Picks & Player Props to Bet in Knicks vs Warriors (Jan 15)

• New York’s defense ranks 27th in three-pointers allowed
• Nobody shoots three-pointers better than Stephen Curry
• We explore every player prop and make our expert picks for Knicks vs Warriors

Jalen Brunson vs. Steph Curry?

An All-Star Game caliber showdown is on deck tonight when the New York Knicks visit the Golden State Warriors. Tip-off is set for 10 pm, ET (Prime).

We hope, anyway.

Brunson left Wednesday night’s game at Sacrament early in the first quarter after injuring his right ankle. He is listed as day-to-day.

The Warriors are sizable home favorites (consensus is 6.5 points) following recent line movement, likely influenced by uncertainty surrounding Brunson’s availability.

For our purposes, we’re not concerned about the game’s outcome. We’re strictly evaluating the prop mark and finding the best value.

Warriors vs Knicks Player Props & Betting Lines

Notable line movement has occurred across multiple props. Josh Hart’s points total has shown movement, suggesting sharp action expects an expanded offensive role. Karl-Anthony Towns’ scoring prop climbed from 22.5 to 23.5, indicating market confidence in his ability to exploit the Warriors’ interior defense. Draymond Green’s points prop shifted upward from 8.5 to 9.5, while his assist line shows split action between 4.5 and 5.5 at different books, reflecting uncertainty about his exact facilitating role in this matchup.

Best Player Prop Bets

Two specific prop bets stand out as exceptional value plays based on statistical analysis and matchup advantages.

Stephen Curry Over 4.5 Made Threes (-118) at BetMGM

This play directly targets the Knicks’ most exploitable weakness while capitalizing on Curry’s elite volume and the Warriors’ system-generated looks. New York’s defense creates an ideal environment for Curry’s shooting prowess.

The volume foundation is rock-solid: Curry attempts 11.9 three-pointers per game, providing numerous opportunities to clear this line. His season average of 4.6 made threes already exceeds the prop requirement, and while his recent 10-game stretch has seen a slight dip to 4.2 makes per game, this creates a value opportunity against a defense that consistently struggles with perimeter coverage. The Warriors’ assisted field goal rate ensures Curry receives quality looks within their offensive system, making this over a statistically sound wager against the league’s vulnerable three-point defense.

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Mitchell Robinson Over 9.5 Rebounds (+150) at Bet365

This bet exploits the Warriors’ interior weakness while backing a player in exceptional recent form. Robinson’s rebounding surge coincides perfectly with facing a Golden State team that struggles to control the glass on both ends.

Robinson’s recent production has been outstanding and he is clearing this 9.5 line consistently. His offensive rebounding prowess particularly stands out, with 5.1 offensive boards per game over his last seven contests, directly attacking the Warriors’ team rebound weakness. The Knicks generate second-chance points largely due to Robinson’s glass-crashing ability, and the plus-money odds make this an exceptional value play given both his recent form and the favorable matchup against Golden State’s undersized frontcourt.

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Knicks vs Warriors Injury Report Analysis

The health situation heading into this contest centers primarily around the Knicks’ backcourt, with their star point guard’s availability carrying significant implications for prop markets and game flow.

Jalen Brunson remains listed as day-to-day with an ankle injury sustained in the January 14 game against Sacramento. As the Knicks’ primary offensive initiator, his potential absence or limitation would dramatically alter New York’s approach. His current props, including a 26.5 points line, assume full availability, but bettors should monitor his pregame status closely. If ruled out or limited, expect increased usage for Karl-Anthony Towns and Josh Hart, making their over props more attractive given the additional offensive responsibilities.

The Warriors present a cleaner injury picture. This absence impacts Golden State’s bench scoring but leaves their core rotation intact and healthy for this matchup.

Game Odds & Betting Information

• Spread: Golden State Warriors -6.5 (-111) / New York Knicks +6.5 (-109)
• Total: Over/Under 228.5 (Over -114 / Under -106)
• Moneyline: Golden State Warriors -255 / New York Knicks +208

NBA public betting action has indicated confidence in the Warriors’ ability to cover a spread. The moneyline tells a similar story of one-sided betting action. Interestingly, the total has dropped, suggesting concern about pace or offensive efficiency despite both teams’ scoring capabilities.

Line Movement: The Warriors opened as modest -148 moneyline favorites with a -3 point spread, but money has poured in on Golden State, doubling the spread to -6.5 and pushing their moneyline to -271. This significant shift likely reflects uncertainty surrounding Brunson’s availability and confidence in the Warriors’ home-court advantage.