break a 34-34 tie, then Ole Miss sealed it with a safety as time expired.

Trinidad Chambliss was spectacular, completing 30 of 44 passes for 320 yards and two touchdowns. The junior QB from Division II Ferris State picked apart a Georgia defense that had allowed 10 points or fewer in four straight games before Thursday.

Kewan Lacy rushed for 99 yards and two scores on 22 carries. His second touchdown gave Ole Miss the lead in the fourth quarter. Harrison Wallace III caught nine passes for 156 yards and a touchdown, torching Georgia’s secondary all night.

Ole Miss outscored Georgia 20-10 in the fourth quarter after trailing 21-12 at halftime. The Rebels outgained the Bulldogs 431-355 in total yards despite controlling the ball for over five fewer minutes.

The win comes with interim head coach Pete Golding at the helm after Lane Kiffin left for LSU following the regular season. Golding’s defense held Georgia to just 3-of-13 on third down and forced a crucial turnover.

Miami Dominates Ohio State

Miami’s defense set the tone early against the defending champs. Keionte Scott’s 72-yard pick-six gave the Hurricanes a 14-0 first-half lead they never relinquished.

Carson Beck managed the game efficiently, completing 19 of 26 passes for 138 yards and a touchdown. The Miami QB didn’t turn the ball over and made plays when the Hurricanes needed them.

Miami’s front seven dominated the line of scrimmage. The Canes sacked Julian Sayin five times and held Ohio State to just 14 points. Miami’s physical rushing attack controlled the clock in the second half.

The Hurricanes improved to 9-5 against the spread this season. They’ve been one of the best bets in college football all year.

Ole Miss vs Miami Spread & Line Movement

The Ole Miss vs Miami line opened with Miami favored by 1.5 points, but it’s already moving towards the Canes. That spread reflects two teams coming off impressive quarterfinal wins but with completely different styles.

Ole Miss averaged 491.7 yards per game this season, one of the most explosive offenses in the country. They put up 36.8 points per game and averaged 25.5 first downs. Chambliss completed 66% of his passes for 312.1 yards per game through the air.

Miami’s defense is elite. The Hurricanes allowed just 13.1 points per game and 285.1 yards. Their run defense is the best in the matchup, allowing only 2.8 yards per carry. Miami forced 25 turnovers this season with a +12 turnover margin.

Ole Miss vs Miami Key Stats

The turnover battle should decide this game. Ole Miss finished the season at 0 turnover margin, giving it up as much as they forced it. Miami created 25 turnovers and posted a +12 margin.

If Miami’s defense forces two or three turnovers like they’ve done all season, Ole Miss’s high-powered offense won’t matter. The Hurricanes will shorten the game and control possession.

Try to find Miami -3 at your book if you can. Getting the Hurricanes at a field goal or better is ideal value with their elite defense against an Ole Miss team that just survived a shootout.

The total sits at 52.5. Ole Miss scored 39 against Georgia’s elite defense. Miami held Ohio State to 14. Miami’s defense has a track record of limiting explosive offenses.

Miami’s 9-5 record against the spread shows they’ve been undervalued all season. Even at -3.5, the Hurricanes look like the right side.

• Ole Miss vs Miami Early Pick: Miami -3 (if available) or -3.5 (-110)