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NASCAR DFS Picks – Cracker Barrel 400 Projections, Lineup & Strategy

By Phil Bobbitt in Racing

Published:


Christopher Bell on-track for Coke 600 practice (2026).
May 23, 2026; Concord, North Carolina, USA; Joe Gibbs Racing driver Christopher Bell (20) during qualifying at Charlotte Motor Speedway. Mandatory Credit: Jim Dedmon-Imagn Images
  • The Cracker Barrel 400 goes green at 7 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime, where 300 laps of concrete-induced stress await
  • Rain remains on the radar throughout Sunday, meaning teams may spend the evening dodging weather cells
  • Our lineup features the top three projected finishers in the model: Denny Hamlin, Christopher Bell, and Kyle Larson

The NASCAR Cup Series heads to Nashville Superspeedway for the Cracker Barrel 400, and with it comes one of the better DFS opportunities of the season.

DraftKings is offering a $20 entry contest paying $100,000 to first place. That’s life-changing money. Or, at the very least, enough money to stop checking the price of eggs every time you walk into a grocery store.

Of course, before somebody wins $100,000, we have to survive Nashville.

Passing has proven difficult throughout the Truck and ORAPS races, with track position carrying enormous value once the field gets strung out on longer runs. Qualifying was washed out by rain, forcing NASCAR to set the lineup using its performance metric. That put Denny Hamlin on the pole and handed several of the fastest cars in the field premium starting positions.

As if that wasn’t enough, rain remains on the radar throughout Sunday’s event. Teams may spend the afternoon actively dodging rain clouds, while DFS players spend the afternoon actively dodging heart attacks. Let’s build a lineup capable of turning twenty bucks into six figures.

NASCAR DFS Lineup for Cracker Barrel 400

DriverSalaryStarting Position
Austin Cindric$6,90036
Christopher Bell$10,2004
Denny Hamlin$11,0001
Kyle Larson$10,5005
Noah Gragson$5,20026
Riley Herbst$5,60023
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  • DRAFTKINGS DFS T&Cs: Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Help is available for problem gambling. Call (888) 789-7777 or visit ccpg.org (CT). 18+ in most eligible states, but age varies by jurisdiction. Eligibility restrictions apply. Void where prohibited. 1 per new DraftKings customer. Min. $5 deposit req. 1 $4 ticket for an MLB contest, 1 $3 ticket for an NBA contest, and 1 $3 ticket for an NHL contest rewarded. Ticket rewards are single-use site credits valid for use on eligible DraftKings contests. Ticket rewards expire 14 days (336 hours) after being issued. Terms: www.draftkings.com/promotions. Ends 4/30/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.

  • DRAFTKINGS PICK6 T&Cs: Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Help is available for problem gambling. Call (888) 789-7777 or visit ccpg.org (CT). 18+ (19+ AL/NE, 21+ AZ/MA/VA). Valid only where Pick6 operates, see dkng.co/pick6states. Void in NY, ONT, and where prohibited. Eligibility restrictions apply. 1 per new DraftKings customer. Min. $5 deposit req. Receive $25 issued as non-withdrawable Bonus Picks that expire in 14 days; AND 100% single-use Winnings Boost Token. Must select Token BEFORE placing entry. Boost reward issued as cash and only applies to winnings. Max. $100 boost reward. Token expires in 14 days. 14 days = 336 hours. Ends 3/29/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Terms: pick6.draftkings.com/promos. Sponsored by DK.

DFS Strategy

We’ve seen passing be difficult throughout the weekend, but not impossible. That distinction matters.

Denny Hamlin starts from the pole, and we expect him to dominate the early stages of this race. The No. 11 Toyota should enjoy clean air from the drop of the green flag, allowing Hamlin to pile up laps-led bonuses and clean-air fasties while the rest of the field tries to figure out how to get around each other.

Track position has been king all weekend and Hamlin starts with the crown.

The beauty of this build, however, is what sits behind him. We’re able to roster our top three projected finishers in the same lineup: Denny Hamlin, Christopher Bell, and Kyle Larson. It feels so good that it should probably require congressional oversight.

