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Raptors vs Pacers Player Props & Predictions: Best Bets for Barnes, Nembhard in Injury-Riddled Showdown

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in NBA Basketball

Published:


Indiana Pacers forward Pascal Siakam battling with Toronto Raptors forward Scottie Barnes
Nov 26, 2025; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Indiana Pacers forward Pascal Siakam (43) battles for the round with Toronto Raptors forward Scottie Barnes (4) during the second quarter at Scotiabank Arena. Mandatory Credit: Nick Turchiaro-Imagn Images
  • With several key players sidelined, the Pacers will depend heavily on Andrew Nembhard, who has excelled in a primary role by averaging an impressive 17.5 points and 7.1 assists
  • The Raptors are poised to attack Indiana’s vulnerable defense and struggling with rebounding, creating a prime opportunity for Scottie Barnes to fill the stat sheet
  • Significant injuries for both teams, including the absence of Toronto’s RJ Barrett, shift the offensive focus squarely onto the shoulders of Pascal Siakam, Scottie Barnes, and Immanuel Quickley

The Indiana Pacers (9-31, 7-15 home) host the Toronto Raptors (24-17, 11-8 away) at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Wednesday, January 14, with tip-off scheduled for 7:00 pm ET. FDSIN will carry the broadcast for Indiana viewers, with TSN carrying the game north of the border. This contest features significant emotional weight as Pascal Siakam faces his former team, having emerged as the cornerstone of the Pacers’ identity since his trade from Toronto.

The Raptors will be banking on the dynamic scoring of Scottie Barnes and the explosive playmaking of Immanuel Quickley. Indiana counters with former Raptor Pascal Siakam’s leadership and Andrew Nembhard’s surge in the backcourt. Both squads enter significantly shorthanded, creating elevated usage rates for their remaining stars. This preview dissects the crucial statistical edges, prop market inefficiencies, and situational angles that define this intriguing showdown.

Raptors vs Pacers Player-Prop Odds & Lines

PlayerPointsReboundsAssistsMade Threes
Pascal Siakam23.5 (-106/-123)7.5 (+111/-144)3.5 (-133/+100)1.5 (+144/-192)
Andrew Nembhard17.5 (-121/-108)2.5 (+129/-173)7.5 (+106/-141)1.5 (-156/+117)
Aaron Nesmith16.5 (-117/-112)5.5 (-105/-125)1.5 (-184/+137)2.5 (-108/-123)
T.J. McConnell10.5 (-129/-102)2.5 (-103/-129)4.5 (-128/-103)0.5 (+190/-250)
Jarace Walker9.5 (+105/-139)4.5 (-118/-115)1.5 (+140/-189)1.5 (-102/-129)
Scottie Barnes19.5 (-119/-111)8.5 (+112/-147)4.5 (+104/-138)0.5 (-217/+161)
Immanuel Quickley18.5 (-115/-114)4.5 (-114/-118)5.5 (-128/-103)2.5 (-112/-117)

The player-prop market reflects the injury-depleted rosters, with elevated lines for primary contributors on both sides. Above are the consensus prop lines for the game’s key players.

Several prop lines have undergone notable line movement. Siakam’s scoring prop experienced early volatility, with BetMGM testing a 24.5 opening line before settling at the consensus 23.5. The under carries -119 juice, suggesting books anticipate defensive focus on the former Raptor.

Nembhard’s assist line sits at a lofty 7.5, but the market heavily favors the under at -151. This skepticism stems from his recent surge potentially being unsustainable (8.8 AGP over his last nine games).

Quickley’s scoring prop initially opened with under bias at BetMGM (-125), but has since balanced to nearly pick’em odds (-115/-114), indicating sharp money backing his offensive potential with RJ Barrett sidelined.

Barnes’ rebounding line shows disagreement across sportsbooks, with FanDuel and BetRivers posting 9.5 compared to the 8.5 consensus.

TOR vs IND Injury Reports

Both teams enter severely undermanned, with star-level contributors sidelined and role players thrust into expanded duties.

Indiana Pacers Injuries

The Pacers face a lengthy injury list that has fundamentally altered their offensive identity:

  • Tyrese Haliburton (G): Out for Season (Achilles)
  • Bennedict Mathurin (G-F): Out (Thumb)
  • Obi Toppin (F): Out (Foot)
  • Isaiah Jackson (F): Out (Concussion)

Haliburton’s season-ending injury – suffered in the 2025 playoffs – completely reshaped the Indiana outlook. The All-Star guard’s absence has forced Nembhard into primary playmaking duties, directly correlating to his elevated assist (7.5) and scoring (17.5) lines.

Toronto Raptors Injuries

The Raptors will miss two key contributors, creating opportunity for their remaining stars:

  • RJ Barrett (F-G): Out (Ankle)
  • Jakob Poeltl (C): Out (Back)
  • Sandro Mamukelashvili (F-C): Day to Day (Illness)
  • Ja’Kobe Walter (G): Out (Hip)

Barrett’s absence removes 20.3 points per game from Toronto’s attack, funneling additional scoring chances to Barnes (19.5 points) and Quickley (18.5 points). Poeltl’s interior absence also weakens rebounding, potentially benefiting Siakam’s production and Barnes’ glass work.

Raptors vs Packers: Best Player-Prop Picks

Pacers Best Bet: Andrew Nembhard Over 7.5 Assists (+114 at DraftKings)

Nembhard has seamlessly transitioned into the primary facilitator role, and his recent production suggests the 7.5 assist line undervalues his current usage. The plus-money odds provide excellent value given his demonstrated consistency.

Over his last 10 games, Nembhard is averaging 8.8 assists with an exceptional 3.76 assist-to-turnover ratio.

The situational factors strongly favor the over. With Haliburton out indefinitely and Mathurin sidelined, Nembhard operates as the undisputed floor general. Against a Raptors defense adjusting to its own injuries, expect continued heavy reliance on his playmaking.

Raptors Best Bet: Scottie Barnes Over 19.5 Points (-127 at Caesars)

Barrett’s absence creates a significant scoring void.b Barnes represents the logical candidate to absorb this usage increase, particularly against Indiana’s porous defense.

Barnes was already trending upward, averaging just over 19 PPG over his last nine games. The matchup strongly favors his scoring: Indiana’s subpar defense (18th in D-Rating) and fast temp (10th in pace) create an ideal environment for offensive exploitation.

Barnes’ interior scoring ability (13.1 points in the paint over his last nine games) targets Indiana’s biggest weakness. With Jackson sidelined and their rim protection compromised, expect Toronto to feature Barnes heavily in the post and transition, making the over on 19.5 points an attractive proposition.

Game Odds & Betting Information

  • Spread: Raptors -2.5 (-105) / Pacers +2.5 (-115)
  • Total: Over/Under 222.5 (Over -108 / Under -112)
  • Moneyline: Raptors -135 / Pacers +114

The Toronto Raptors enter as road favorites. The total has moved downward from its 224.5 opener, settling at 222.5 as the market adjusts for the offensive firepower missing from both lineups.

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Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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