Seahawks vs Patriots Public Betting Splits & Money Percentages for Super Bowl 60
By Sascha Paruk in NFL News
Published:
The betting world descends upon Santa Clara this Sunday for the biggest gambling event on the calendar: Super Bowl 60 between the Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots. Kickoff for Super Bowl 60 is scheduled for 3:30 pm PT/6:30 pm ET on February 8 at Levi’s Stadium, with the national broadcast airing on NBC.
With the Lombardi Trophy on the line, the market has seen an explosion of volume. Early returns highlight a massive public consensus backing the Seahawks on the moneyline and the spread, setting the stage for a textbook clash between public sentiment and potential contrarian value.
Super Bowl 60 Public Betting Splits & Money Percentages: SEA vs NE
The transactional data from DraftKings and other major operators illustrates a lopsided market leading up to kickoff at Levi’s Stadium. The Seahawks are absorbing the bulk of the ticket count, with the public heavily anticipating a cover and an outright victory for Seattle. Simultaneously, the total market reflects an expectation for fireworks, with the Over drawing the vast majority of slips.
The retail bettor is overwhelmingly laying the points with the road favorite, as the Seahawks account for 64% of spread tickets and a commanding 78% of moneyline wagers. However, dissecting the handle reveals a “sharp” divergence. While the Patriots appear on only 22% of moneyline tickets, they have secured 33% of the actual cash, indicating that the average wager size on the underdog dwarfs that of the favorite. A similar liability split exists in the totals market: the Over is the consensus play with 72% of bets, yet the Under holds 35% of the money despite seeing less than a third of the ticket volume. This money-to-ticket variance suggests that while the public chases Seattle’s narrative, sophisticated money is taking a position on New England and defensive resilience.
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Odds and betting splits as of 4:01 pm ET, Feb. 6th. Download the top Super Bowl betting apps before Sunday.
Should Bettors Fade or Tail the Public in Super Bowl 60?
When 78% of moneyline action and 64% of spread tickets stack on one side, it typically triggers a contrarian signal for disciplined handicappers. The public is buying high on the Seahawks’ explosive offensive metrics, creating an inflated line for Sunday’s championship clash. However, extracting value often requires bypassing the offensive highlight reels to analyze trench play and volume discrepancies.
Here is the data-driven verdict on whether to fade or tail the consensus at Levi’s Stadium.
The Spread: Fade the Public – Bet Patriots +5.5 (-122 at BetRivers)
The public’s heavy exposure to Seattle is statistically justifiable at first glance. The Seahawks boast a high-octane unit averaging 36.0 points per game in the postseason, significantly outpacing New England’s 18.0 PPG. Moreover, Seattle’s red-zone efficiency is converting at an elite 72.7%, a stark contrast to the Patriots’ 33.3% success rate inside the 20.
Of course, the Patriots have spent much of the playoffs playing in inclement conditions. They finished the regular season with the best offense in the NFL in terms of EPA per play.
Several defensive metrics support backing the underdog, as well.
New England’s pass rush has been much more effective of late. The Pats have venerated 12 sacks through three postseason games; Seattle has just three in two playoff contests.
As highlighted in the splits, the Patriots hold just 36% of tickets but 39% of the handle. This ratio implies that slightly larger, and potentially sharper wagers are grabbing the points with New England.
The Pick: The marketplace is paying a premium for Seattle’s scoring upside. Fade the public and take the Patriots, who are catching as many as 5.5 points at BetRivers, leveraging their superior pass rush to disrupt rhythm and keep the margin within a field goal.
The Total: Fade the Public – Bet Under 45.5 (-109 at Caesars)
The total market reveals the most significant public bias. With 72% of tickets pounding the Over, the casual bettor expects a shootout, likely driven by Seattle’s relentless scoring pace the last two weeks. Relying on a single offense to push a total of 45.5 north is a negative-EV strategy when facing an opponent as defensively stout as the Patriots.
The Pick: The public sees Seattle’s scoring average and assumes a barnburner. The data points to a grind-it-out affair where New England drags the game into the trenches. Fade the public and take the Under 45.5, banking on defensive variance and red zone stalls to suppress the final score.
Check out some of SBD’s comprehensive Super Bowl coverage:
- Seahawks vs Patriots Prediction, Picks & Moneyline Best Bet for Super Bowl 60
- Seahawks vs Patriots Weather Betting Impact – Super Bowl Forecast Includes Wind, Rain
- Shawn Smith to Referee Super Bowl 60; See Betting Trends for Smith’s Games
- Gatorade Odds for Super Bowl 60
- 3 Early Super Bowl Bets to Make Before These Patriots/Seahawks Lines Move
- Early Super Bowl Halftime Props & Odds for Bad Bunny
- Opening Super Bowl MVP Odds – Seahawks/Patriots MVP Lines
- Seahawks vs Patriots Player Props – Opening Lines for All Passing, Rushing, Receiving Props
Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.