Mitch Marner Props: Odds to Score in Toronto Return and More

• Mitch Marner returns to Toronto on Friday night for the first time since being traded to Vegas
• The Ontario native has 11 points in his last 7 games heading into his emotional homecoming
• Below, see the best Mitch Marner props to bet for Friday’s game at Scotiabank Arena

Mitch Marner returns to Toronto on Friday night for the first time since the trade, and FanDuel is offering a full menu of props to bet on his homecoming. The 28-year-old spent nine years racking up 741 points in a Leafs sweater before Vegas acquired him in a sign-and-trade deal on July 1.

Marner’s been rolling lately with 11 points in his last seven games, including five multi-point performances. He already picked up 2 assists against the Leafs last week, both on the power play, in a 6-5 overtime win in Vegas.

The Golden Knights are 7-2-1 in their last 10 games, and I’m digging into the Marner props market to find the best value for Friday night at Scotiabank Arena.

Mitch Marner Player Props

Odds as of Jan. 23rd at FanDuel.

Marner’s listed at +230 to score, which translates to roughly a 30% implied probability. He’s got 12 goals in 48 games this season with a 12.8% shooting percentage. He’s more of a playmaker than a goal scorer with 39 assists on the year, so I’m focusing on props that match how he actually produces.

Marner Props #1: Over 2.5 Shots

Marner’s averaging 1.96 shots per game this season with 94 shots in 48 games, but he’s been way more aggressive in January.

He’s hit 3+ shots in 7 of his 11 January games, including 4 against the Kings and 3 in each game against the Leafs, Predators, Sharks and Blues. Toronto’s allowing 31.7 shots per game this season, most in the league, and this game has a 6.5 total, which is the highest of the evening.

Vegas projects for over 3 goals, and in his first game back after nine years, Marner’s going to shoot every time he gets a clean look. The plus-money at +148 makes this my favorite prop on the board.

• Mitch Marner Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (+148 at FanDuel)

Marner Prop Bet #2: Over 2+ Points

The odds for Marner to record a single point are juiced heavily at -245, so I’m taking him to pick up multiple points. He’s done it 5 times in 11 January games, racking up 3 goals and 10 assists in the month.

That’s a 45% hit rate in January, which makes +210 odds look pretty generous. Both teams can score, with Vegas ranked 6th in goals per game at 3.33 and Toronto sitting 7th at 3.32. The Golden Knights are 7-2-1 in their last 10 games, and Jack Eichel leads the team with 59 points in 42 games.

Marner’s getting 20:04 per game with 3:54 of power play time. Vegas has the fourth-best power play in the league at 26.5%, and he’s got 16 power play points this season. He set up Pavel Dorofeyev twice on the power play against Toronto last week, and that chemistry is clicking.

• Mitch Marner Over 2+ Points (+210 at FanDuel)

Marner Prop Value Play: Over 2+ Assists

If you want a longer shot with upside, this one’s worth a sprinkle. Marner’s dished out 39 assists in 48 games this season, and he’s recorded 2+ assists in 4 of his 11 January games. That includes the 2 assists against Toronto last week (both on the power play), 2 against the Blue Jackets, and 2 against the Jets.

The playmaking has always been his calling card. He spent nine years in Toronto threading passes to guys like Auston Matthews and John Tavares, and now he’s doing the same thing with Jack Eichel and Dorofeyev. In a game that should see plenty of offense and power play opportunities, Marner will have chances to rack up multiple helpers.

He set up Dorofeyev for the game-winning goal against the Predators on Jan 17, and the chemistry between those two has been there all season. At +370, this assists prop offers the best odds if you think Marner’s motivated to show out against his former team.

• Mitch Marner Over 2+ Assists (+370 at FanDuel)

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