Bell starts fourth after posting the fastest practice lap of the weekend. Larson starts fifth and remains one of the most naturally gifted drivers in the sport. Between the three of them, we have access to virtually every major dominator scenario while maintaining elite finishing-position equity.

Then we get to Austin Cindric.

Cindric starts 36th and projects for an average finish around 14th. He doesn’t need to contend for the victory to pay off this salary. He simply needs to avoid turning his race car into modern art.

Noah Gragson starts 26th and projects to finish around 22nd. It’s not the flashiest play on the slate, but it doesn’t need to be. Gragson provides affordable place-differential upside while allowing us to spend aggressively on race-winning talent.

And finally, there’s Riley Herbst.

Herbst projects for a 16.84 average finish and ranked 11th overall in our practice metric. Driving an overpowered Toyota while rolling off 23rd, he checks every DFS box we’re looking for this week.

Reasonable salary. Strong equipment. Positive place differential potential.

And he’s already demonstrated speed.

If things break correctly, Herbst could end up being the steal of the century…or at least the steal of a $20 DFS contest.

The Build

Our lineup construction is straightforward.

We’re betting on Toyota speed, track position, Hamlin controlling the race early and the Bell/Larson combination spending most of the afternoon near the front.

We’re betting on Cindric, Gragson, and Herbst to methodically march forward while everyone else fights tire wear, traffic, strategy calls, and potentially the weather.

If all of that happens, we’ll have a legitimate shot at the $100,000 prize.

Of course, there are still 300 laps between us and six figures.

In NASCAR, that’s more than enough time for everything to go according to plan.

Or absolutely none of it.

  • PRIZEPICKS

    ENTER $5, GET $50 IN LINEUPS

  • SPLASH SPORTS DFS

    100% DEPOSIT MATCH UP TO $50 + 100% QUICKPICKS BOOST

  • BOOM FANTASY

    $100 RISK-FREE TOKEN

  • BETR PICKS

    UP TO $200 BACK IN BONUSES + FREE PICK!

  • CHALKBOARD FANTASY SPORTS

    GET A FREE PICK + DEPOSIT MATCH UP TO $100!

  • DRAFTKINGS FANTASY

    GET 3 TICKETS TO PLAY FREE FOR A SHARE OF MILLIONS!

  • DABBLE FANTASY

    GET $10 WHEN YOU SIGN UP - NO DEPOSIT NECESSARY!

  • DRAFTKINGS PICK6

    PLAY $5, GET $50 INSTANTLY IN BONUS PICKS!

  • DRAFTKINGS DFS T&Cs: Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Help is available for problem gambling. Call (888) 789-7777 or visit ccpg.org (CT). 18+ in most eligible states, but age varies by jurisdiction. Eligibility restrictions apply. Void where prohibited. 1 per new DraftKings customer. Min. $5 deposit req. 1 $4 ticket for an MLB contest, 1 $3 ticket for an NBA contest, and 1 $3 ticket for an NHL contest rewarded. Ticket rewards are single-use site credits valid for use on eligible DraftKings contests. Ticket rewards expire 14 days (336 hours) after being issued. Terms: www.draftkings.com/promotions. Ends 4/30/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.

  • DRAFTKINGS PICK6 T&Cs: Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Help is available for problem gambling. Call (888) 789-7777 or visit ccpg.org (CT). 18+ (19+ AL/NE, 21+ AZ/MA/VA). Valid only where Pick6 operates, see dkng.co/pick6states. Void in NY, ONT, and where prohibited. Eligibility restrictions apply. 1 per new DraftKings customer. Min. $5 deposit req. Receive $25 issued as non-withdrawable Bonus Picks that expire in 14 days; AND 100% single-use Winnings Boost Token. Must select Token BEFORE placing entry. Boost reward issued as cash and only applies to winnings. Max. $100 boost reward. Token expires in 14 days. 14 days = 336 hours. Ends 3/29/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Terms: pick6.draftkings.com/promos. Sponsored by DK.

Phil Bobbitt

Phil Bobbitt is a motorsports betting analyst and recurring guest on CBS Sports HQ, The Early Edge, and VSiN’s A Numbers Game. He and his pal Steve developed a racing algorithm that’s profited over 260 units and $1 million in DFS winnings since 2020.

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