Picks, Predictions & How to Watch Virginia vs Duke

By Jordan Tomiyama in College Basketball

Published: February 28, 2026 at 9:05 am EST

Isaiah Evans celebrating — Feb 16, 2026; Durham, North Carolina, USA; Duke Blue Devils guard Isaiah Evans (3) reacts during the during the second half after scoring against the Syracuse Orange at Cameron Indoor Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Zachary Taft-Imagn Images

#1 Duke hosts #11 Virginia in a big-time ACC matchup on Saturday
The Blue Devils have won five straight games, while Virginia has reeled off nine straight victories
See my top Virginia vs. Duke best bets and predictions on Saturday

It’s an amazing college basketball matchup as the #11 Virginia Cavaliers (25-3, 13-2 ACC, 6-1 Away, 15-13-0 ATS) visit the #1 Duke Blue Devils (26-2, 14-1 ACC, 7-0 home, 16-12-0 ATS) at 12:00 PM ET.

The Cameron Crazies will be going nuts for this top-15 matchup. Both teams are playing excellent basketball right now, and the Cavaliers have been one of the best stories in college basketball this year. Ryan Odom has done an amazing job in his first year as bench boss of Virginia, while Jon Scheyer is at the helm of a squad that could make some major noise come March Madness.

Virginia vs Duke Picks, Predictions and Bets

Game-Total Pick: Over 137.5 (-110 at FanDuel)

If you’ve watched the Cavaliers this year, you know that this team isn’t like the Virginia teams of the past. They’re looking to push the ball, shoot threes and not play at a molasses-type pace. Duke isn’t afraid to push and score the ball either. Both teams are averaging over 80 points per game and shoot over 34% from three-point land.

Duke and Virginia have both gone over the total in two of their last three games. The Cavaliers have four players averaging double figures, while the Blue Devils have three hoopers putting up at least 10 points per contest. Duke’s offense has been humming as of late, scoring 100 points in two of their last three games.

Player-Prop Pick: Isaiah Evans Over 13.5 points (-118 at FanDuel)

Cameron Boozer gets all the hype at Duke, but Isaiah Evans has been insanely good for the Blue Devils this season. He’s averaging 14.5 points per game and is shooting 35.4% from three. He has scored over 13.5 points in four of his last five games. His ability to shoot the three-ball makes him a three-level scorer.

Evans has knocked down at least two three-pointers in five straight games, and his season high for three-pointers in a game is six. Evans has dropped at least 20-points in six games this year and is shooting 88% from the charity stripe. Evans is on the court in tight games and is trusted to hit free throws when they matter the most.

Virginia vs Duke Odds

Moneyline: Virginia (+480) | Duke (-690)
Spread: Virginia +10.5 (-110) | Duke -10.5 (-110)
Total: Over 137.5 (-115) | Under 137.5 (-105)

Odds as of 8:15 pm ET, February 27 at FanDuel. Find the best online sportsbook for college basketball.

Virginia vs Duke Public-Betting Splits

The college basketball public betting percentages indicate that the public expects the Blue Devils to celebrate their 27th win of the season.

Moneyline Splits

Virginia Cavaliers: 1% of Bets | 12% of Money

Duke Blue Devils: 99% of Bets | 88% of Money

ATS Splits

The college basketball odds for Saturday have the Duke Blue Devils as a big home favourite in this ACC tilt. The Blue Devils are 7-0 at home against their conference foes and have a great chance to push that win total to eight! Cameron Boozer is an NBA lottery pick for Duke, and he has dropped at least 18 points in four straight games.

The public has some faith that the Cavaliers will be able to cover the spread, but the majority of bettors think that Duke will cover the number.

Virginia Cavaliers: 35% of Bets | 37% of Money

Duke Blue Devils: 65% of Bets | 63% of Money