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Seahawks vs Patriots Odds Movement – Which Way Is the Spread Moving in Super Bowl 60?

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in NFL News

Published:


Seattle Seahawks wide receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba celebrating a TD
Dec 18, 2025; Seattle, Washington, USA; Seattle Seahawks wide receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba (11) celebrates after scoring a touchdown against the Los Angeles Rams in overtime at Lumen Field. Mandatory Credit: Kevin Ng-Imagn Images
  • The Super Bowl 60 point spread has moved a full point since opening
  • The Seahawks/Patriots moneyline has also undergone a significant shift
  • See the Seahawks vs Patriots odds movement for Super Bowl 60

All eyes turn to Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, CA, as the Seattle Seahawks (16-3, 15-4 ATS, 11-8 O/U) prepare to clash with the New England Patriots (17-3, 13-7 ATS, 12-8 O/U) on February 8, 2026, for Super Bowl 60. This rematch of Super Bowl 49 carries a heavy narrative of redemption for a Seahawks fan base still haunted by the goal-line interception of 2015. Beyond the history, the game features a prestigious tactical battle between the NFL’s top-tier leadership: Patriots head coach Mike Vrabel, the Sporting News Coach of the Year, and Seahawks head coach Mike Macdonald, the NFC Coach of the Year.

The opening Seahawks vs Patriots odds favored the NFC champs and early betting action has forced oddsmakers to adjust to line. The point spread has moved significantly toward the Seahawks, who enter the championship on a dominant nine-game winning streak, while the total remains a point of contention between public bettors and sharp market movers.

Jump to: ATS Movement || Moneyline Movement || ou

SEA Seahawks vs NE Patriots Point Spread Movement

MarketOpening LineCurrent Line
Point SpreadSEA -3.5 (-106) / NE +3.5 (-114)SEA -4.5 (-112) / NE +4.5 (-108)

Opening odds as of Jan. 25 at FanDuel. Current odds as of 12:36 pm ET at FanDuel. Download the top Super Bowl betting apps before Feb 8.

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As kickoff approaches at Levi’s Stadium, the betting market for the spread has shown clear momentum in favor of the NFC champions. Despite the Patriots’ defensive improvements in Drake Maye’s sophomore season, the market is reacting to Seattle’s high-octane offense and league-best defense, which generated an NFL-best +191 point differential during the regular season.

The move from an opening spread of SEA -3.5 to the current -4.5 is a significant adjustment, as it pushes the line past the secondary key number of 4. This movement is supported by lopsided betting volume: the Seahawks are commanding 70.15% of the total bets and 69.74% of the money wagered in the latest NFL public betting percentages.

Typically, when a favorite attracts 70% of the action, bookmakers move the line to balance their risk.

Derivative Market Insights

The “smart money” influence is also visible in the shorter-duration markets:

  • 1st Half Spread: Opened at Seahawks -3 and has moved to -3.5.
  • 2nd Quarter Spread: Opened at Seahawks -1.5 and shifted to -2.5.

This suggests that bettors expect Seattle to establish an early lead, capitalizing on a Patriot offense that has struggled in the red zone (33.3% conversion rate) throughout the postseason.

Super Bowl 60 Moneyline Movement

MarketOpening MLCurrent ML
MoneylineSEA -196 / NE +164SEA -235 / NE +194

The Seattle moneyline has also climbed from -196 (66.22% implied win probability) to -235 (70.15% implied win probability) at FanDuel, reinforcing the high level of betting confidence in Seattle. The New England moneyline has moved from an opening number of +164 (37.88% implied win probability) all the way to +194 (34.01% implied win probability).

This market support likely stems from Seattle’s superior efficiency metrics in both the regular season and postseason. Those include a 47.8% third-down conversion rate and a staggering 72.7% red-zone efficiency in the Divisional Round and NFC Championship Games, combined.

Game-Total Movement for Seahawks vs Patriots

MarketOpening TotalCurrent Total
Game Total45.5 (O -105 / U -115)45.5 (O -110 / U -110)

The Seahawks vs Patriots game-total market for Super Bowl 60 has shown remarkable resistance. Despite heavy public interest in a high-scoring affair, the total has remained anchored to its opening number.

The total opened at 45.5 with the under slightly favored at -115. Though 70% of O/U bets and 62% of O/U handle are on the over, the number has refused to budge. The over has become a little more expensive, moving from -105 to -110.

In most scenarios, nearly 70% of bets on the over would drive the total up at least half a point. The stability at 45.5 indicates sharp resistance, and the splits show the same: the under is getting 38% of handle on just 30% of wagers. This discrepancy suggests that larger, professional wagers are backing the under.

Check out SBD’s comprehensive Super Bowl 60 coverage:

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Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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