Opening MLB Win Totals & Best Bets- See Which Team Has a Win Total of 54.5
By Sascha Paruk in MLB Baseball
Published:
- The 2026 MLB win totals have been posted at online sportsbooks
- One team is 12 wins higher than any other, while another is 11 wins lower
- See the 2026 MLB win totals for all 30 teams plus the best over/under bets to target
Roughly a month out from opening day (March 25), the 2026 MLB win totals are available. To no one’s surprise, the three teams with the biggest payrolls find themselves at the top of the board. Even less surprising: the almost-record-setting 43-win Colorado Rockies are at the bottom.
Below, I have set out the 2026 MLB win totals in four different tables: (1) alphabetical by team, (2) highest to lowest win totals, (3) vs 2025 wins (from biggest increase to biggest decrease), and (4) vs FanGraphs’ 2026 projections (from biggest increase to biggest decrease). Use the anchors below to jump directly to each table.
Jump to: Alphabetical || High to Low || vs 2025 Wins || vs FanGraphs Projections
MLB Win Totals 2026 (Alphabetical)
The win totals in each table are from DraftKings as of 11:45 am ET, February 24th. The lines may be slightly different from sportsbook to sportsbook. Also note that prediction site Kalshi has posted the equivalent of win totals for all teams, though the markets look a little different. Users can buy “yes” and “no” contracts on each team hitting certain benchmarks. For example, the “yes” on Arizona reaching 75 wins is priced at 71¢ (potentially generating a 29¢ profit for each contract); the “yes” on 80 wins is priced at 55¢ (potentially generating a 45¢ profit for each contract); and the “yes” on 85 wins is priced at 38¢ (potentially generating a 62¢ profit for each contract).
Here’s how those markets look at Kalshi:
New users can click on the graphic above to claim SBD’s exclusive Kalshi referral code.
MLB Win Totals 2026 (High to Low)
The Dodgers have opened with a win total of 102.5, which is a full 12 wins higher than any other team. The two Big Apple teams – the Mets and Yankees – are tied for the second-highest win total at 90.5, with the Phillies and Mariners round out the top five at 89.5 apiece.
The Rockies have a win total of just 54.5, which is 11 lower than the 29th-ranked Nationals.
The next table lists the teams by projected increase compared to their 2025 win totals.
2026 MLB Win Totals: Biggest Increase vs 2025
Coming off a injury-plagued 76-win season, the Braves have a win total of 88.5. That is 12.5-win difference is the biggest discrepancy in the MLB. Only two other teams have a double-digit increase from their actual 2025 record to their 2026 win total: the Rockies (+11.5) and Orioles (+10.5).
The Brewers are projected take the biggest step back after winning an MLB-best 97 games last year. Milwaukee has opened with a win total of just 84.5, which is a decrease of 12.5.
The final table lists juxtaposes the opening win totals at DraftKings with the 2026 win/loss projections at FanGraphs.
MLB Win Totals vs FanGraphs Record Projections
Based on the FanGraphs projections, the Rockies are by far the best over bet. They have a 66-win projection at FanGraphs, which is 11.5 higher than their 54.5 O/U at DraftKings. The Twins and Cardinals are next, both possessing FanGraphs win projections that are 5.5 higher than their O/U.
The worst over bet (also known as the best under bet) is a tie between the Dodgers (96-win projection vs 102.5 O/U) and Padres (79-win projection vs 85.5 O/U), who both have win totals that are 6.5 higher than their FanGraphs projections.
The Astros (81-win projection vs 86.5 O/U) are next at 5.5.
The best available over/under lines for those six teams are as follows:
Best MLB Win Total Under Picks
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Under 104.5 (-130) at FanDuel
- San Diego Padres – Under 85.5 (-110) at DraftKings
- Houston Astros – Under 86.5 (-110) at DraftKings
Best MLB Win Total Over Picks
- Colorado Rockies – Over 54.5 (-105) at DraftKings
- Minnesota Twins – Over 73.5 (-110) at BetMGM
- St Louis Cardinals – Over 69.6 (+100) at BetMGM
Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.
